World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Smile! Large Upside Volatility in Corn Futures

In the latest sequence of WPI’s weekly Smile! report, the biggest change is a massive increase in upside volatility for corn futures while soybean and wheat futures are more neutrally positioned. For background on the methodology used in this analysis, check out this article. Again, the goal of this weekly publication is to give you a quick view of how the market perceives price risk over the near term. We also include last week’s charts, so you can see how the risk has shifted week-to-week.  Here are this week’s charts:  Corn Despite the USDA’s bearish WASDE, options traders are positioning for higher corn prices. Open interest (OI) is overwhelmingly higher in OTM calls than puts with a put/ca...

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The final conference report farm bill, which is now on the president’s desk awaiting signature, totals $428 billion for its 2019-2023 authorization period; most references in the media to a $867 billion cost are based on a 10-year baseline for the five-year bill. Because of the Balanced B...

SPS Minus Minus; Transatlantic Food Differences; Weighing Pressure on China

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Corn was higher with soybeans up slightly and wheat mixed in the Thursday night session. Trading volume was fairly strong overnight. This morning USDA announced sales of another 300,000 MT of soybeans to China plus 130,000 MT to “unknown” and 125,000 MT of corn to Japan. There is st...

Paying the Bill for the Farm Bill

The final conference report farm bill, which is now on the president’s desk awaiting signature, totals $428 billion for its 2019-2023 authorization period; most references in the media to a $867 billion cost are based on a 10-year baseline for the five-year bill. Because of the Balanced B...

SPS Minus Minus; Transatlantic Food Differences; Weighing Pressure on China

SPS Minus Minus U.S. agriculture groups responded to a U.S. request for comments on what should be the objectives in negotiating a transatlantic trade agreement, and their focus was on the usual suspect – sanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) barriers. Europe’s current technical barriers...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Corn was higher with soybeans up slightly and wheat mixed in the Thursday night session. Trading volume was fairly strong overnight. This morning USDA announced sales of another 300,000 MT of soybeans to China plus 130,000 MT to “unknown” and 125,000 MT of corn to Japan. There is st...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 19 Corn closed at $3.8475/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Mar 19 Wheat closed at $5.3/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $9.005/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Jan 19 Soymeal closed at $307.3/short ton, down $1.2 from...

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From WPI Consulting

Infrastructure investment due diligence

On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.

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