World Perspectives

Recent South America Analysis

feed-grains wheat soy-oilseeds

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat Rainfall continues to evade much of Argentina’s wheat-growing region and out of the total planted area, 2 Mha are estimated to be in either regular or poor condition according to the Rosario Grain Exchange. Twenty-two percent of the area is in poor/very poor condition, 25 percent is...

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 21 September)

Ocean Freight Comments - 21 September 2023 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting Dry-bulk markets continued to rally based on follow through demand from the East Coast of South America, problematic vessel congestion in Brazil, and optimism among FFA paper traders regarding the beginning of the Nor...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 21 September)

Editor's note: due to changes in the coding for the Shiny platform upon which this app is built, the tables of freight rates are temporarily unavailable. We expect to have the tables re-coded soon. Ocean Freight Comments - 21 September 2023 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting: Dry-bulk markets c...

feed-grains wheat soy-oilseeds

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat Despite recent rains and improvements in the wheat crop’s overall state, the Rosario Grain Exchange has reduced its production estimate by 600,000 MT, which now stands at a total production of 15 MMT. This is because the area from the center of the Cordoba Province northward and wes...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

USDA reduced U.S. soybean stocks for 2023/24 to 220 million bushels, down 25 million from last month.  Global soybean ending stocks are reduced 0.2 million tons to 119.2 million. The season-average soybean price is forecast at $12.90 per bushel, up $0.20 from last month. The soybean meal p...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

USDA made slight increases in U.S. corn for 2023/24 - U.S. corn outlook is for slightly larger supplies and use unchanged.  The result is ending stocks are up 19 million bushels to 2.2 billion. The season-average corn price received by farmers is unchanged at $4.90 per bushel.  Foreig...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA made no changes in total U.S. wheat for 2023/24.  Global supplies are projected to decline 7.2 million tons to 1,054.5 million, primarily on lower production for Australia, Canada, Argentina, and the EU, which is only partly offset by an increase for Ukraine. World ending stocks are r...

feed-grains wheat soy-oilseeds

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat Since our last report, there have been some rains in much of the agricultural region that was affected by drought, especially in the Nucleus region and the South of Córdoba. The rains saved many wheat fields. However, some fields have already suffered irreversible damage, and other...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Declining Crop Ratings Push CBOT Higher; Wheat Rallies on Russian Attacks

Tuesday’s surprise (but not entirely unexpected) decline in U.S. corn and soybean conditions ratings, in tandem with more Russian attacks on Ukrainian ports, sent the CBOT sharply higher overnight. KCBT wheat was the only market, however, to maintain most of its strength with CBOT wheat,...

livestock

Brazil and China Dominate Beef Market

A drop in U.S. beef exports is corresponding with the cattle cycle fall in production. U.S. beef production is falling by a half million tons, with domestic consumption losing about half that amount, and reduced exports offsetting about a third of the lower output. The export drop looks more si...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Paris Contract Leads Wheat Lower; Better Conditions Pressure Corn, Soy

The CBOT was entirely red across the major ag commodities Tuesday as weak technical conditions and better than expected crop conditions pressured trader sentiment. Monday’s Crop Conditions report featured bearish surprises in that last weeks’ heatwave didn’t result in the shar...

feed-grains wheat soy-oilseeds

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat The trend for Argentina’s wheat fields is that good plots continue to improve while stressed crops continue to worsen. The country saw rain last week that fell over the south/center agricultural area with good moisture conditions. However, in the central and northern parts of the ag...

feed-grains wheat soy-oilseeds

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat Rainfall continues to evade much of Argentina’s wheat-growing region and out of the total planted area, 2 Mha are estimated to be in either regular or poor condition according to the Rosario Grain Exchange. Twenty-two percent of the area is in poor/very poor condition, 25 percent is...

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 21 September)

Ocean Freight Comments - 21 September 2023 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting Dry-bulk markets continued to rally based on follow through demand from the East Coast of South America, problematic vessel congestion in Brazil, and optimism among FFA paper traders regarding the beginning of the Nor...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 21 September)

Editor's note: due to changes in the coding for the Shiny platform upon which this app is built, the tables of freight rates are temporarily unavailable. We expect to have the tables re-coded soon. Ocean Freight Comments - 21 September 2023 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting: Dry-bulk markets c...

feed-grains wheat soy-oilseeds

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat Despite recent rains and improvements in the wheat crop’s overall state, the Rosario Grain Exchange has reduced its production estimate by 600,000 MT, which now stands at a total production of 15 MMT. This is because the area from the center of the Cordoba Province northward and wes...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

USDA reduced U.S. soybean stocks for 2023/24 to 220 million bushels, down 25 million from last month.  Global soybean ending stocks are reduced 0.2 million tons to 119.2 million. The season-average soybean price is forecast at $12.90 per bushel, up $0.20 from last month. The soybean meal p...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

USDA made slight increases in U.S. corn for 2023/24 - U.S. corn outlook is for slightly larger supplies and use unchanged.  The result is ending stocks are up 19 million bushels to 2.2 billion. The season-average corn price received by farmers is unchanged at $4.90 per bushel.  Foreig...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA made no changes in total U.S. wheat for 2023/24.  Global supplies are projected to decline 7.2 million tons to 1,054.5 million, primarily on lower production for Australia, Canada, Argentina, and the EU, which is only partly offset by an increase for Ukraine. World ending stocks are r...

feed-grains wheat soy-oilseeds

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat Since our last report, there have been some rains in much of the agricultural region that was affected by drought, especially in the Nucleus region and the South of Córdoba. The rains saved many wheat fields. However, some fields have already suffered irreversible damage, and other...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Declining Crop Ratings Push CBOT Higher; Wheat Rallies on Russian Attacks

Tuesday’s surprise (but not entirely unexpected) decline in U.S. corn and soybean conditions ratings, in tandem with more Russian attacks on Ukrainian ports, sent the CBOT sharply higher overnight. KCBT wheat was the only market, however, to maintain most of its strength with CBOT wheat,...

livestock

Brazil and China Dominate Beef Market

A drop in U.S. beef exports is corresponding with the cattle cycle fall in production. U.S. beef production is falling by a half million tons, with domestic consumption losing about half that amount, and reduced exports offsetting about a third of the lower output. The export drop looks more si...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Paris Contract Leads Wheat Lower; Better Conditions Pressure Corn, Soy

The CBOT was entirely red across the major ag commodities Tuesday as weak technical conditions and better than expected crop conditions pressured trader sentiment. Monday’s Crop Conditions report featured bearish surprises in that last weeks’ heatwave didn’t result in the shar...

feed-grains wheat soy-oilseeds

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat The trend for Argentina’s wheat fields is that good plots continue to improve while stressed crops continue to worsen. The country saw rain last week that fell over the south/center agricultural area with good moisture conditions. However, in the central and northern parts of the ag...

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