World Perspectives

Recent South America Analysis

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 22 February)

Ocean Freight Comments - 22 February 2024 By Matt Herrington Freight markets and traders returned from their seasonal quiet period during the Chinese Lunar New Year holiday and found a flurry of buying orders that supported markets and rates. The Capesize sector led the rally with the Panamax s...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 22 February)

Ocean Freight Comments - 22 February 2024 By Matt Herrington Freight markets and traders returned from their seasonal quiet period during the Chinese Lunar New Year holiday and found a flurry of buying orders that supported markets and rates. The Capesize sector led the rally with the Panamax s...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Leads CBOT Rally on Short-Covering, Value Buying

The CBOT turned sharply higher after the three-day weekend with wheat leading the way on a surge in buying interest. Paris wheat started the rally with contracts there rebounded from new contract lows, and that strength spilled over into CBOT and KCBT futures as well. While little clear motivat...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Falls as Inflation and U.S. Dollar Rise

Macroeconomic trade largely defined price action in the ag markets on Tuesday as higher-than-expected CPI inflation spooked markets. The U.S. CPI came in above expectations at 3.1 percent, which sent the U.S. dollar index sharply higher as it implies the Fed will have to keep interest rates hig...

feed-grains

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn It is expected that extreme temperatures recorded in Argentina over the past fifteen days may reduce the corn crop’s yield potential, primarily in late-maturing corn (to be evaluated in the coming weeks). Currently, 53 percent of that crop is going through its critical period for yie...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn, Soybeans Firm in Early Week Trade; Russia Lowers “Suggested” Wheat Price

Corn, soybeans, and soymeal turned higher to start the week with markets bouncing from recent lows or recovering from early pushes to new lows. The Goldman roll concluded its fourth day on Monday, which helped drive some of the day’s trade, though roll volume was far below Friday’s...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn Scores New Contract Lows; CBOT Relegated to Sideways/Lower Trade

Post-WASDE trade saw the CBOT markets largely continue their former trends with the February report – as usual – offering only minor adjustments to the supply and demand picture. Perhaps the biggest news of the day was the fall to new contract lows in corn futures as shorts continue...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

USDA’s February estimate is for U.S. soybean ending stocks to increase by 35 million bushels to 315 million bushels. The U.S. season-average soybean price for 2023/24 is forecast at $12.65 per bushel, down $0.10 from last month. The soybean meal price is forecast unchanged at $380 per sho...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

USDA’s February estimate for U.S. corn ending stocks is increased 10 million bushels to 2.172 billion bushels. Corn used for glucose and dextrose is reduced 10 million bushels based on indicated usage to date. With no other use changes, the season-average corn price received by producers...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA’s February estimate is for a slight increase in U.S. wheat ending stocks by 10 million bushels to 658 million for 2023/24. That is because food use is reduced 10 million bushels to 960 million, on lower wheat flour grinding - as indicated in the NASS Flour Milling Products report rel...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: A Day of New Numbers

It might have been a day of big surprises given the number of new crop estimates being issued around the world. Governments in China, Brazil, Canada, and the U.S. all issued new forecasts, but the overall changes were relatively small. The result was a mixed day in U.S. futures markets. Volume...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bears Pile into Corn Ahead of WASDE; Other Markets Pause Before Report

Typically, trading the day before a major USDA report – including the WASDE – is muted and that statement held true for all but one commodity on Wednesday. The exception to the rule was corn where the market dropped to fresh contract lows in moderately heavy volume with bearish sent...

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 22 February)

Ocean Freight Comments - 22 February 2024 By Matt Herrington Freight markets and traders returned from their seasonal quiet period during the Chinese Lunar New Year holiday and found a flurry of buying orders that supported markets and rates. The Capesize sector led the rally with the Panamax s...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 22 February)

Ocean Freight Comments - 22 February 2024 By Matt Herrington Freight markets and traders returned from their seasonal quiet period during the Chinese Lunar New Year holiday and found a flurry of buying orders that supported markets and rates. The Capesize sector led the rally with the Panamax s...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Leads CBOT Rally on Short-Covering, Value Buying

The CBOT turned sharply higher after the three-day weekend with wheat leading the way on a surge in buying interest. Paris wheat started the rally with contracts there rebounded from new contract lows, and that strength spilled over into CBOT and KCBT futures as well. While little clear motivat...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Falls as Inflation and U.S. Dollar Rise

Macroeconomic trade largely defined price action in the ag markets on Tuesday as higher-than-expected CPI inflation spooked markets. The U.S. CPI came in above expectations at 3.1 percent, which sent the U.S. dollar index sharply higher as it implies the Fed will have to keep interest rates hig...

feed-grains

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn It is expected that extreme temperatures recorded in Argentina over the past fifteen days may reduce the corn crop’s yield potential, primarily in late-maturing corn (to be evaluated in the coming weeks). Currently, 53 percent of that crop is going through its critical period for yie...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn, Soybeans Firm in Early Week Trade; Russia Lowers “Suggested” Wheat Price

Corn, soybeans, and soymeal turned higher to start the week with markets bouncing from recent lows or recovering from early pushes to new lows. The Goldman roll concluded its fourth day on Monday, which helped drive some of the day’s trade, though roll volume was far below Friday’s...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn Scores New Contract Lows; CBOT Relegated to Sideways/Lower Trade

Post-WASDE trade saw the CBOT markets largely continue their former trends with the February report – as usual – offering only minor adjustments to the supply and demand picture. Perhaps the biggest news of the day was the fall to new contract lows in corn futures as shorts continue...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

USDA’s February estimate is for U.S. soybean ending stocks to increase by 35 million bushels to 315 million bushels. The U.S. season-average soybean price for 2023/24 is forecast at $12.65 per bushel, down $0.10 from last month. The soybean meal price is forecast unchanged at $380 per sho...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

USDA’s February estimate for U.S. corn ending stocks is increased 10 million bushels to 2.172 billion bushels. Corn used for glucose and dextrose is reduced 10 million bushels based on indicated usage to date. With no other use changes, the season-average corn price received by producers...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA’s February estimate is for a slight increase in U.S. wheat ending stocks by 10 million bushels to 658 million for 2023/24. That is because food use is reduced 10 million bushels to 960 million, on lower wheat flour grinding - as indicated in the NASS Flour Milling Products report rel...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: A Day of New Numbers

It might have been a day of big surprises given the number of new crop estimates being issued around the world. Governments in China, Brazil, Canada, and the U.S. all issued new forecasts, but the overall changes were relatively small. The result was a mixed day in U.S. futures markets. Volume...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bears Pile into Corn Ahead of WASDE; Other Markets Pause Before Report

Typically, trading the day before a major USDA report – including the WASDE – is muted and that statement held true for all but one commodity on Wednesday. The exception to the rule was corn where the market dropped to fresh contract lows in moderately heavy volume with bearish sent...

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