World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Tracking Exports

Commodity futures markets thrive on various forms of instant gratification that are capable of immediately moving market prices and providing trading opportunities. It may be important government reports such as Friday’s August WASDE, which has a history of provoking immediate, significant price movements in grain and soy futures markets, or sudden economic/political events with the potential for moving prices (e.g., China’s recent imposition of tariffs on U.S. soybean imports or Russia’s decision some years ago to prohibit wheat exports). Many noncommercial futures traders seek to buy or sell the quickly changing price movements resulting from such occurrences. Basic supply and demand fundamentals may ultimately determin...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Turnaround Tuesday’s higher prices for grain and soy futures did not last long. An array of negative macro influences and forecasts for a week of favorable weather for the Plains and Midwest sent soy and wheat prices back near where they were at Monday’s close. Commodity prices in g...

Rise Above the WTO; Pros and Cons of Relocate

Rise Above the WTO Channeling Donald Trump’s incendiary style, the normally thoughtful Kevin Hassett, chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisors, has raised the issue of throwing China out of the WTO. The comment is notable since many trading partners would currently like to th...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 6-10 August 2018 Grain prices increased due to rising prices on international markets and weakening of the ruble. Milling wheat export prices rose $3/MT to $235/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices at seaports grew to $187-192/MT CPT-Black Sea port. While the average fee...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Turnaround Tuesday’s higher prices for grain and soy futures did not last long. An array of negative macro influences and forecasts for a week of favorable weather for the Plains and Midwest sent soy and wheat prices back near where they were at Monday’s close. Commodity prices in g...

Rise Above the WTO; Pros and Cons of Relocate

Rise Above the WTO Channeling Donald Trump’s incendiary style, the normally thoughtful Kevin Hassett, chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisors, has raised the issue of throwing China out of the WTO. The comment is notable since many trading partners would currently like to th...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 6-10 August 2018 Grain prices increased due to rising prices on international markets and weakening of the ruble. Milling wheat export prices rose $3/MT to $235/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices at seaports grew to $187-192/MT CPT-Black Sea port. While the average fee...

feed-grains wheat soy-oilseeds

Summary of Futures

Dec 18 Corn closed at $3.76/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Sep 18 Wheat closed at $5.3225/bushel, down $0.095 from yesterday's close.  Nov 18 Soybeans closed at $8.69/bushel, down $0.1075 from yesterday's close.  Dec 18 Soymeal closed at $331.3/short ton, down $6.5...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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