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USDA Forecasts and China Agreement

The February WASDE will be released this coming Tuesday and ahead of it USDA’s Office of the Chief of Economist (OCE) issued an explanation of how upcoming WASDE reports will integrate projections of the China trade agreement. The coronavirus situation has put some of the big expectations in doubt but that makes the monthly WASDE forecasts potentially more important. The Phase Onr deal between the U.S. and China goes into effect on 14 February, 30 days after its signing in January. Tuesday’s WASDE report is the first one that could incorporate data from the expanded China deal.  According to OCE, “publicly available information and data pertaining to the agreement” will be reflected in the February WASDE and su...

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Summary of Futures

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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