World Perspectives

Trump Effect; China to Create Farmland

Trump Effect Deborah Elms, Executive Director of the Asian Trade Centre in Singapore, writes in the Nikkei that President Trump’s demand that more countries give up their classification as “developing” countries will “be a legacy that long outlasts the Trump administration.” NATO members are obligated to spend 2 percent of their GDP on defense in support of the security organization but only five Continental European nations do so. Defense spending by Germany, the largest economy in Europe, has been falling and instead of hitting 2 percent by 2024 will only spend 1.24 percent in 2023. However, after much naming and shaming by President Trump, German Defense Minister Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer now says the cou...

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Cold Storage Report Features More Pork, Poultry

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FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 22 November)

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Awkwardness on Hong Kong; Gottlieb’s Successor

Awkwardness on Hong Kong President Trump says he will sign or veto legislation (the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act) approved near unanimously by the Congress depending on whether China completes a phase one trade deal with him. There are several awkward aspects to his position includi...

livestock

Cold Storage Report Features More Pork, Poultry

The latest Cold Storage report from USDA (which features commodity stocks as of 31 October 2019) shows growing supplies of pork and chicken and a modest tightening in beef supplies. Total red meat supplies were up 1 percent from September but down 1 percent from year-ago levels.    &...

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 22 November)

Update for 22 November 2019: All other routes/offers updated through the day's close.  Note: Due to client request, WPI has added data for corn prices FOB France, Russia, and a general Black Sea price.   Freight Comments for 21 November 2019: Jay O’Neil, O’Neil Commodity...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Spread trade was the biggest feature of the day with traders rolling out of December contracts and into deferred contracts. December options expired this afternoon and there was a solid round of positioning/rolling contracts around that fact. Wheat futures were higher with no deliveries yet reg...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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