World Perspectives

Recent Macroeconomics Analysis

Want More Sales? Try Owning a Restaurant

The U.S. Census Bureau’s monthly advance retail sales report, released Tuesday, suggests that owning a restaurant is likely to be a sales-boosting endeavor in 2019. Okay, it didn’t really say that, but the report holds some interesting insights for the food and agribusiness industri...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Argentina’s Cash Payment Issues The volatility in forex markets and the Argentine peso’s devaluation led to government intervention in the debate between farmers and exporters. On contracts executed in USD, farmers were claiming that they were losing money between the time the forex...

livestock soy-oilseeds feed-grains

China In-Country Analysis

Policy Developments Presidents Xi and Trump Continue High Stakes Game of Chicken Over the weekend, President Trump used Twitter, his favorite communication medium, to uncork a new fusillade of tariff threats against China due to a lack of progress in the trade talks. According to Secretary of T...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains livestock

China In-Country Analysis

Policy Developments China Highlights Overseas Ag Investments at Belt and Road Forum The summit last week in Beijing touting China’s signature Belt and Road Initiative as well as its approach to building new international relationships also highlighted its overseas agricultural investment...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Argentina’s Macroeconomic Situation Argentina’s economic situation is growing more complex every day. Both external and internal factors (inflation, foreign exchange, political risk, etc.) are playing against each other, and the approaching presidential elections are only increasing...

Trade Economics and GDP

U.S. first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth reached 3.2 percent, according to the initial report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) last Friday. That estimate is subject to further revisions on 30 May. Of note are the following factors:  GDP growth came in far higher th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

The Good and the Bad

It has been said that commodities futures markets are zero-sum games, that someone’s gains are always offset by someone else’s losses. Whereas that may be narrowly true in theory, it certainly is not the case for the broader business of growing, handling, transporting, processing an...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains biofuel

China In-Country Analysis

Marco Trends March Economic Data Points to Effects of Stimulus and ASF In response to a sharp economic slowdown and the ongoing impact of the trade war with the U.S., China launched a series of stimulative measures at the end of 2018. After a tepid January and February, the country’s econ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Agricultural Funds and ETFs

The theory that commodities were a useful tool for anyone seeking to diversify an investment portfolio gained considerable popularity in the early years of the 21st century. This was based on studies indicating that commodity and equity prices often moved in opposite directions. The viability o...

What do February’s Retail Sales Mean for Agriculture?

The consumer is often said to be the backbone of the U.S. economy, and that looks to be a positive factor for the food and agricultural sectors. The U.S. Census Bureau recently released its monthly advanced estimates of retail and food service sales, which are widely encouraging from a macroeco...

Family Farms versus Big Ag—Again

The next U.S. presidential election occurs in about 20 months, but the campaign season is already well underway. President Donald Trump is more than halfway through his first term. He has a solid political base of supporters and a firm grip on the Republican Party, and his nomination to seek a...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains

China In-Country Analysis

Marco Trends February Economic Data Points to Serious Weakness Data from China’s National Bureau of Statistics indicates the country’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell to 49.2 percent last month, the lowest level since May 2017. It should be noted that a figure below 50 p...

Want More Sales? Try Owning a Restaurant

The U.S. Census Bureau’s monthly advance retail sales report, released Tuesday, suggests that owning a restaurant is likely to be a sales-boosting endeavor in 2019. Okay, it didn’t really say that, but the report holds some interesting insights for the food and agribusiness industri...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Argentina’s Cash Payment Issues The volatility in forex markets and the Argentine peso’s devaluation led to government intervention in the debate between farmers and exporters. On contracts executed in USD, farmers were claiming that they were losing money between the time the forex...

livestock soy-oilseeds feed-grains

China In-Country Analysis

Policy Developments Presidents Xi and Trump Continue High Stakes Game of Chicken Over the weekend, President Trump used Twitter, his favorite communication medium, to uncork a new fusillade of tariff threats against China due to a lack of progress in the trade talks. According to Secretary of T...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains livestock

China In-Country Analysis

Policy Developments China Highlights Overseas Ag Investments at Belt and Road Forum The summit last week in Beijing touting China’s signature Belt and Road Initiative as well as its approach to building new international relationships also highlighted its overseas agricultural investment...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Argentina’s Macroeconomic Situation Argentina’s economic situation is growing more complex every day. Both external and internal factors (inflation, foreign exchange, political risk, etc.) are playing against each other, and the approaching presidential elections are only increasing...

Trade Economics and GDP

U.S. first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth reached 3.2 percent, according to the initial report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) last Friday. That estimate is subject to further revisions on 30 May. Of note are the following factors:  GDP growth came in far higher th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

The Good and the Bad

It has been said that commodities futures markets are zero-sum games, that someone’s gains are always offset by someone else’s losses. Whereas that may be narrowly true in theory, it certainly is not the case for the broader business of growing, handling, transporting, processing an...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains biofuel

China In-Country Analysis

Marco Trends March Economic Data Points to Effects of Stimulus and ASF In response to a sharp economic slowdown and the ongoing impact of the trade war with the U.S., China launched a series of stimulative measures at the end of 2018. After a tepid January and February, the country’s econ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Agricultural Funds and ETFs

The theory that commodities were a useful tool for anyone seeking to diversify an investment portfolio gained considerable popularity in the early years of the 21st century. This was based on studies indicating that commodity and equity prices often moved in opposite directions. The viability o...

What do February’s Retail Sales Mean for Agriculture?

The consumer is often said to be the backbone of the U.S. economy, and that looks to be a positive factor for the food and agricultural sectors. The U.S. Census Bureau recently released its monthly advanced estimates of retail and food service sales, which are widely encouraging from a macroeco...

Family Farms versus Big Ag—Again

The next U.S. presidential election occurs in about 20 months, but the campaign season is already well underway. President Donald Trump is more than halfway through his first term. He has a solid political base of supporters and a firm grip on the Republican Party, and his nomination to seek a...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains

China In-Country Analysis

Marco Trends February Economic Data Points to Serious Weakness Data from China’s National Bureau of Statistics indicates the country’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell to 49.2 percent last month, the lowest level since May 2017. It should be noted that a figure below 50 p...

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