World Perspectives

Softs Recent Softs Analysis

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: The Bear that Ate the Corn Market

The WASDE was undeniably bearish with December corn and November soybean futures reaching new contract lows (actually, soybeans hit the low before and after the WASDE’s release), while wheat futures were down double-digits in response to the latest news. The headline numbers cratering the...

feed-grains softs

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Demand for Quality Malt and Beer Increasing The number of microbreweries has grown from 20 to 120 in the past five years (2013-2018), up 500 percent. New international brands have come to India during this period, and now the trend is to sell bottled/canned craft beer. However, none of this mea...

softs soy-oilseeds feed-grains

India Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Sugar Prices Stable; Exports Not Feasible Even with the Merchandise Export from India Scheme (MEIS) export incentive of 7 percent, it is not possible to make a profit exporting sugar. The government of India (GOI) set an export target of 2.0 MMT for the 2017/18 season (ending 30 September), but...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains softs

India Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Vegetable Oil Imports via South Asian Countries India’s edible vegetable oil imports dropped about 2.23 percent during November 2017-June 2018 to 9.4 MMT versus 9.615 MMT in the same previous eight months. For June 2018, they were 19.18 percent lower than May 2018 at 1.007 MMT and down 22...

softs soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Increased Sugarcane Prices a Double Blow for the Sugar Industry As this is an election year, the government must please farmers, the backbone of the Indian economy. As it promised in the election manifesto and again in the budget speech to guarantee them at least a 50 percent profit above the c...

softs feed-grains biofuel

India Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Ethanol Policy Changes May Not Ease Pressure on Sugar Sector Immediately Changes in ethanol prices, including that of B-Heavy molasses as an input for making the fuel, do not mean that India will become self-sufficient in supplies and fulfil the demand of the Ethanol Blending Program (EBP). Fur...

softs feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Ban on Yellow Pea Imports Extended for Three Months India’s Ministry of Commerce has extended the ban on yellow pea imports, first implemented in late April 2018 for a three-month period as the price of chickpeas cotinued to slide, until 30 September 2018. Per the notification, “The...

feed-grains livestock wheat

Closing Bell Wrap-Up

CBOT products bounced higher today as the Trump Administration confirmed it is backing away from new restrictions in investment and intellectual property purchase rights to be applied on China. The move is being interpreted as the Administration taking a softer tone to draw China back to the ne...

soy-oilseeds softs biofuel

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Falling Soymeal Prices May Move Up if Exports Continue Soybean and soymeal prices moved lower last week but had some upward movement near its end, and they are stable now due to slow poultry sector demand as well as international cues. However, world prices are still lower. The Indian soybean s...

biofuel softs soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Ethanol Production Up; Prices Nose-Dive  As noted in earlier reports, India’s sugar production in sugar year 2017/18 (November-October) is expected to reach 32 MMT, and that is having an effect on ethanol production. The latter is now expected to total 3.11 billion liters (0.822 bill...

wheat softs biofuel

India Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Wheat Procurement Exceeds Estimates; Open Market Prices Drop As of 4 June 2018, 34.724 MMT of wheat had been procured for 2018/19 by the Food Corporation of India (FCI) and state agencies, 8.51 percent more than the government of India’s (GOI’s) fixed target of 32 MMT. For reference...

softs feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Sugar Prices Improve on GOI Intervention It seems that the government of India (GOI) has finally heeded the sugar industry’s demand and will create a buffer stock. With the Indian Sugar Manufacturers Association now boosting its sugar production forecast to 32 MMT, 2018/19 opening stocks...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: The Bear that Ate the Corn Market

The WASDE was undeniably bearish with December corn and November soybean futures reaching new contract lows (actually, soybeans hit the low before and after the WASDE’s release), while wheat futures were down double-digits in response to the latest news. The headline numbers cratering the...

feed-grains softs

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Demand for Quality Malt and Beer Increasing The number of microbreweries has grown from 20 to 120 in the past five years (2013-2018), up 500 percent. New international brands have come to India during this period, and now the trend is to sell bottled/canned craft beer. However, none of this mea...

softs soy-oilseeds feed-grains

India Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Sugar Prices Stable; Exports Not Feasible Even with the Merchandise Export from India Scheme (MEIS) export incentive of 7 percent, it is not possible to make a profit exporting sugar. The government of India (GOI) set an export target of 2.0 MMT for the 2017/18 season (ending 30 September), but...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains softs

India Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Vegetable Oil Imports via South Asian Countries India’s edible vegetable oil imports dropped about 2.23 percent during November 2017-June 2018 to 9.4 MMT versus 9.615 MMT in the same previous eight months. For June 2018, they were 19.18 percent lower than May 2018 at 1.007 MMT and down 22...

softs soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Increased Sugarcane Prices a Double Blow for the Sugar Industry As this is an election year, the government must please farmers, the backbone of the Indian economy. As it promised in the election manifesto and again in the budget speech to guarantee them at least a 50 percent profit above the c...

softs feed-grains biofuel

India Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Ethanol Policy Changes May Not Ease Pressure on Sugar Sector Immediately Changes in ethanol prices, including that of B-Heavy molasses as an input for making the fuel, do not mean that India will become self-sufficient in supplies and fulfil the demand of the Ethanol Blending Program (EBP). Fur...

softs feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Ban on Yellow Pea Imports Extended for Three Months India’s Ministry of Commerce has extended the ban on yellow pea imports, first implemented in late April 2018 for a three-month period as the price of chickpeas cotinued to slide, until 30 September 2018. Per the notification, “The...

feed-grains livestock wheat

Closing Bell Wrap-Up

CBOT products bounced higher today as the Trump Administration confirmed it is backing away from new restrictions in investment and intellectual property purchase rights to be applied on China. The move is being interpreted as the Administration taking a softer tone to draw China back to the ne...

soy-oilseeds softs biofuel

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Falling Soymeal Prices May Move Up if Exports Continue Soybean and soymeal prices moved lower last week but had some upward movement near its end, and they are stable now due to slow poultry sector demand as well as international cues. However, world prices are still lower. The Indian soybean s...

biofuel softs soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Ethanol Production Up; Prices Nose-Dive  As noted in earlier reports, India’s sugar production in sugar year 2017/18 (November-October) is expected to reach 32 MMT, and that is having an effect on ethanol production. The latter is now expected to total 3.11 billion liters (0.822 bill...

wheat softs biofuel

India Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Wheat Procurement Exceeds Estimates; Open Market Prices Drop As of 4 June 2018, 34.724 MMT of wheat had been procured for 2018/19 by the Food Corporation of India (FCI) and state agencies, 8.51 percent more than the government of India’s (GOI’s) fixed target of 32 MMT. For reference...

softs feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Sugar Prices Improve on GOI Intervention It seems that the government of India (GOI) has finally heeded the sugar industry’s demand and will create a buffer stock. With the Indian Sugar Manufacturers Association now boosting its sugar production forecast to 32 MMT, 2018/19 opening stocks...

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