World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Bullish Friday

Jim Budzynski argues in CropLife magazine that “Agriculture is in Worse Shape than You Think.” He cites several dynamics such as trade wars, deglobalization, ASF, farm debt and climate change. These may or may not collectively be the Black Plague on agriculture. Living through bearish markets can be difficult and demoralizing but there is the glass half-full approach.  Jake Hanley, portfolio manager at Teucrium Funds, an exchange trade fund, may be tooting his own horn but the data is notable. For the second year in a row, consumption of wheat, corn and soybeans is exceeding the combined inventory for these major commodities. Moreover, the underlying dynamics of consumption, increases in population and wealth, remain on a...

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Related Articles
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Technical News - Bearish Markers

SPREADS Sep. crush trades to 90.35c/bu while oilshare trades back to 35.0%.  Sep/Nov beans trades from 2c to 2 1/2c carry.  Sep/Dec corn trades out to 12c from 11 1/2c.  Dec20/Dec21 corn trades from 39 3/4c to 40c.  Sep/Dec wheat trades from 7 1/2c carry to 8c.  PALM OI...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

AM Outlook - Priced to Sell

GOOD MORNING, Prices continued to work lower post beneficial crop progress numbers.  Rising domestic and international crop estimates for wheat, (Russia and Australia), pushed prices lower.  Egypt tendered for 60,000 mt of mill grade wheat for Sep 11-30 shipment. Large yield ideas for...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Commodity Collapse

The CBOT was sharply weaker for the second trading day in August. Continued excellent or improving spring crop conditions and private firm forecasts of record corn and soybean yields sparked widespread selling. Corn dipped to new contract lows – as did HRW wheat – while SRW wheat an...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Technical News - Bearish Markers

SPREADS Sep. crush trades to 90.35c/bu while oilshare trades back to 35.0%.  Sep/Nov beans trades from 2c to 2 1/2c carry.  Sep/Dec corn trades out to 12c from 11 1/2c.  Dec20/Dec21 corn trades from 39 3/4c to 40c.  Sep/Dec wheat trades from 7 1/2c carry to 8c.  PALM OI...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

AM Outlook - Priced to Sell

GOOD MORNING, Prices continued to work lower post beneficial crop progress numbers.  Rising domestic and international crop estimates for wheat, (Russia and Australia), pushed prices lower.  Egypt tendered for 60,000 mt of mill grade wheat for Sep 11-30 shipment. Large yield ideas for...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Commodity Collapse

The CBOT was sharply weaker for the second trading day in August. Continued excellent or improving spring crop conditions and private firm forecasts of record corn and soybean yields sparked widespread selling. Corn dipped to new contract lows – as did HRW wheat – while SRW wheat an...

Phase One Collateral Damage; Conditional Income Subsidies

Phase One Collateral Damage UC-Davis researchers Robert Feenstra and Chang Hong analyzed (NBER Working Paper No. 27383) the impact of the Phase One agreement on China’s agricultural imports and find that some U.S. allies should be very upset. Holding China’s imports roughly static,...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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