World Perspectives
feed-grains wheat soy-oilseeds

Smile! Options Market Reflects Bullish Corn Sentiment

Today’s trading in corn futures and options reflects the increasingly bullish sentiments held by traders. Similarly, despite wheat futures’ recent history of range-bound trading, options traders foresee more upside potential than downside risk with futures prices near their recent “floor”. With political and export demand uncertainty plaguing the soybean market, traders remain neutral/slightly defensive on soybean prices. Similarly, live cattle options reflect aggressive short hedging and an increasingly bearish outlook for the market.  For background on the methodology used in this analysis, check out this article (you should also read our Risk Disclaimer). Again, the goal of this weekly publication is to...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Global Wheat, Oilseed Futures Rally on Weather Threats

Friday’s strength in CBOT and broader global ag commodity futures was simply a foreshadowing of the rallies that would develop on Monday. Heading into the weekend, markets were jittery on perceived weather risks, many of which turned out to be prescient. Over the weekend, parts of the U.S...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 22 April)

Update for 1 April 2024: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where ob...

Trading Waste; Ottawa versus Manila; Politician’s Lag

Trading Waste Rich Westerners consumed so much plastic that even though landfills take much of it, their export of plastic waste now overwhelms Asia. Then Western policymakers gave yellow grease (used cooking oil) a very low carbon score for use as energy since it is a form of recycling. With h...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Global Wheat, Oilseed Futures Rally on Weather Threats

Friday’s strength in CBOT and broader global ag commodity futures was simply a foreshadowing of the rallies that would develop on Monday. Heading into the weekend, markets were jittery on perceived weather risks, many of which turned out to be prescient. Over the weekend, parts of the U.S...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 22 April)

Update for 1 April 2024: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where ob...

Trading Waste; Ottawa versus Manila; Politician’s Lag

Trading Waste Rich Westerners consumed so much plastic that even though landfills take much of it, their export of plastic waste now overwhelms Asia. Then Western policymakers gave yellow grease (used cooking oil) a very low carbon score for use as energy since it is a form of recycling. With h...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Please refer to Summary Page...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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