World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Smile! Large Upside Volatility in Corn Futures

In the latest sequence of WPI’s weekly Smile! report, the biggest change is a massive increase in upside volatility for corn futures while soybean and wheat futures are more neutrally positioned. For background on the methodology used in this analysis, check out this article. Again, the goal of this weekly publication is to give you a quick view of how the market perceives price risk over the near term. We also include last week’s charts, so you can see how the risk has shifted week-to-week.  Here are this week’s charts:  Corn Despite the USDA’s bearish WASDE, options traders are positioning for higher corn prices. Open interest (OI) is overwhelmingly higher in OTM calls than puts with a put/ca...

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What is the outlook for meat alternatives?

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livestock

Cattle on Feed at Record Level for April

USDA released its monthly Cattle on Feed (COF) report today after the market close, and it showed inventory below market expectations, a bullish factor. However, the more significant potential bull market driver is the gap between expected and actual placements. That is only part of the story,...

livestock

Cattle on Feed

United States Cattle on Feed Up 2 Percent: Cattle and calves on feed for the slaughter market in the United States for feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head totaled 11.8 million head on May 1, 2019. The inventory was 2 percent above May 1, 2018. This is the highest Ma...

Trouble Before the War; Counterintuitive Uncertainty Benefits

Trouble Before the War Ohio State University Professor Ian Sheldon laments that even if the U.S. and China reach a trade agreement, it will take many years to undo the damage from the trade war. He is correct, but it is also true that China was doing American agriculture fewer favors before the...

livestock

Cattle on Feed at Record Level for April

USDA released its monthly Cattle on Feed (COF) report today after the market close, and it showed inventory below market expectations, a bullish factor. However, the more significant potential bull market driver is the gap between expected and actual placements. That is only part of the story,...

livestock

Cattle on Feed

United States Cattle on Feed Up 2 Percent: Cattle and calves on feed for the slaughter market in the United States for feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head totaled 11.8 million head on May 1, 2019. The inventory was 2 percent above May 1, 2018. This is the highest Ma...

Trouble Before the War; Counterintuitive Uncertainty Benefits

Trouble Before the War Ohio State University Professor Ian Sheldon laments that even if the U.S. and China reach a trade agreement, it will take many years to undo the damage from the trade war. He is correct, but it is also true that China was doing American agriculture fewer favors before the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 19 Corn closed at $4.0425/bushel, up $0.145 from yesterday's close.  Jul 19 Wheat closed at $4.895/bushel, up $0.1925 from yesterday's close.  Jul 19 Soybeans closed at $8.2975/bushel, up $0.0825 from yesterday's close.  Jul 19 Soymeal closed at $300.5/short ton, up $3.3 from...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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