World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Bullish Markets Until ……?

Grain and soy futures markets were mostly mired in a pit of bearish mud for the last half of 2018. Years of big U.S. and world crops had resulted in a buildup of stocks to record or near-record levels. Estimated world consumption of corn and wheat seemed to finally catch up with production in 2018/19 with ending stocks declining for the first time in several years. However, China altered corn’s statistical fundamentals with a few computer strokes that made huge increases in its “official” production and supply estimates. Although Chinese corn might not be available to the world market, available supplies from other origins were ample. World wheat supplies were also decreasing, especially stocks of good quality milling...

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wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 10-14 June 2019 Export prices for 2019 wheat (12.5 percent protein content) remained within $196-198/MT FOB Black Sea, and the average purchase price was RUB 10,500/MT CPT-port Black Sea. Meanwhile, the average export price for 2019 feed barley dropped to $170/MT FOB Blac...

USMCA Codification; Mitigating the Mitigation; Expanding the Conflict

USMCA Codification What seemed unlikely just a few weeks ago now looks like a growing possibility – U.S. congressional passage of the USMCA. USTR Robert Lighthizer told members of Congress that he will do whatever it takes to mollify their concerns. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce says it no...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy complex futures were mostly lower overnight with the corn market’s recent support diminishing. Soybeans were choppy with headlines about a potential Trump/Xi meeting being balanced against the overall bearishness of soybean fundamentals. Overall, the market was characterized...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 10-14 June 2019 Export prices for 2019 wheat (12.5 percent protein content) remained within $196-198/MT FOB Black Sea, and the average purchase price was RUB 10,500/MT CPT-port Black Sea. Meanwhile, the average export price for 2019 feed barley dropped to $170/MT FOB Blac...

USMCA Codification; Mitigating the Mitigation; Expanding the Conflict

USMCA Codification What seemed unlikely just a few weeks ago now looks like a growing possibility – U.S. congressional passage of the USMCA. USTR Robert Lighthizer told members of Congress that he will do whatever it takes to mollify their concerns. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce says it no...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy complex futures were mostly lower overnight with the corn market’s recent support diminishing. Soybeans were choppy with headlines about a potential Trump/Xi meeting being balanced against the overall bearishness of soybean fundamentals. Overall, the market was characterized...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 19 Corn closed at $4.41/bushel, down $0.0875 from yesterday's close.  Jul 19 Wheat closed at $5.2225/bushel, down $0.0925 from yesterday's close.  Jul 19 Soybeans closed at $9.0325/bushel, down $0.1025 from yesterday's close.  Jul 19 Soymeal closed at $316.9/short ton, down $...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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