World Perspectives
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Market Commentary

Note: the CBOT will close early at 13:05 ET on Thursday, 2 July and reopen the evening of Sunday, 5 July. Short covering and position adjusting were the themes of CBOT trade on Monday, with corn and wheat turning higher while the soy complex was steady/weaker. Funds were aggressive net buyers of corn, securing some 15,000+ contracts while covering wheat shorts and selling a modest volume of soybeans. A warm/dry 7-day forecast for the U.S. helped support the rally, though reports from farm country suggest summer crops are looking better after last week’s warmth and precipitation.  The market is waiting for tomorrow’s Acreage and Grain Stocks reports, both of which will likely have market-moving impacts. WPI looks for corn...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

AM Outlook - Buying the Open

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Technical Views - Technically Higher

SPREADS Dec crush trades to 92.15c/bu while oilshare trades to 34.24%.  Dec/March corn trades to 8 1/4c from 8 3/4c, while Dec/Dec narrows to 11 1/2c from 15c.  Nov/Jan beans trades back into 2 3/4c from 3 3/4c, while Jan/March inverts to 9 1/2c from 7c.  Dec wheat/corn trades fr...

The Daily Onion

Starches and protein are the largest caloric components of the western diet and WPI analyzes them all day long. Notably, the onion is one of the most important components in the Indian diet. Periodically, there is the risk of civil unrest due to production shortfalls of the vegetable. Consequen...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

AM Outlook - Buying the Open

GOOD MORNING, The charts continue to throw off bullish technical signals, so the funds are buying the open and running with it.  The continuing reports of Chinese business has its corollary year based in 2016, also a very big bean buying year that saw the bean/corn ratio strengthen through...

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Technical Views - Technically Higher

SPREADS Dec crush trades to 92.15c/bu while oilshare trades to 34.24%.  Dec/March corn trades to 8 1/4c from 8 3/4c, while Dec/Dec narrows to 11 1/2c from 15c.  Nov/Jan beans trades back into 2 3/4c from 3 3/4c, while Jan/March inverts to 9 1/2c from 7c.  Dec wheat/corn trades fr...

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Market Commentary: Gambling on China

The market has been on a tear and it is all based on current demand from China and speculation that it will continue. Current demand prompts news articles about U.S. infrastructure capacity to service it, prospective future demand has funds lined up to go longer. The fundamentals leave us quest...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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