World Perspectives
biofuel energy

Supplemental RVO Coming

As we’ve previously reported, EPA’s 2021 annual biofuel required volume obligations (RVO) rule has been at the Office of Management and Budget since 13 May undergoing review. That rule is likely to be issued soon, and after that the anticipated 20.17 billion gallon RIN equivalent volume rule, of which 15 billion is ethanol. EPA is now indicating that it is likely that a supplemental RVO will come later in the year.   The supplement is expected to be another 250 million gallons, to be matched by a second supplemental rule in 2022 to make up for the 500 million gallons of conventional ethanol from 2016 which the courts ruled EPA had waived incorrectly. That would make the effective ethanol RVO 15.25 billion gallons for...

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Summary of Futures

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.43/bushel, down $0.1825 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $6.84/bushel, down $0.0825 from yesterday's close.  Nov 21 Soybeans closed at $13.5175/bushel, down $0.105 from yesterday's close.  Dec 21 Soymeal closed at $356.2/short ton, down $9...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Fall on Weather, Weak Technicals; Livestock Markets Digest New Data

The CBOT pulled back again on Friday with weak technical conditions in corn and soybeans contributing to early declines. U.S. weather forecasts are mostly hot and dry still, but recent European model runs show greater precipitation for the central U.S. That put a bearish bias in the CBOT today...

wheat livestock soy-oilseeds

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity markets. The data is, of course, taken from the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders report, using the futures only data. WPI recently completed a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.43/bushel, down $0.1825 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $6.84/bushel, down $0.0825 from yesterday's close.  Nov 21 Soybeans closed at $13.5175/bushel, down $0.105 from yesterday's close.  Dec 21 Soymeal closed at $356.2/short ton, down $9...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Fall on Weather, Weak Technicals; Livestock Markets Digest New Data

The CBOT pulled back again on Friday with weak technical conditions in corn and soybeans contributing to early declines. U.S. weather forecasts are mostly hot and dry still, but recent European model runs show greater precipitation for the central U.S. That put a bearish bias in the CBOT today...

wheat livestock soy-oilseeds

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity markets. The data is, of course, taken from the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders report, using the futures only data. WPI recently completed a...

livestock

Cattle Supply Continuing to Contract in Line with Expectations

USDA’s semi-annual Cattle Inventory report was released this afternoon. All cattle and calves in the United States on 1 July totaled 101 million head, 99 percent of July 2020 – in line with pre-report expectations. Of that inventory, all cows and heifers that have calved totaled 40...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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