World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Money Flows versus the Market

WPI’s recent research suggests December corn futures are likely to see additional selling pressure while a bottom may be approaching for November soybean futures. The wheat market outlook is mixed with funds reportedly holding a small long position but more recent data suggesting they have sold a significant portion of that long. After yesterday’s amazingly bearish WASDE, nearly everyone in the market is asking, “What next?” Where does the market go from here? Although one can certainly quibble with USDA about the details of its fundamental analysis, history has shown the agency is adept at issuing long-run forecasts that ultimately are correct, or nearly so. Given the lack of new fundamental news found between yest...

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wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 5-9 November 2018 Milling wheat export prices were stable at an average $228/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices at seaports grew in RUB expression but dropped in USD expression to $196-197/MT CPT-Black Sea port. The average feed barley export and purchase prices rose t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Yesterday commodity markets were dominated by NYMEX crude oil’s precipitous decline, but today that market stabilized and actually closed a little higher to end its 12-day losing streak. This allowed other commodities to return to their own specifics. Unfortunately for the grain and soy f...

Transatlantic Expectations; Crop of the Future; Updated Beef Age; Variable USMCA Hearings

Transatlantic Expectations EU Trade Commissioner Cecilia Malmström is in Washington to meet with her U.S. counterpart, Robert Lighthizer, and discuss efforts to better harmonize regulations. She expressed the view that President Trump would not impose tariffs on European automobiles due to...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 5-9 November 2018 Milling wheat export prices were stable at an average $228/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices at seaports grew in RUB expression but dropped in USD expression to $196-197/MT CPT-Black Sea port. The average feed barley export and purchase prices rose t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Yesterday commodity markets were dominated by NYMEX crude oil’s precipitous decline, but today that market stabilized and actually closed a little higher to end its 12-day losing streak. This allowed other commodities to return to their own specifics. Unfortunately for the grain and soy f...

Transatlantic Expectations; Crop of the Future; Updated Beef Age; Variable USMCA Hearings

Transatlantic Expectations EU Trade Commissioner Cecilia Malmström is in Washington to meet with her U.S. counterpart, Robert Lighthizer, and discuss efforts to better harmonize regulations. She expressed the view that President Trump would not impose tariffs on European automobiles due to...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 18 Corn closed at $3.67/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Dec 18 Wheat closed at $5.03/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $8.835/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Dec 18 Soymeal closed at $305.7/short ton, up $1.8 from y...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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