World Perspectives
livestock

More Placements, Fewer Marketings, Bearish Cattle on Feed Expected

The cattle and beef markets need clarity. The last Cattle on Feed report was fundamentally bearish, but prices have only gone higher since then. Packer margins are near record highs for this time of year, while cash cattle prices are near seasonal lows. Feedlot margins are theoretically in the red, but feeder calf values continue to rise (thanks, partly, to cheaper corn). Beef exports are relatively robust, but domestic demand remains flat overall. So, the present situation seems full of contradictions that Friday’s Cattle on Feed report may resolve. This analyst’s models suggest the 1 September total cattle on feed inventory will be up from last year with placements and marketings lower. To analyze the report’s likely fi...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn, Soy Complex Pause Rallies while Technical Buying Lifts Wheat

When markets opened on Monday there were just nine trading sessions before the quarterly Grain Stocks and Acreage Intentions reports from USDA, which meant that traders were focused on adjusting positions and forecasts ahead of those numbers. Beyond that, the weather is the market’s prima...

Monetary Policy Between a Rock and a Hard Place

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will meet this week; interest rates were last raised in July 2023, and during Q4 when rates were held steady markets were hopeful that was a signal that a rate cut would be coming in 2024.   Right now, however, the Federal Funds Futures market...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 24 Corn closed at $4.36/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  May 24 Wheat closed at $5.4275/bushel, up $0.1425 from yesterday's close.  May 24 Soybeans closed at $11.8775/bushel, down $0.105 from yesterday's close.  May 24 Soymeal closed at $331.9/short ton, down $2...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn, Soy Complex Pause Rallies while Technical Buying Lifts Wheat

When markets opened on Monday there were just nine trading sessions before the quarterly Grain Stocks and Acreage Intentions reports from USDA, which meant that traders were focused on adjusting positions and forecasts ahead of those numbers. Beyond that, the weather is the market’s prima...

Monetary Policy Between a Rock and a Hard Place

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will meet this week; interest rates were last raised in July 2023, and during Q4 when rates were held steady markets were hopeful that was a signal that a rate cut would be coming in 2024.   Right now, however, the Federal Funds Futures market...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 24 Corn closed at $4.36/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  May 24 Wheat closed at $5.4275/bushel, up $0.1425 from yesterday's close.  May 24 Soybeans closed at $11.8775/bushel, down $0.105 from yesterday's close.  May 24 Soymeal closed at $331.9/short ton, down $2...

livestock

Brazil’s Meat Opportunity

Brazil has famously surpassed the U.S. as the world’s largest producer and exporter of soybeans, and it could become a more consistent top exporter of corn. However, its livestock production lags. Brazil’s soybean production has been expanding at an average 5.5 percent per year, and...

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From WPI Consulting

Infrastructure investment due diligence

On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.

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