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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Questions and Comments

Having been without significant scheduled data from USDA since 11 December because of the “lapse of funding” (as USDA politely puts it), it is easy to understand why the reports to be released tomorrow will command so much attention from markets and market analysts. As a reminder, these will include 1 December quarterly stocks, final yield and production estimates for U.S. corn and soybeans, and estimated planted acreage for U.S. winter wheat. As interesting as those numbers may be, most will probably focus on the February WASDE with USDA’s updated estimates of Southern Hemisphere crop production as well as fresh U.S. and world supply/demand estimates. Below are a number of questions that the reports will hopefully answer...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Statistics Canada released its initial estimates, which are based on surveys conducted last month, of planted area for 2019. Much like the U.S., they show a decline in oilseed plantings and an increase for grains. With the de facto Chinese embargo on Canadian canola weighing heavily on prices,...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 15-19 April 2019 While grain prices on the domestic market mostly dropped in RUB expression, they grew slightly in USD expression due to the strengthening of the ruble. Meanwhile, the average milling wheat sea export price fell to $222/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase price...

Tri-Rift; Labor Waves

Tri-Rift President Donald Trump has ripped apart the trilateral EU-Japan-U.S. policy consortium and looks to increasingly target Europe with his bitterness. Yesterday he threatened reciprocity for Europe’s retaliatory duties against Harley Davidson, and the intent by Brussels to evade his...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Statistics Canada released its initial estimates, which are based on surveys conducted last month, of planted area for 2019. Much like the U.S., they show a decline in oilseed plantings and an increase for grains. With the de facto Chinese embargo on Canadian canola weighing heavily on prices,...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 15-19 April 2019 While grain prices on the domestic market mostly dropped in RUB expression, they grew slightly in USD expression due to the strengthening of the ruble. Meanwhile, the average milling wheat sea export price fell to $222/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase price...

Tri-Rift; Labor Waves

Tri-Rift President Donald Trump has ripped apart the trilateral EU-Japan-U.S. policy consortium and looks to increasingly target Europe with his bitterness. Yesterday he threatened reciprocity for Europe’s retaliatory duties against Harley Davidson, and the intent by Brussels to evade his...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 19 Corn closed at $3.4675/bushel, down $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Jul 19 Wheat closed at $4.385/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  May 19 Soybeans closed at $8.5525/bushel, down $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  May 19 Soymeal closed at $300.4/short ton, down $0...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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