World Perspectives
soy-oilseeds

U.S. Soybean Numbers Still Bearish

The U.S. soybean market has had a bearish fundamental outlook for well over a year. Record U.S. and Brazilian crops in 2017 pushed world supplies to record levels despite the consistent growing demand from China. Most market analysts expected soybean futures prices would drop to below $9.00/bushel, and the most bearish forecasts had them at sub-$8.00/bushel. The world’s fundamental traders have fought the short side of the market, while the big speculative funds have traded the long side of both soybean and soymeal futures. The funds have been the winners despite the outwardly bearish fundamentals. The last straw for the bearish fundamentals was the severe drought across Argentina that reduced soybean production there from early esti...

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After featuring active trade and higher prices on Monday and Tuesday, grain and soybean markets paused to catch their breath today. Volume was restrained, and limited price action kept values near Tuesday’s closes. Following those rare occasions during the past few months when markets ral...

Trading Barbs; Got Milk?

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

After featuring active trade and higher prices on Monday and Tuesday, grain and soybean markets paused to catch their breath today. Volume was restrained, and limited price action kept values near Tuesday’s closes. Following those rare occasions during the past few months when markets ral...

Trading Barbs; Got Milk?

Trading Barbs WTO: There is a special Agriculture Committee meeting at the WTO next week, and the disparate views of its members are being previewed ahead of it. The varied demands include the following: improvements in market access, disciplines on farm subsidies by rich countries, disciplines...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 9-13 July 2018 The domestic grain market was influenced by different trends as new crop production started being traded along with that of previous seasons. Milling wheat export prices grew $2.00/MT to $202/MT FOB Black Sea, but purchase prices at seaports were stable (in...

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Summary of Futures

Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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