World Perspectives

Recent Macroeconomics Analysis

biofuel soy-oilseeds feed-grains

Policy Round Up

India Trade The Ministry of Commerce and Industry is reporting that progress is being made in trade negotiations with the U.S. and details could be forthcoming within a couple of weeks.   In fact, India is stepping up their trade agenda across the board. India moved this week on a tra...

Trouble Targeting

USDA has targeted select foreign markets for increased attention this year, including sending trade missions to solicit sales. The success to date has been mixed. In part this is due to head winds such as the high value of the dollar and slower economic growth in countries impacted by the trade...

China’s Dinner Demographics

China’s food security concerns and import needs will shift in the years ahead regardless of the outcome of the trade war with the U.S.  Demographics are destiny and, according to the OECD, China’s decades-long low birth rate means that its population begins to decline starting...

Scale’s Advantage

President Trump is accused of not knowing the facts and not even caring that he doesn’t know them. The same could be said of his political opponents. China’s agriculture ministry announced that it would be reducing the number of small-scale slaughterhouses in order to improve preven...

Election Year Commodity Prices

According to Jeffrey Hirsch at the Stock Trader’s Almanac, there is a Presidential Election Cycle Theory that says stocks will move in certain ways affected by the four-year term of a presidency. If the theory applied to commodities, the third year of a presidency is when markets are most...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Pausing to Reflect

It is not that grain and soy futures markets are on vacation exactly, but in recent days it almost feels that way. One could easily read a book while watching the markets today. The corn market is the only one moving much with the December contract managing a 6-cent range, and it is up 4 cents...

livestock biofuel feed-grains

Ag Review - October 2019

WPI's monthly publication features a review of the past month's market and policy developments. This issue covers changes in China’s meat consumption, a review of the Department of Commerce’s international trade report and what it might tell us about the U.S. economy, an overview of...

Peronists and Ag Exports

Argentina’s productive agriculture sector rooted for Mauricio Macri in this past weekend’s presidential election. They vividly recall the Kirchner regime’s heavy use of export taxes on agriculture to fund the government. While the Kircher’s were Peronists, a populist par...

Uncomfortable Farm Economy Truths

The Farm Foundation held a conference on the farm economy this week and following are key points made by the presenters. American Farm Bureau Federation Chief Economist Dr. John Newton: • Farm Income: Excluding government payments (which will represent a third of farm income), net farm inc...

What the Trade Deficit Says about the U.S. Economy

USDA released its weekly sales report last week with some mixed news, but another trade report has some interesting insights into the overall economy: the August international trade report from the Department of Commerce.  The U.S. trade deficit in all goods and services was $54.9 billion...

Mini-Deal Rationale; Incongruous Negotiations

Mini-Deal Rationale The details are not complete at this time, but reports indicate that the Trump Administration has reached a partial agreement with the Chinese on a slew of different issues. In exchange for the U.S. not moving forward with additional trade tariffs, China has reportedly agree...

S&DT Hypocrisy

The WTO operates as a democracy and it is said that democracies fail when the citizens ask for more than it can deliver. The Trump Administration goes to war with a majority of the WTO members at the next General Council meeting on 15 October. It will press its case that countries cannot concur...

biofuel soy-oilseeds feed-grains

Policy Round Up

India Trade The Ministry of Commerce and Industry is reporting that progress is being made in trade negotiations with the U.S. and details could be forthcoming within a couple of weeks.   In fact, India is stepping up their trade agenda across the board. India moved this week on a tra...

Trouble Targeting

USDA has targeted select foreign markets for increased attention this year, including sending trade missions to solicit sales. The success to date has been mixed. In part this is due to head winds such as the high value of the dollar and slower economic growth in countries impacted by the trade...

China’s Dinner Demographics

China’s food security concerns and import needs will shift in the years ahead regardless of the outcome of the trade war with the U.S.  Demographics are destiny and, according to the OECD, China’s decades-long low birth rate means that its population begins to decline starting...

Scale’s Advantage

President Trump is accused of not knowing the facts and not even caring that he doesn’t know them. The same could be said of his political opponents. China’s agriculture ministry announced that it would be reducing the number of small-scale slaughterhouses in order to improve preven...

Election Year Commodity Prices

According to Jeffrey Hirsch at the Stock Trader’s Almanac, there is a Presidential Election Cycle Theory that says stocks will move in certain ways affected by the four-year term of a presidency. If the theory applied to commodities, the third year of a presidency is when markets are most...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Pausing to Reflect

It is not that grain and soy futures markets are on vacation exactly, but in recent days it almost feels that way. One could easily read a book while watching the markets today. The corn market is the only one moving much with the December contract managing a 6-cent range, and it is up 4 cents...

livestock biofuel feed-grains

Ag Review - October 2019

WPI's monthly publication features a review of the past month's market and policy developments. This issue covers changes in China’s meat consumption, a review of the Department of Commerce’s international trade report and what it might tell us about the U.S. economy, an overview of...

Peronists and Ag Exports

Argentina’s productive agriculture sector rooted for Mauricio Macri in this past weekend’s presidential election. They vividly recall the Kirchner regime’s heavy use of export taxes on agriculture to fund the government. While the Kircher’s were Peronists, a populist par...

Uncomfortable Farm Economy Truths

The Farm Foundation held a conference on the farm economy this week and following are key points made by the presenters. American Farm Bureau Federation Chief Economist Dr. John Newton: • Farm Income: Excluding government payments (which will represent a third of farm income), net farm inc...

What the Trade Deficit Says about the U.S. Economy

USDA released its weekly sales report last week with some mixed news, but another trade report has some interesting insights into the overall economy: the August international trade report from the Department of Commerce.  The U.S. trade deficit in all goods and services was $54.9 billion...

Mini-Deal Rationale; Incongruous Negotiations

Mini-Deal Rationale The details are not complete at this time, but reports indicate that the Trump Administration has reached a partial agreement with the Chinese on a slew of different issues. In exchange for the U.S. not moving forward with additional trade tariffs, China has reportedly agree...

S&DT Hypocrisy

The WTO operates as a democracy and it is said that democracies fail when the citizens ask for more than it can deliver. The Trump Administration goes to war with a majority of the WTO members at the next General Council meeting on 15 October. It will press its case that countries cannot concur...

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