Battlefront Reporting; Technical Limits; Poopy Water; Migrant Pressures
Battlefront Reporting Another day and more news on the trade war front. On the first day of new retaliatory tariffs by the EU on U.S. goods, German automakers offered zero-for-zero transatlantic tariffs. President Trump responded with the threat to impose 20 percent tariffs on imports of Europe...
Market Commentary
It was a peaceful night session with corn and wheat showing very little change. Meanwhile, soybeans were 7-8 cents higher with meal up $2.00-3.00. Markets will probably be in idle mode until there are more developments on trade issues either with China or NAFTA. They seem to have factored in th...
Summary of Futures
Changes in energy products’ recent price behavior point to potential trading opportunities. Similarly, the momentum indicators in grains show opportunities in those commodities are rapidly changing as well. Finally, livestock and soft commodity futures are analyzed and their forward curve...
Cattle on Feed
United States Cattle on Feed on June 1, 2018 was up 4 percent above year ago. Cattle and calves on feed for the slaughter in U.S. feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head totaled 11.6 million head: This is the highest June 1 inventory since the series began in 1996. Placements in feed...
RVOs and Reallocation
This could be the day the EPA issues the Required Volume Obligations (RVOs) proposal for ethanol use in 2019 and biodiesel use in 2020. It would be subject to a comment period and faces a statutory deadline of 30 November for finalization. Suggested reforms may also be included in the EPA annou...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Falling Soymeal Prices May Move Up if Exports Continue Soybean and soymeal prices moved lower last week but had some upward movement near its end, and they are stable now due to slow poultry sector demand as well as international cues. However, world prices are still lower.The Indian soybean sp...
No NAFTA Yet Either
Markets have been obsessed with the failure of the U.S. and China to reach any sort of agreement regarding their trade dispute. In fact, it’s not even about reaching a deal at this point. Instead, it is more about some sign, however small, that there is even any sort of dialogue taking pl...
Market Commentary
Welcome to summer! Led by soybeans, which eased about 6 cents lower, trading during the overnight session found prices with a lower bias. The grains were mostly lower also but did not stray far from Wednesday’s closes. On the trade front, the war of words continues. However, there is no s...
Trade War Endgame; Laudable Reorg; Mixt
Trade War Endgame Starting the trade war was “easy” for Mr. Trump, sustaining it will become more difficult for domestic political reasons. That fact was revealed by this week’s Senate Finance Committee hearing during which its members expressed skepticism about the trade acti...
Cattle on Feed; Compact Comeback?
Cattle on Feed Industry pre-report estimates for tomorrow’s Cattle on Feed report from USDA peg the total number of cattle on feed as of 1 June at 103.4 percent of last year. If realized, it would be the 17th consecutive month that the inventory was larger than the year prior. May p...
Oilseed Highlights: Palm Oil Prices; U.S. Soy Export Sales; Brazil’s Soy Exports
Falling Palm Oil Prices Reach Two-Year Low Palm oil prices are declining because of anemic demand and the market turmoil caused by the U.S.-China trade dispute. Today the September palm oil futures price on the Malaysian futures exchange fell for the fourth consecutive day to the equivalent of...
Does Corn Have a Story to Tell?
Grain and soy markets are almost totally consumed by trade disruption and the latest trade war threats voiced in Washington and Beijing. They note retaliatory tariffs against U.S. products imposed by the EU, India, Canada and Mexico (among others). They sense that the U.S position in the world...
Battlefront Reporting; Technical Limits; Poopy Water; Migrant Pressures
Battlefront Reporting Another day and more news on the trade war front. On the first day of new retaliatory tariffs by the EU on U.S. goods, German automakers offered zero-for-zero transatlantic tariffs. President Trump responded with the threat to impose 20 percent tariffs on imports of Europe...
Market Commentary
It was a peaceful night session with corn and wheat showing very little change. Meanwhile, soybeans were 7-8 cents higher with meal up $2.00-3.00. Markets will probably be in idle mode until there are more developments on trade issues either with China or NAFTA. They seem to have factored in th...
Summary of Futures
Changes in energy products’ recent price behavior point to potential trading opportunities. Similarly, the momentum indicators in grains show opportunities in those commodities are rapidly changing as well. Finally, livestock and soft commodity futures are analyzed and their forward curve...
Cattle on Feed
United States Cattle on Feed on June 1, 2018 was up 4 percent above year ago. Cattle and calves on feed for the slaughter in U.S. feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head totaled 11.6 million head: This is the highest June 1 inventory since the series began in 1996. Placements in feed...
RVOs and Reallocation
This could be the day the EPA issues the Required Volume Obligations (RVOs) proposal for ethanol use in 2019 and biodiesel use in 2020. It would be subject to a comment period and faces a statutory deadline of 30 November for finalization. Suggested reforms may also be included in the EPA annou...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Falling Soymeal Prices May Move Up if Exports Continue Soybean and soymeal prices moved lower last week but had some upward movement near its end, and they are stable now due to slow poultry sector demand as well as international cues. However, world prices are still lower.The Indian soybean sp...
No NAFTA Yet Either
Markets have been obsessed with the failure of the U.S. and China to reach any sort of agreement regarding their trade dispute. In fact, it’s not even about reaching a deal at this point. Instead, it is more about some sign, however small, that there is even any sort of dialogue taking pl...
Market Commentary
Welcome to summer! Led by soybeans, which eased about 6 cents lower, trading during the overnight session found prices with a lower bias. The grains were mostly lower also but did not stray far from Wednesday’s closes. On the trade front, the war of words continues. However, there is no s...
Trade War Endgame; Laudable Reorg; Mixt
Trade War Endgame Starting the trade war was “easy” for Mr. Trump, sustaining it will become more difficult for domestic political reasons. That fact was revealed by this week’s Senate Finance Committee hearing during which its members expressed skepticism about the trade acti...
Cattle on Feed; Compact Comeback?
Cattle on Feed Industry pre-report estimates for tomorrow’s Cattle on Feed report from USDA peg the total number of cattle on feed as of 1 June at 103.4 percent of last year. If realized, it would be the 17th consecutive month that the inventory was larger than the year prior. May p...
Oilseed Highlights: Palm Oil Prices; U.S. Soy Export Sales; Brazil’s Soy Exports
Falling Palm Oil Prices Reach Two-Year Low Palm oil prices are declining because of anemic demand and the market turmoil caused by the U.S.-China trade dispute. Today the September palm oil futures price on the Malaysian futures exchange fell for the fourth consecutive day to the equivalent of...
Does Corn Have a Story to Tell?
Grain and soy markets are almost totally consumed by trade disruption and the latest trade war threats voiced in Washington and Beijing. They note retaliatory tariffs against U.S. products imposed by the EU, India, Canada and Mexico (among others). They sense that the U.S position in the world...