World Perspectives

Government Shutdown-Political Chess Match; SCOTUS Drops State Livestock Cases

Shutdown The House of Representatives reconvened today with a series of votes scheduled for various appropriations bills aimed at reopening some federal agencies that are closed. The first one is set for tomorrow (9 January) on the Financial Services and General Government appropriations bill, which funds the Treasury Department and the Internal Revenue Service (IRS). House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-California) said over the weekend, “This action is necessary so that the American people can receive their tax refunds on schedule.” Yesterday in an apparent pre-emptive effort, however, the Trump administration’s Office of Management and Budget (OMB) announced there would be a partial recall of IRS employees; refunds would be...

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CFTC COT Report Analysis

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Market Commentary: CBOT Gains to Close Week; Wheat Firms on Bullish News

The CBOT was mostly higher to end a mostly bearish week with wheat leading the way on several mildly bullish developments. Wheat futures saw price-supportive development in the IGC’s lower 2024/25 global ending stocks forecast, dryness in the U.S. Southern Plains, and smaller Russian 2024...

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Based on futures’ price action late last week and early this week, one would be expecting funds to have been net sellers in the major ag commodities, and that’s exactly what happened. Funds expanded their short soybean position by some 30,000 contracts, making it a new five-year low...

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Cattle on Feed Report: Placements and Marketings Dropped Sharply

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 24 Corn closed at $4.335/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Jul 24 Wheat closed at $5.6675/bushel, up $0.1375 from yesterday's close.  May 24 Soybeans closed at $11.505/bushel, up $0.1625 from yesterday's close.  Jul 24 Soymeal closed at $343.2/short ton, up $5.8 fro...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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