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Market Commentary

The markets opened mostly lower (except soyoil) with modest short-position building and long liquidation ahead of the WASDE. The biggest news item of the morning was President Trump noting that he has not agreed to suspend tariffs on Chinese goods, though earlier reports/rumors suggested he was willing to do so. Today’s news created liquidation in soybeans and hog futures with corn bleeding lower as well.  As is discussed in more detail below, the WASDE held relatively few surprises, especially in comparison to other reports this spring/fall. The early reaction to the report was buy corn/sell soybeans, which might have been the result of a desire to reverse spreads established earlier. That dynamic didn’t last too long how...

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Related Articles
soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soyoil

The 2020/21 global oilseed supply and demand forecasts include lower production, lower exports, higher crush, and lower ending stocks compared to last month.  USDA reduced global oilseed production by 2.0 million tons to 604.2 million on lower rapeseed, cottonseed, and soybean production.&...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soymeal

USDA raised U.S. soybean crush by 15 million bushels - reflecting an increase in domestic soybean meal disappearance which is raised in line with an increase for 2019/20.  With projections for exports unchanged, 2020/21 soybean ending stocks are increased 30 million bushels to 425 million...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

USDA’s outlook for U.S. soybean production is at 4.14 billion bushels, up 10 million on increased harvested area.  Harvested area, forecast at 83.0 million acres in the June 30 Acreage report, is up 0.2 million from last month.  The soybean yield forecast is unchanged at 49.8 bu...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soyoil

The 2020/21 global oilseed supply and demand forecasts include lower production, lower exports, higher crush, and lower ending stocks compared to last month.  USDA reduced global oilseed production by 2.0 million tons to 604.2 million on lower rapeseed, cottonseed, and soybean production.&...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soymeal

USDA raised U.S. soybean crush by 15 million bushels - reflecting an increase in domestic soybean meal disappearance which is raised in line with an increase for 2019/20.  With projections for exports unchanged, 2020/21 soybean ending stocks are increased 30 million bushels to 425 million...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

USDA’s outlook for U.S. soybean production is at 4.14 billion bushels, up 10 million on increased harvested area.  Harvested area, forecast at 83.0 million acres in the June 30 Acreage report, is up 0.2 million from last month.  The soybean yield forecast is unchanged at 49.8 bu...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

USDA’s outlook for 2020/21 U.S. corn is for lower ending stocks.  For 2020/21, corn production is forecast 995 million bushels lower based on reduced planted and harvested areas from the June 30 Acreage report.  The national average corn yield is unchanged at 178.5 bushels per a...

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From WPI Consulting

Weighing in on strategic realignment

WPI’s team was retained by the governing board of a U.S. industry organization to review a decision, reached by vote, to invest significant assets into the development and management of an export trading company. WPI’s team conducted a formal review of this decision and concluded that the current level of market saturation would limit the benefits of the investment. Based on WPI’s analysis and recommended actions, the board subsequently reversed its decision and undertook a strategic planning effort to identify more impactful investments. On behalf of numerous clients, WPI has not only assisted in identifying strategic paths but also advised their implementation.

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