World Perspectives
livestock

Livestock Round Up: Trump: “We Have Lots of Cattle in this Country”

Beef and pork production are starting to rebound, after the big drop in April. Estimated pork production was 2.3 billion pounds for the month and beef was about 1.8 billion pounds – down 11 and 21 percent respectively compared April 2019. Until the drop in production which started in the second half of March, Q1 2020 beef production was at record levels based on the largest number of cattle slaughtered for the quarter since 2002 and the heaviest dressed weights since 2016. That pushed stocks in cold storage 11 percent higher than the end of March 2019, which came in handy given the production slow down. That still was even close enough to impact wholesale and retail prices. Below is the retail price changes by week versus a year ag...

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Rethinking Development Agriculture; Rethinking Economics

Rethinking Development Agriculture Diego Restuccia, a professor of economics and Canada Research Chair at the University of Toronto examined the total factor productivity (TFP) differences between developing countries and rich countries and found the misallocation of resources to be a significa...

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Market Commentary

CBOT trade was mixed to end the week with wheat posting the largest moves. Wheat futures turned sharply lower as a mix of harvest pressure on cash prices and modest profit taking pressured the market. Soyoil rallied again, which helped support soybean prices while corn futures were slightly hig...

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CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity markets. The data is, of course, taken from the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders report, using the futures only data. WPI recently completed a...

Rethinking Development Agriculture; Rethinking Economics

Rethinking Development Agriculture Diego Restuccia, a professor of economics and Canada Research Chair at the University of Toronto examined the total factor productivity (TFP) differences between developing countries and rich countries and found the misallocation of resources to be a significa...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

CBOT trade was mixed to end the week with wheat posting the largest moves. Wheat futures turned sharply lower as a mix of harvest pressure on cash prices and modest profit taking pressured the market. Soyoil rallied again, which helped support soybean prices while corn futures were slightly hig...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity markets. The data is, of course, taken from the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders report, using the futures only data. WPI recently completed a...

feed-grains wheat livestock

Unemployment and Food Costs

Today’s report that the jobless rate fell in the U.S. was good news that the economy is reviving. Food demand is relatively inelastic, though there can be some changes in quality. If there are impacts, they should be inverse, meaning less money to pay for food should cause food prices to...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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