World Perspectives
wheat

Rise in Wheat Futures

Chicago wheat futures have been climbing for the past few weeks based on still somewhat speculative supply losses due to adverse weather conditions and solid demand. Futures literally look forward while USDA’s strength is in the present and past. Historically, the stocks to use ratio and season average price correlate very closely (0.943). However, the recent move higher in wheat prices has reduced correlation by 1.8 percent, at least relative to USDA’s season average projection.  We will not have USDA’s final assessment of this year’s wheat production until early 2020, and the agency will continue to make adjustments in its supply/demand balance and consequent pricing outcomes for well more than a year from no...

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Summary of Futures

May 24 Corn closed at $4.2675/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  May 24 Wheat closed at $5.475/bushel, up $0.04 from yesterday's close.  May 24 Soybeans closed at $11.925/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  May 24 Soymeal closed at $339/short ton, down $0.8 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Acreage Outlooks Weaken Corn, Soy; Wheat Gains on Firmer Russian Offers

Trade at the CBOT was mostly lower heading into Thursday’s Grain Stocks and Prospective Plantings reports from the USDA, but wheat futures managed to find midday support and settle higher. Wheat’s strength came from another week of cautious gains in Russian FOB offers, which is seen...

BRICS Grain Exchange; EU Policy Foibles; Yen Implosion

BRICS Grain Exchange Russia is reportedly pushing other BRICS members to use the bloc as a grain exchange in competition with the West. The assertion is that these countries already control 42 percent of the grain trade. Add the new members like Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Iran and the UAE, plus other...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 24 Corn closed at $4.2675/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  May 24 Wheat closed at $5.475/bushel, up $0.04 from yesterday's close.  May 24 Soybeans closed at $11.925/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  May 24 Soymeal closed at $339/short ton, down $0.8 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Acreage Outlooks Weaken Corn, Soy; Wheat Gains on Firmer Russian Offers

Trade at the CBOT was mostly lower heading into Thursday’s Grain Stocks and Prospective Plantings reports from the USDA, but wheat futures managed to find midday support and settle higher. Wheat’s strength came from another week of cautious gains in Russian FOB offers, which is seen...

BRICS Grain Exchange; EU Policy Foibles; Yen Implosion

BRICS Grain Exchange Russia is reportedly pushing other BRICS members to use the bloc as a grain exchange in competition with the West. The assertion is that these countries already control 42 percent of the grain trade. Add the new members like Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Iran and the UAE, plus other...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 18–22 March 2024 The Russian domestic grain market saw depreciation of milling wheat and a slight depreciation of feed wheat, while feed corn also started to appreciate - most probably because of softer export duties. For the upcoming week, exports of feed corn from...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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