World Perspectives

Recent Macroeconomics Analysis

livestock soy-oilseeds feed-grains

China In-Country Analysis

Macro Trends Food Inflation Hits Seventh-Month High As the trade war with the U.S. has continued, monthly food costs in China surged with the end of summer, rising 3.6 percent on average in September compared with a year ago. For 2018, this represents the biggest uptick since February when pric...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains

China In-Country Analysis

Macro Trends Value of China’s Agricultural Imports in September Higher than a Year Ago China’s agricultural imports in September were valued at $11.8 billion, up $1.14 billion (+10.7 percent) versus the same month last year but down $900 million (-7.1 percent) from this past August...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains

China In-Country Analysis

Macro Trends U.S. Ag Exports to China Fall to Ten-Year Low The USDA-GATS October export data, which covers monthly figures through August 2018, underscores the deep impact of the U.S.-China trade conflict. It shows that just 345,300.4 MT of U.S. agricultural products were shipped to the Middle...

soy-oilseeds livestock

China In-Country Analysis

Oilseeds Major Feed Companies Hike Price to Offset Tariffs During the last week of September, several large feed manufacturers, including New Hope Group, Charoen Pokphand (CP), and China Haida Feed Group, announced plans to increase the prices of their feed products. This is the second time in...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

MSP for Rabi Crops Announced The commitment to double farmers’ income by the Modi government ensured an increase in the Minimum Support Prices (MSPs) of key rabi crops, which was approved by the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) early this week. The goal is to provide at least...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Are Commodities Underpriced?

These are particularly risky times for commodity traders. Raw material markets are being pushed and pulled by geopolitical forces as well as rapidly changing and sometimes contradictory macro influences. The fundamentals of supply and demand seem to have been shunted to the sidelines. Consider...

The Politics of Trade

The Trump administration had set 30 September as the deadline for creation of a new trade agreement to replace the 1994 North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) between the U.S., Canada and Mexico. This deadline was based on timing the U.S. congressional approval process so that outgoing Mex...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Ag Review - September 2018

WPI's monthly publication features analyses of the U.S. grain industry, U.S. soybean marketing strategies, the U.S. biofuels industry, the global outlook for farm inputs and equipment, and policy trends. It also provides a review of agribusiness stock prices along with expectations for future p...

energy biofuel soy-oilseeds

India Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Lower Gasoline Prices Possible The average gasoline price in New Delhi is Rs.80/litre, up 3.57 percent from Rs.77.24/liter last month and 14.46 percent higher than a year ago. Higher crude prices, compounded by the strong U.S. dollar (the exchange rate was Rs.72.2/USD on 7 September 2018), is l...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Money Flows versus the Market

WPI’s recent research suggests December corn futures are likely to see additional selling pressure while a bottom may be approaching for November soybean futures. The wheat market outlook is mixed with funds reportedly holding a small long position but more recent data suggesting they hav...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains

China In-Country Analysis

Macro Trends Export Data Reflects Impact of New Tariffs U.S. agricultural exports to China i fell to 488,810.2 MT worth $480.6 million in July, the lowest volume and value levels for that month since 2007. With sorghum and wheat exports dropping to zero and soybean shipments at their lowest in...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Argentine Export Duties Last week the Argentine government announced an emergency plan to reduce the state deficit, which includes an export duty on agricultural products. Since last Tuesday, the duty rate of 4 pesos for every U.S. dollar of value on those exports was applied as of last Tuesday...

livestock soy-oilseeds feed-grains

China In-Country Analysis

Macro Trends Food Inflation Hits Seventh-Month High As the trade war with the U.S. has continued, monthly food costs in China surged with the end of summer, rising 3.6 percent on average in September compared with a year ago. For 2018, this represents the biggest uptick since February when pric...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains

China In-Country Analysis

Macro Trends Value of China’s Agricultural Imports in September Higher than a Year Ago China’s agricultural imports in September were valued at $11.8 billion, up $1.14 billion (+10.7 percent) versus the same month last year but down $900 million (-7.1 percent) from this past August...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains

China In-Country Analysis

Macro Trends U.S. Ag Exports to China Fall to Ten-Year Low The USDA-GATS October export data, which covers monthly figures through August 2018, underscores the deep impact of the U.S.-China trade conflict. It shows that just 345,300.4 MT of U.S. agricultural products were shipped to the Middle...

soy-oilseeds livestock

China In-Country Analysis

Oilseeds Major Feed Companies Hike Price to Offset Tariffs During the last week of September, several large feed manufacturers, including New Hope Group, Charoen Pokphand (CP), and China Haida Feed Group, announced plans to increase the prices of their feed products. This is the second time in...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

MSP for Rabi Crops Announced The commitment to double farmers’ income by the Modi government ensured an increase in the Minimum Support Prices (MSPs) of key rabi crops, which was approved by the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) early this week. The goal is to provide at least...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Are Commodities Underpriced?

These are particularly risky times for commodity traders. Raw material markets are being pushed and pulled by geopolitical forces as well as rapidly changing and sometimes contradictory macro influences. The fundamentals of supply and demand seem to have been shunted to the sidelines. Consider...

The Politics of Trade

The Trump administration had set 30 September as the deadline for creation of a new trade agreement to replace the 1994 North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) between the U.S., Canada and Mexico. This deadline was based on timing the U.S. congressional approval process so that outgoing Mex...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Ag Review - September 2018

WPI's monthly publication features analyses of the U.S. grain industry, U.S. soybean marketing strategies, the U.S. biofuels industry, the global outlook for farm inputs and equipment, and policy trends. It also provides a review of agribusiness stock prices along with expectations for future p...

energy biofuel soy-oilseeds

India Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Lower Gasoline Prices Possible The average gasoline price in New Delhi is Rs.80/litre, up 3.57 percent from Rs.77.24/liter last month and 14.46 percent higher than a year ago. Higher crude prices, compounded by the strong U.S. dollar (the exchange rate was Rs.72.2/USD on 7 September 2018), is l...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Money Flows versus the Market

WPI’s recent research suggests December corn futures are likely to see additional selling pressure while a bottom may be approaching for November soybean futures. The wheat market outlook is mixed with funds reportedly holding a small long position but more recent data suggesting they hav...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains

China In-Country Analysis

Macro Trends Export Data Reflects Impact of New Tariffs U.S. agricultural exports to China i fell to 488,810.2 MT worth $480.6 million in July, the lowest volume and value levels for that month since 2007. With sorghum and wheat exports dropping to zero and soybean shipments at their lowest in...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Argentine Export Duties Last week the Argentine government announced an emergency plan to reduce the state deficit, which includes an export duty on agricultural products. Since last Tuesday, the duty rate of 4 pesos for every U.S. dollar of value on those exports was applied as of last Tuesday...

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