Recent Biofuels Analysis
Market Commentary
Yesterday commodity markets were dominated by NYMEX crude oil’s precipitous decline, but today that market stabilized and actually closed a little higher to end its 12-day losing streak. This allowed other commodities to return to their own specifics. Unfortunately for the grain and soy f...
Oilseed Highlights: EU Rapeseed; Brazil’s Soybean Exports; U.S. Soybean Inspections; Argentine Biodiesel
European Rapeseed Plantings Down Sharply The head of the French Federation of Oilseed and Protein Crop Producers (FOP) indicated last week that the country’s winter rapeseed plantings will likely decrease 30-35 percent from last year due to the lack of rain this fall. While that suggests...
2019 Biofuel Volumes Being Finalized
The final 2019 Required Volume Obligations (RVOs) under the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) are being reviewed by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB). The statute requires that the volumes be published by 30 November. The EPA submitted its draft of the final rule to OMB on 31 October and pu...
Ag Review - October 2018
WPI's monthly publication features analyses of U.S. agribusiness, U.S. soybean marketing strategies, the U.S. biofuels industry, the global outlook for farm inputs, and policy trends. It also provides a review of agribusiness stock prices along with expectations for future performance...
Oilseed Highlights: China’s Soybean Blockage; Brazil and Biodiesel; U.S. Export Sales and Soy Crush
China Blocking Discharge of U.S. Soybean Cargoes When China imposed an additional 25 percent tariff on U.S. soybeans on 6 July, it was assumed that they could still be imported if the duty was paid. However, that appears to not be the case as reports indicate China has prevented the discharge o...
Market Commentary
It may be Halloween, but grain and soy markets carefully stayed away from anything scary or spooky today. Overnight trade saw prices stuck in narrow ranges. Corn and wheat were slightly lower, but soybeans were up a couple of cents at the break for breakfast. Wheat and soybean prices then moved...
Market Commentary
Grain markets are dealing with several headwinds. One is the slow pace of fall harvests and winter wheat seeding. Although considerable harvest progress was made last week, the U.S. corn harvest at 63 percent complete is just at its five-year average. The soybean harvest gained 19 percent to re...
Ethanol: Slow Bureaucracy and Growing Stocks
The EPA has revealed its rule-making timeline regarding a waiver for year-round consumption of E15, and the proposed rule is targeted for February. After comments are received and reviewed, the planned deadline for the final rule is May. The ethanol industry has expressed frustration with this...
Fundamentally Fair Values
Futures markets are all about anticipating the direction that prices for the underlying instrument will take at certain specific points of time in the future, and each has spawned its own cottage industry of analysts who perform that task. Price forecasting can be for periods as near as 30-60 d...
Market Commentary
Although overnight trading volume in currencies, interest rates, stock indexes and crude oil was heavier than usual, grain and soy futures prices continued to plod along on their own. Prices eased in relatively slow trade, but they mostly stayed within their recent trading ranges. One exception...
Market Commentary
Overnight trading volume seemed slightly higher than has been usual recently, but price action for grain and soy futures markets was muted nevertheless. Corn prices held around unchanged, and wheat was fractionally lower. Most of the action occurred in the soy complex as overnight selling pushe...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Soybeans Brazil Soybean markets were very slow everywhere last week with suppliers expecting the Chinese to return and actively purchase from South America to fill the gap until their new crop. However, the drop in Asian crush margins deterred them. The decline in Dalian futures combined with t...
Market Commentary
Yesterday commodity markets were dominated by NYMEX crude oil’s precipitous decline, but today that market stabilized and actually closed a little higher to end its 12-day losing streak. This allowed other commodities to return to their own specifics. Unfortunately for the grain and soy f...
Oilseed Highlights: EU Rapeseed; Brazil’s Soybean Exports; U.S. Soybean Inspections; Argentine Biodiesel
European Rapeseed Plantings Down Sharply The head of the French Federation of Oilseed and Protein Crop Producers (FOP) indicated last week that the country’s winter rapeseed plantings will likely decrease 30-35 percent from last year due to the lack of rain this fall. While that suggests...
2019 Biofuel Volumes Being Finalized
The final 2019 Required Volume Obligations (RVOs) under the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) are being reviewed by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB). The statute requires that the volumes be published by 30 November. The EPA submitted its draft of the final rule to OMB on 31 October and pu...
Ag Review - October 2018
WPI's monthly publication features analyses of U.S. agribusiness, U.S. soybean marketing strategies, the U.S. biofuels industry, the global outlook for farm inputs, and policy trends. It also provides a review of agribusiness stock prices along with expectations for future performance...
Oilseed Highlights: China’s Soybean Blockage; Brazil and Biodiesel; U.S. Export Sales and Soy Crush
China Blocking Discharge of U.S. Soybean Cargoes When China imposed an additional 25 percent tariff on U.S. soybeans on 6 July, it was assumed that they could still be imported if the duty was paid. However, that appears to not be the case as reports indicate China has prevented the discharge o...
Market Commentary
It may be Halloween, but grain and soy markets carefully stayed away from anything scary or spooky today. Overnight trade saw prices stuck in narrow ranges. Corn and wheat were slightly lower, but soybeans were up a couple of cents at the break for breakfast. Wheat and soybean prices then moved...
Market Commentary
Grain markets are dealing with several headwinds. One is the slow pace of fall harvests and winter wheat seeding. Although considerable harvest progress was made last week, the U.S. corn harvest at 63 percent complete is just at its five-year average. The soybean harvest gained 19 percent to re...
Ethanol: Slow Bureaucracy and Growing Stocks
The EPA has revealed its rule-making timeline regarding a waiver for year-round consumption of E15, and the proposed rule is targeted for February. After comments are received and reviewed, the planned deadline for the final rule is May. The ethanol industry has expressed frustration with this...
Fundamentally Fair Values
Futures markets are all about anticipating the direction that prices for the underlying instrument will take at certain specific points of time in the future, and each has spawned its own cottage industry of analysts who perform that task. Price forecasting can be for periods as near as 30-60 d...
Market Commentary
Although overnight trading volume in currencies, interest rates, stock indexes and crude oil was heavier than usual, grain and soy futures prices continued to plod along on their own. Prices eased in relatively slow trade, but they mostly stayed within their recent trading ranges. One exception...
Market Commentary
Overnight trading volume seemed slightly higher than has been usual recently, but price action for grain and soy futures markets was muted nevertheless. Corn prices held around unchanged, and wheat was fractionally lower. Most of the action occurred in the soy complex as overnight selling pushe...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Soybeans Brazil Soybean markets were very slow everywhere last week with suppliers expecting the Chinese to return and actively purchase from South America to fill the gap until their new crop. However, the drop in Asian crush margins deterred them. The decline in Dalian futures combined with t...