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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

PM Post - Fundamentals Prevail

THE OPEN Jan beans:  3 1/2 lower Jan soyoil:  19 lower Jan meal:  .70 lower March corn:  1 lower March wheat:  3 1/2 lower The markets opened as called but once again the path of least resistance was lower.  Trade talks don't have a set date, and until there is clarity on policy changes, growing conditions and world supply will retain center stage, as will technical action, which up until now has not been supportive.   SOY The bean market opened on its lows and continued to accelerate to the downside as funds came out selling.   Jan beans broke to target lows closer to $8.80, March lows just under $9.00 as sell-stops were triggered.   The weaker Brazilian Real, which tr...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Commodity Collapse

The CBOT was sharply weaker for the second trading day in August. Continued excellent or improving spring crop conditions and private firm forecasts of record corn and soybean yields sparked widespread selling. Corn dipped to new contract lows – as did HRW wheat – while SRW wheat an...

Phase One Collateral Damage; Conditional Income Subsidies

Phase One Collateral Damage UC-Davis researchers Robert Feenstra and Chang Hong analyzed (NBER Working Paper No. 27383) the impact of the Phase One agreement on China’s agricultural imports and find that some U.S. allies should be very upset. Holding China’s imports roughly static,...

What is the Exit Strategy for Ad Hoc Farm Payments?

The 2018 farm bill was signed into law in December of that year and implementing rules were rolled out through 2019. The major crop programs, like ARC and PLC for example, saw participation elections and signups in the fall of 2019 and CRP general sign up began in December 2019. These and other...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Commodity Collapse

The CBOT was sharply weaker for the second trading day in August. Continued excellent or improving spring crop conditions and private firm forecasts of record corn and soybean yields sparked widespread selling. Corn dipped to new contract lows – as did HRW wheat – while SRW wheat an...

Phase One Collateral Damage; Conditional Income Subsidies

Phase One Collateral Damage UC-Davis researchers Robert Feenstra and Chang Hong analyzed (NBER Working Paper No. 27383) the impact of the Phase One agreement on China’s agricultural imports and find that some U.S. allies should be very upset. Holding China’s imports roughly static,...

What is the Exit Strategy for Ad Hoc Farm Payments?

The 2018 farm bill was signed into law in December of that year and implementing rules were rolled out through 2019. The major crop programs, like ARC and PLC for example, saw participation elections and signups in the fall of 2019 and CRP general sign up began in December 2019. These and other...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 20 Corn closed at $3.2025/bushel, down $0.0825 from yesterday's close.  Sep 20 Wheat closed at $5.0825/bushel, down $0.1275 from yesterday's close.  Nov 20 Soybeans closed at $8.8175/bushel, down $0.145 from yesterday's close.  Dec 20 Soymeal closed at $291.4/short ton, down...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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