Market Commentary: Reports Tank Soy Complex and Wheat; Corn Stocks Bullish but Market Falls Anyway
The much-anticipated Grain Stocks report failed to match expectations in terms of supply data, but more than exceeded hopes for an exciting day of trade. The USDA’s headline report – the Grain Stocks as of 1 September – and the Small Grains summary report sent wheat and the so...
CFTC COT Report Analysis
New: WPI has added softs (cocoa, coffee, cotton, and sugar) and selected energy futures (NYMEX natural gas, crude oil, RBOB gasoline, and Chicago ethanol) to this report. Consequently, the attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net...
Oilseed Highlights – Drift Lower Could End
The Market It was another week of falling oilseed prices. November soybeans dropped 1.6 percent, December soymeal lost 1.1 percent and December soyoil fell hardest, shaving off 6.3 percent. The market can be a paradox. Brazil is dominating the export market and yet the U.S. has tight supplies a...
FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 29 September)
Ocean Freight Comments - 28 September 2023 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting FFA paper traders managed to move dry-bulk futures markets slightly higher for the week, but physical markets were not ready to follow their lead. Physical markets were happy to remain steady and mostly unchanged for...
Government Shutdown?
Another government shutdown is looming; WPI’s contacts on Capitol Hill and around Washington are all predicting a shutdown is more likely than not. The non-partisan Committee for a Federal Responsible Budget puts the chances of a shutdown at 90 percent due to lack of time – the fisc...
Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 29 September)
Editor's note: due to changes in the coding for the Shiny platform upon which this app is built, the tables of freight rates are temporarily unavailable. We expect to have the tables re-coded soon. Ocean Freight Comments - 28 September 2023 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting: FFA paper traders...
Market Commentary: Mixed but Friendly
Never understood the market phrase “friendly” – friendly to whom? Today’s market was not too unfriendly to anyone from the standpoint that up or down, there were no dramatic swings. Call it light volatility. Key points: The results were mixed with corn, soymeal, and liv...
Livestock Roundup: Slightly More Hogs and Pigs
USDA released its June quarterly Hogs and Pigs report today. Pre-report expectation was for a total inventory of 73.6 million head – which would have been the smallest September inventory since 2017 - but the actual inventory was 74.3 million, slightly higher than September 2022 and up 2...
Shutdown Exports; Killing the Messenger; Checking Out
Shutdown Exports The U.S. government will likely shut down this weekend because some Republicans are trying to leverage more budget discipline and other goals. The overall impact on the economy of a government shutdown is less than the clickbait media is trying to convey, but it does have odd i...
Market Commentary: Wheat Crashes on Tender Results; Commercial Buying Lifts Corn
The CBOT was once again mixed with wheat futures dropping to fresh, two-year lows after data from Egypt’s latest tender showed continued weakness in global values. Corn and soybeans, on the other hand, found a bit of strength on commercial buying and, for soybeans, expectations of tighter...
Green Tipping Point; Scale of Corruption
Green Tipping Point The media only covers the two extremes: climate deniers and climate alarmists. The climate alarmists have been winning but now it is the middle having their way. Those in the middle have been quite willing to make some sacrifices on behalf of slowing climate change. But they...
Tomato Wars
U.S. and Mexican trade officials meet in Washington this Friday for the annual bilateral economic dialogue. Labor rights, automobile domestic content, and maybe GMO corn are likely topics. Another will be tomatoes. American tomato growers and their members of Congress are demanding that the Bid...
Market Commentary: Reports Tank Soy Complex and Wheat; Corn Stocks Bullish but Market Falls Anyway
The much-anticipated Grain Stocks report failed to match expectations in terms of supply data, but more than exceeded hopes for an exciting day of trade. The USDA’s headline report – the Grain Stocks as of 1 September – and the Small Grains summary report sent wheat and the so...
CFTC COT Report Analysis
New: WPI has added softs (cocoa, coffee, cotton, and sugar) and selected energy futures (NYMEX natural gas, crude oil, RBOB gasoline, and Chicago ethanol) to this report. Consequently, the attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net...
Oilseed Highlights – Drift Lower Could End
The Market It was another week of falling oilseed prices. November soybeans dropped 1.6 percent, December soymeal lost 1.1 percent and December soyoil fell hardest, shaving off 6.3 percent. The market can be a paradox. Brazil is dominating the export market and yet the U.S. has tight supplies a...
FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 29 September)
Ocean Freight Comments - 28 September 2023 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting FFA paper traders managed to move dry-bulk futures markets slightly higher for the week, but physical markets were not ready to follow their lead. Physical markets were happy to remain steady and mostly unchanged for...
Government Shutdown?
Another government shutdown is looming; WPI’s contacts on Capitol Hill and around Washington are all predicting a shutdown is more likely than not. The non-partisan Committee for a Federal Responsible Budget puts the chances of a shutdown at 90 percent due to lack of time – the fisc...
Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 29 September)
Editor's note: due to changes in the coding for the Shiny platform upon which this app is built, the tables of freight rates are temporarily unavailable. We expect to have the tables re-coded soon. Ocean Freight Comments - 28 September 2023 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting: FFA paper traders...
Market Commentary: Mixed but Friendly
Never understood the market phrase “friendly” – friendly to whom? Today’s market was not too unfriendly to anyone from the standpoint that up or down, there were no dramatic swings. Call it light volatility. Key points: The results were mixed with corn, soymeal, and liv...
Livestock Roundup: Slightly More Hogs and Pigs
USDA released its June quarterly Hogs and Pigs report today. Pre-report expectation was for a total inventory of 73.6 million head – which would have been the smallest September inventory since 2017 - but the actual inventory was 74.3 million, slightly higher than September 2022 and up 2...
Shutdown Exports; Killing the Messenger; Checking Out
Shutdown Exports The U.S. government will likely shut down this weekend because some Republicans are trying to leverage more budget discipline and other goals. The overall impact on the economy of a government shutdown is less than the clickbait media is trying to convey, but it does have odd i...
Market Commentary: Wheat Crashes on Tender Results; Commercial Buying Lifts Corn
The CBOT was once again mixed with wheat futures dropping to fresh, two-year lows after data from Egypt’s latest tender showed continued weakness in global values. Corn and soybeans, on the other hand, found a bit of strength on commercial buying and, for soybeans, expectations of tighter...
Green Tipping Point; Scale of Corruption
Green Tipping Point The media only covers the two extremes: climate deniers and climate alarmists. The climate alarmists have been winning but now it is the middle having their way. Those in the middle have been quite willing to make some sacrifices on behalf of slowing climate change. But they...
Tomato Wars
U.S. and Mexican trade officials meet in Washington this Friday for the annual bilateral economic dialogue. Labor rights, automobile domestic content, and maybe GMO corn are likely topics. Another will be tomatoes. American tomato growers and their members of Congress are demanding that the Bid...