World Perspectives
soy-oilseeds

Palm Oil Falls Due to Large Stocks but Recovery Possible

The Malaysian Palm Oil Board’s (MPOB’s) monthly report indicated that stocks rose in June following contra-seasonal decreases over the last five months. The marginal 0.8 percent growth in stocks surprised the market, which was expecting a 1.2 percent decline in month-ending inventories. The increase lifted stocks to their highest level since March and was driven by a larger-than-expected drop in exports, which more than offset a drop in production. Production fell for the second straight month at a time when it is typically rising, down 12.6 percent from May but slightly above the 11.1 percent reduction expected by the market, and the daily output was below 45 MT for the first time since 2007. It is expected to bounce back in...

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soy-oilseeds feed-grains

China In-Country Analysis

Oilseeds Soymeal Inventory Falls Below 1 MMT Strong downstream demand from the feed industry as hog prices continue to surge pushed China’s nationwide soymeal inventory below the 1 MMT threshold. The total stood at 940,000 MT as of 14 September 2018, down 83,100 MT (-8.1 percent) from the...

livestock

More Placements, Fewer Marketings, Bearish Cattle on Feed Expected

The cattle and beef markets need clarity. The last Cattle on Feed report was fundamentally bearish, but prices have only gone higher since then. Packer margins are near record highs for this time of year, while cash cattle prices are near seasonal lows. Feedlot margins are theoretically in the...

Taj Mahal Chicken Coups; Starving for Health; Climate and Trade Wars; E15 Push

Taj Mahal Chicken Coups California voters are once again set to roil agricultural producers elsewhere in the nation as they vote 6 November on Proposition 12. Pushed by animal rights advocates who are outspending opponents, it would mandate specific growing conditions such as enlarged spaces fo...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains

China In-Country Analysis

Oilseeds Soymeal Inventory Falls Below 1 MMT Strong downstream demand from the feed industry as hog prices continue to surge pushed China’s nationwide soymeal inventory below the 1 MMT threshold. The total stood at 940,000 MT as of 14 September 2018, down 83,100 MT (-8.1 percent) from the...

livestock

More Placements, Fewer Marketings, Bearish Cattle on Feed Expected

The cattle and beef markets need clarity. The last Cattle on Feed report was fundamentally bearish, but prices have only gone higher since then. Packer margins are near record highs for this time of year, while cash cattle prices are near seasonal lows. Feedlot margins are theoretically in the...

Taj Mahal Chicken Coups; Starving for Health; Climate and Trade Wars; E15 Push

Taj Mahal Chicken Coups California voters are once again set to roil agricultural producers elsewhere in the nation as they vote 6 November on Proposition 12. Pushed by animal rights advocates who are outspending opponents, it would mandate specific growing conditions such as enlarged spaces fo...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

It was a trade war-influenced day at the CBOT with China adding tariffs to another $60 billion of U.S. products in a retaliatory response to the latest Trump-imposed tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods. The back-and-forth tariffs are not really causing further damage to major agricultural...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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