World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Possible Bullish Scenarios

It has been easy to be bearish on grain and soybean prices so far during the 2019/2020 crop cycle. In fact, it has been easy to be bearish during the last several crop cycles. The U.S. has seen several years of big corn crops, but so have South America and the Black Sea region. Competition for shares of world corn trade has been stout, and the U.S. share of that trade has declined. China’s 25 percent tariff on imports of U.S. soybeans imposed in July 2018 cut sharply into U.S. soybean exports as Chinese buyers shifted their demand to Brazil and Argentina. This did allow U.S. soybean exports to other destinations to increase, but not nearly enough to offset lost Chinese demand. Moreover, total Chinese soybean demand was flattening eve...

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FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 19 April)

Ocean Freight Comments - 19 April 2024 By Matt Herrington Spot dry-bulk freight markets remain weak amid dull April demand but rates are improving for May and June with improved interest in booking cargoes. Chinese demand for iron ore and coal has improved and bolstered capesize rates while gra...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 19 April)

Ocean Freight Comments - 19 April 2024 By Matt Herrington Spot dry-bulk freight markets remain weak amid dull April demand but rates are improving for May and June with improved interest in booking cargoes. Chinese demand for iron ore and coal has improved and bolstered capesize rates while gra...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for April 5-11, 2024 Wheat:  Net sales reductions of 93,600 metric tons (MT) for 2023/2024 were down noticeably from the previous week and from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 487,800 MT were down 22 percent from the previous week, but unchanged fro...

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 19 April)

Ocean Freight Comments - 19 April 2024 By Matt Herrington Spot dry-bulk freight markets remain weak amid dull April demand but rates are improving for May and June with improved interest in booking cargoes. Chinese demand for iron ore and coal has improved and bolstered capesize rates while gra...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 19 April)

Ocean Freight Comments - 19 April 2024 By Matt Herrington Spot dry-bulk freight markets remain weak amid dull April demand but rates are improving for May and June with improved interest in booking cargoes. Chinese demand for iron ore and coal has improved and bolstered capesize rates while gra...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for April 5-11, 2024 Wheat:  Net sales reductions of 93,600 metric tons (MT) for 2023/2024 were down noticeably from the previous week and from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 487,800 MT were down 22 percent from the previous week, but unchanged fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Looking for Market Movers

The bearishness continues as South America crops loom and Northern Hemisphere weather is stable. The impending flood of Argentine soymeal and soyoil onto the market sent the May soyoil contract to a new low.  There was nothing in today’s weekly USDA Export Sales report to alter the...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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