World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Trading was double-sided and lackluster today following USDA’s bearish WASDE. Chart and technical conditions are bearish, and that is turning funds into sellers despite some solid end user buying. Reports from farm country are that farmer sales are almost completely gone after the CBOT’s recent break as producers adopt a strategy of storing grain and hoping for a trade war resolution. The latter may come soon(ish?) as the U.S. and China are once again sitting down to trade talks. With all the sitting down at meetings, getting up with nothing done and sitting down again, trade negotiations are starting to feel more like a Catholic Mass! Regardless, China is hopeful the Trump administration will offer more concessions ahead of the...

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soy-oilseeds feed-grains

China In-Country Analysis

Oilseeds Soymeal Inventory Falls Below 1 MMT Strong downstream demand from the feed industry as hog prices continue to surge pushed China’s nationwide soymeal inventory below the 1 MMT threshold. The total stood at 940,000 MT as of 14 September 2018, down 83,100 MT (-8.1 percent) from the...

livestock

More Placements, Fewer Marketings, Bearish Cattle on Feed Expected

The cattle and beef markets need clarity. The last Cattle on Feed report was fundamentally bearish, but prices have only gone higher since then. Packer margins are near record highs for this time of year, while cash cattle prices are near seasonal lows. Feedlot margins are theoretically in the...

Taj Mahal Chicken Coups; Starving for Health; Climate and Trade Wars; E15 Push

Taj Mahal Chicken Coups California voters are once again set to roil agricultural producers elsewhere in the nation as they vote 6 November on Proposition 12. Pushed by animal rights advocates who are outspending opponents, it would mandate specific growing conditions such as enlarged spaces fo...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains

China In-Country Analysis

Oilseeds Soymeal Inventory Falls Below 1 MMT Strong downstream demand from the feed industry as hog prices continue to surge pushed China’s nationwide soymeal inventory below the 1 MMT threshold. The total stood at 940,000 MT as of 14 September 2018, down 83,100 MT (-8.1 percent) from the...

livestock

More Placements, Fewer Marketings, Bearish Cattle on Feed Expected

The cattle and beef markets need clarity. The last Cattle on Feed report was fundamentally bearish, but prices have only gone higher since then. Packer margins are near record highs for this time of year, while cash cattle prices are near seasonal lows. Feedlot margins are theoretically in the...

Taj Mahal Chicken Coups; Starving for Health; Climate and Trade Wars; E15 Push

Taj Mahal Chicken Coups California voters are once again set to roil agricultural producers elsewhere in the nation as they vote 6 November on Proposition 12. Pushed by animal rights advocates who are outspending opponents, it would mandate specific growing conditions such as enlarged spaces fo...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

It was a trade war-influenced day at the CBOT with China adding tariffs to another $60 billion of U.S. products in a retaliatory response to the latest Trump-imposed tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods. The back-and-forth tariffs are not really causing further damage to major agricultural...

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