World Perspectives

China In-Country Analysis

Policy Developments Will China Ultimately Retaliate? Coming on the heels of President Trump’s announcement last week confirming that his administration would implement its proposed 25 percent tariff on $50 billion worth of exports from China, Beijing said it would respond in kind with tar...

Today’s Top insights

Predictable Trade War; Owed Freebies; Jurisdictional Meat; Sweet Natural Duplicity

Predictable Trade War After the Shanghai Composite Index plunged in value, the headlines say that the Chinese were “caught off guard” by President Trump’s announcement of counter-retaliatory tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese exports. Wall Street was also supposedly surprised...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Soybean and grain futures prices were lower to open the overnight session, and losses grew as trading progressed into the early morning. Understandably, soybeans were the downside leader as they are most directly threatened by Chinese tariffs. They were down more than 20 cents when trading rece...

Looking Ahead at the China Trade Dispute

Yesterday President Trump asked the U.S. Trade Representative to identify $200 billion worth of Chinese goods for additional tariffs at a rate of 10 percent. His statement noted, “After the legal process is complete, these tariffs will go into effect if China refuses to change its practic...

Predictable Trade War; Owed Freebies; Jurisdictional Meat; Sweet Natural Duplicity

Predictable Trade War After the Shanghai Composite Index plunged in value, the headlines say that the Chinese were “caught off guard” by President Trump’s announcement of counter-retaliatory tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese exports. Wall Street was also supposedly surprised...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Soybean and grain futures prices were lower to open the overnight session, and losses grew as trading progressed into the early morning. Understandably, soybeans were the downside leader as they are most directly threatened by Chinese tariffs. They were down more than 20 cents when trading rece...

Looking Ahead at the China Trade Dispute

Yesterday President Trump asked the U.S. Trade Representative to identify $200 billion worth of Chinese goods for additional tariffs at a rate of 10 percent. His statement noted, “After the legal process is complete, these tariffs will go into effect if China refuses to change its practic...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Changes in energy products’ recent price behavior point to potential trading opportunities. Similarly, the momentum indicators in grains show opportunities in those commodities are rapidly changing as well. Finally, livestock and soft commodity futures are analyzed and their forward curve...

Trade War Havoc

Trade wars invariably involve government actions intended to impede, punish or prevent imports and exports of goods between two or more countries. The most common ammunition used by participants is the imposition of higher tariffs and/or surcharges on either imports of specific items or on an a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Changes in energy products’ recent price behavior point to potential trading opportunities. Similarly, the momentum indicators in grains show opportunities in those commodities are rapidly changing as well. Finally, livestock and soft commodity futures are analyzed and their forward curve...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Chinese Tariff Impact on Upper Midwest; India’s Soyoil Tariff

Chinese Tariffs Impact on Upper Midwest Soybean Farmers Barring a settlement to the current trade dispute, China is expected to impose a 25 percent tariff on U.S. soybeans effective 6 July. It appears the situation may intensify after President Trump yesterday threatened to implement additional...

wheat feed-grains

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MIDDLE EAST/MEDITERRANEAN COMMENTS As part of its budget control measures, Egypt has announced price increases of 35-40 percent for gasoline (depending on the grade) and 60 percent for home cooking gas. This announcement was made during the Eid Al-Fitr holidays to avoid any org...

Illogical War; Illogical Reparations; Precaution or Hysteria?; Relations and Wars

Illogical War One can imagine more sophisticated approaches to rebalancing trade concessions than the one undertaken by the Trump administration. The president’s assertion was that a larger trade deficit and lower average tariffs mean the U.S. is in a stronger negotiating position. Howeve...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

China Tariffs and U.S. Exports

The imposition of trade tariffs on imports from China and that country’s corresponding retaliation against imports from the U.S. have had a profoundly negative impact on corn, wheat and soybean prices since negotiations broke down. These trade issues have overwhelmed some bullish fundamen...

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