World Perspectives

Recent North America Analysis

soy-oilseeds feed-grains

China In-Country Analysis

Policy Developments Will China Ultimately Retaliate? Coming on the heels of President Trump’s announcement last week confirming that his administration would implement its proposed 25 percent tariff on $50 billion worth of exports from China, Beijing said it would respond in kind with tar...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Soybean and grain futures prices were lower to open the overnight session, and losses grew as trading progressed into the early morning. Understandably, soybeans were the downside leader as they are most directly threatened by Chinese tariffs. They were down more than 20 cents when trading rece...

Looking Ahead at the China Trade Dispute

Yesterday President Trump asked the U.S. Trade Representative to identify $200 billion worth of Chinese goods for additional tariffs at a rate of 10 percent. His statement noted, “After the legal process is complete, these tariffs will go into effect if China refuses to change its practic...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Changes in energy products’ recent price behavior point to potential trading opportunities. Similarly, the momentum indicators in grains show opportunities in those commodities are rapidly changing as well. Finally, livestock and soft commodity futures are analyzed and their forward curve...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Trade War Havoc

Trade wars invariably involve government actions intended to impede, punish or prevent imports and exports of goods between two or more countries. The most common ammunition used by participants is the imposition of higher tariffs and/or surcharges on either imports of specific items or on an a...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Chinese Tariff Impact on Upper Midwest; India’s Soyoil Tariff

Chinese Tariffs Impact on Upper Midwest Soybean Farmers Barring a settlement to the current trade dispute, China is expected to impose a 25 percent tariff on U.S. soybeans effective 6 July. It appears the situation may intensify after President Trump yesterday threatened to implement additional...

Illogical War; Illogical Reparations; Precaution or Hysteria?; Relations and Wars

Illogical War One can imagine more sophisticated approaches to rebalancing trade concessions than the one undertaken by the Trump administration. The president’s assertion was that a larger trade deficit and lower average tariffs mean the U.S. is in a stronger negotiating position. Howeve...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

China Tariffs and U.S. Exports

The imposition of trade tariffs on imports from China and that country’s corresponding retaliation against imports from the U.S. have had a profoundly negative impact on corn, wheat and soybean prices since negotiations broke down. These trade issues have overwhelmed some bullish fundamen...

Fed Gets Less Dovish

As expected, the Federal Reserve Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised the federal funds rate last week by another 25 basis points to a target range of 1.75-2 percent. It was a unanimous decision, and the FOMC characterizes the new range as remaining accommodative. Moreover, post-meeting...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Impact of the U.S.-China Trade War Trading was slow in Brazil last week with an old-crop basis rally due to lack of farmer selling and news on the U.S.-China trade war. The latter included a Trump tweet about a possible tariff on Chinese imports, which was officially announced Thursday...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Corn and wheat opened lower Sunday with soybeans slightly higher. Everything was slightly lower by the time markets closed this morning, and that is how they opened the day session. Soybeans traded back and forth with small gains or losses through much of today. Wheat was moderately lower with...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Recent price activity for ag, energy, and soft commodities is examined in tabular and graphical format. The most important price analysis is distilled for easy understanding and presentation. Starting with a five-day price history for ag, energy and soft commodity futures prices, Commodity Anal...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains

China In-Country Analysis

Policy Developments Will China Ultimately Retaliate? Coming on the heels of President Trump’s announcement last week confirming that his administration would implement its proposed 25 percent tariff on $50 billion worth of exports from China, Beijing said it would respond in kind with tar...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Soybean and grain futures prices were lower to open the overnight session, and losses grew as trading progressed into the early morning. Understandably, soybeans were the downside leader as they are most directly threatened by Chinese tariffs. They were down more than 20 cents when trading rece...

Looking Ahead at the China Trade Dispute

Yesterday President Trump asked the U.S. Trade Representative to identify $200 billion worth of Chinese goods for additional tariffs at a rate of 10 percent. His statement noted, “After the legal process is complete, these tariffs will go into effect if China refuses to change its practic...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Changes in energy products’ recent price behavior point to potential trading opportunities. Similarly, the momentum indicators in grains show opportunities in those commodities are rapidly changing as well. Finally, livestock and soft commodity futures are analyzed and their forward curve...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Trade War Havoc

Trade wars invariably involve government actions intended to impede, punish or prevent imports and exports of goods between two or more countries. The most common ammunition used by participants is the imposition of higher tariffs and/or surcharges on either imports of specific items or on an a...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Chinese Tariff Impact on Upper Midwest; India’s Soyoil Tariff

Chinese Tariffs Impact on Upper Midwest Soybean Farmers Barring a settlement to the current trade dispute, China is expected to impose a 25 percent tariff on U.S. soybeans effective 6 July. It appears the situation may intensify after President Trump yesterday threatened to implement additional...

Illogical War; Illogical Reparations; Precaution or Hysteria?; Relations and Wars

Illogical War One can imagine more sophisticated approaches to rebalancing trade concessions than the one undertaken by the Trump administration. The president’s assertion was that a larger trade deficit and lower average tariffs mean the U.S. is in a stronger negotiating position. Howeve...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

China Tariffs and U.S. Exports

The imposition of trade tariffs on imports from China and that country’s corresponding retaliation against imports from the U.S. have had a profoundly negative impact on corn, wheat and soybean prices since negotiations broke down. These trade issues have overwhelmed some bullish fundamen...

Fed Gets Less Dovish

As expected, the Federal Reserve Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised the federal funds rate last week by another 25 basis points to a target range of 1.75-2 percent. It was a unanimous decision, and the FOMC characterizes the new range as remaining accommodative. Moreover, post-meeting...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Impact of the U.S.-China Trade War Trading was slow in Brazil last week with an old-crop basis rally due to lack of farmer selling and news on the U.S.-China trade war. The latter included a Trump tweet about a possible tariff on Chinese imports, which was officially announced Thursday...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Corn and wheat opened lower Sunday with soybeans slightly higher. Everything was slightly lower by the time markets closed this morning, and that is how they opened the day session. Soybeans traded back and forth with small gains or losses through much of today. Wheat was moderately lower with...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Recent price activity for ag, energy, and soft commodities is examined in tabular and graphical format. The most important price analysis is distilled for easy understanding and presentation. Starting with a five-day price history for ag, energy and soft commodity futures prices, Commodity Anal...

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