World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

USDA Reports Simply More of the Same

All had been hoping that the long-awaited USDA reports released today (originally scheduled for publication on 11 January) would reveal new insight, create some new market expectations or inspire the markets. Unfortunately, none of this was realized. Instead, they provided much of what had been anticipated, and that meant no unexpected gyrations in the markets. Following are the important highlights of these reports: Soybeans The 2018 U.S. soybean yield was reduced by 0.5 bushels/acre, decreasing production by 56 million bushels. Exports were lowered by 25 million bushels. U.S. crush was increased by 10 million bushels. U.S. ending supplies dropped from 955 million bushels in the December WASDE to 910 million bushels today, which co...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 19 Corn closed at $3.8075/bushel, up $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  Sep 19 Wheat closed at $4.7075/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Nov 19 Soybeans closed at $8.7975/bushel, up $0.09 from yesterday's close.  Dec 19 Soymeal closed at $300.3/short ton, up $3.4 from...

Bond Yield, China, and Buying Opportunities

The yield curve for Treasury bonds inverted on Wednesday, and that sparked a major stock sell-off as well as rampant speculation about the state of the economy. While it is true that inverted yield curves preceded each of the last seven recessions, the phenomenon is a symptom and not a cause. I...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Expectations of crop tours finding yields below USDA’s latest estimate gave the CBOT a boost to end what has otherwise been a bearish week. Private yield estimates prompted a round of short covering in the corn and soybean markets, while wheat was left largely directionless. Cattle prices...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 19 Corn closed at $3.8075/bushel, up $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  Sep 19 Wheat closed at $4.7075/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Nov 19 Soybeans closed at $8.7975/bushel, up $0.09 from yesterday's close.  Dec 19 Soymeal closed at $300.3/short ton, up $3.4 from...

Bond Yield, China, and Buying Opportunities

The yield curve for Treasury bonds inverted on Wednesday, and that sparked a major stock sell-off as well as rampant speculation about the state of the economy. While it is true that inverted yield curves preceded each of the last seven recessions, the phenomenon is a symptom and not a cause. I...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Expectations of crop tours finding yields below USDA’s latest estimate gave the CBOT a boost to end what has otherwise been a bearish week. Private yield estimates prompted a round of short covering in the corn and soybean markets, while wheat was left largely directionless. Cattle prices...

Economic Conundrum; Trade Adjustment Assistance

Economic Conundrum The West turned unhappy with China’s trade and economic practices before Donald Trump, but it is unclear that his approach to the problem is working. While the trade hit on U.S. agriculture is clear, the American side is generally faring worse from the trade war. China&...

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From WPI Consulting

Infrastructure investment due diligence

On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.

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