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soy-oilseeds wheat feed-grains

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Brazil The soybean market remains slow. With China very quiet and Brazil currently cheaper than U.S. Gulf, basis continues to fall. The only movement has been for spot positions with the market turning into a carry structure for January onward. Last week there were rumors of a trade at 114 for January and 105 for a January/February straddle, although this has not been confirmed. There is still elevation capacity for the nearby positions at ports. The harvest is just beginning in Brazil (approximately 5 percent complete at this time), and soybeans will soon start flowing to ports. Exporters need to put some sales in the books to rotate the ports, but demand is not showing up. Origination basis is above present levels, and farmers...

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Summary of Futures

Please refer to Summary Page...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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