World Perspectives

Recent Macroeconomics Analysis

Europe’s Mantel; Trade-less Trade Advisor

Europe’s Mantel Sans Viande: In three months, France will ban the use of “meat” when referring to meat alternative products. Since profits are in the adjective, meaning consumers will pay a premium for claims-based products such as geographic indicators, farmers in France have...

“Healthy” Food Slows Ag Approps

Last Friday, WPI reported on the status of the appropriations process; Congress has until Friday of this week to pass four appropriations bills, including the one funding agriculture and other agencies. If funding lapses, agencies like USDA will be unable to open on Monday 4 March. House Speake...

Data versus Rhetoric

Politico reports that President Biden wants to attack the U.S. food industry in his 7 March State of the Union address to Congress. He believes his Super Bowl attack on food companies for “shrinkflation” struck a chord with voters for its deceptive nature. Rather than raise prices,...

feed-grains wheat soy-oilseeds

Market Commentary: Higher CBOT and Corn Reversal Deny Long-Run Bearish Outlook

The CBOT turned mostly higher to start the week amid some bullish fundamental developments and funds covering shorts after the market’s recent and wildly profitable plunge lower. Corn was the upside leader with the May contract posting a bullish key reversal on the chart as export inspect...

livestock wheat soy-oilseeds

Market Commentary: CBOT Decline Continues while Stocks Rally; EPA Confirms Summer E15 Sales

The CBOT was mostly lower again on Thursday with funds retaining their bearish grip on the markets and driving futures into the red. Despite adjustments to South American crop expectations, corn and soybean markets are reacting to overall favorable production conditions and the looming crops th...

Cost of Deception; Trade and Politics; Political Constituencies

Cost of Deception President Joe Biden like other politicians thought he made a clever calculation when he recent;ly blamed food processors for inflation in the sector. As he scorned, “The American public is tired of being played for suckers…I’ve had enough of what they call s...

German Broken Window Theory; Mixed Ethanol Policies; Future of Food

German Broken Window Theory At this past weekend’s Munich Security Conference, German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said U.S. defense contractors and the American economy would benefit from spending more money helping Ukraine defend itself against Russia. Biden economic adviser Lael Br...

International Agency Capture; Running Out of Crap; Vilsack Shines

International Agency Capture Regulatory capture occurs when a policymaker or regulator is co-opted to serve the interests of a minor constituency. That capture has now occurred to two international agencies, the WTO and the IEA. The WTO is dysfunctional because it has been recast as a developme...

More Subsidies for Scale; APEP Trade; African Humor

More Subsidies for Scale The Biden Administration blames large meat packers for higher consumer prices. Its solution has been to subsidize the startup of small meat packers with grants (Value-Added Producer Grants) and loans. The program has been a smashing success. Over the past year the avera...

Census of Ag Summary – Same Trends Continue

USDA released the latest Census of Agriculture today. Typically, the release is every five years, so this is the 2022 census, updated from 2017. The response rate to the 2022 census was 61 percent; in 2017 it was 72 percent.  Total farm sales in 2022, a year of record farm income, were $54...

Farm Bill Lacks Gravitas; Paying for Change

Farm Bill Lacks Gravitas Farmer protests appear to be exploding everywhere. Of course, in Europe where it is part of the profession. But in India as well where farmers are demanding higher minimum support process. Farmers in the U.S. also want higher guarantees for farm income. Commodity prices...

Farmer/Green Divide

The recent policy reversal in Europe on environmental obligations for farmers is not being welcomed by everyone. Greenpeace warns that excluding farms from emission reductions will ultimately hurt farmers as their crops fail under the burden of climate change. They are also warning that farmers...

Europe’s Mantel; Trade-less Trade Advisor

Europe’s Mantel Sans Viande: In three months, France will ban the use of “meat” when referring to meat alternative products. Since profits are in the adjective, meaning consumers will pay a premium for claims-based products such as geographic indicators, farmers in France have...

“Healthy” Food Slows Ag Approps

Last Friday, WPI reported on the status of the appropriations process; Congress has until Friday of this week to pass four appropriations bills, including the one funding agriculture and other agencies. If funding lapses, agencies like USDA will be unable to open on Monday 4 March. House Speake...

Data versus Rhetoric

Politico reports that President Biden wants to attack the U.S. food industry in his 7 March State of the Union address to Congress. He believes his Super Bowl attack on food companies for “shrinkflation” struck a chord with voters for its deceptive nature. Rather than raise prices,...

feed-grains wheat soy-oilseeds

Market Commentary: Higher CBOT and Corn Reversal Deny Long-Run Bearish Outlook

The CBOT turned mostly higher to start the week amid some bullish fundamental developments and funds covering shorts after the market’s recent and wildly profitable plunge lower. Corn was the upside leader with the May contract posting a bullish key reversal on the chart as export inspect...

livestock wheat soy-oilseeds

Market Commentary: CBOT Decline Continues while Stocks Rally; EPA Confirms Summer E15 Sales

The CBOT was mostly lower again on Thursday with funds retaining their bearish grip on the markets and driving futures into the red. Despite adjustments to South American crop expectations, corn and soybean markets are reacting to overall favorable production conditions and the looming crops th...

Cost of Deception; Trade and Politics; Political Constituencies

Cost of Deception President Joe Biden like other politicians thought he made a clever calculation when he recent;ly blamed food processors for inflation in the sector. As he scorned, “The American public is tired of being played for suckers…I’ve had enough of what they call s...

German Broken Window Theory; Mixed Ethanol Policies; Future of Food

German Broken Window Theory At this past weekend’s Munich Security Conference, German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said U.S. defense contractors and the American economy would benefit from spending more money helping Ukraine defend itself against Russia. Biden economic adviser Lael Br...

International Agency Capture; Running Out of Crap; Vilsack Shines

International Agency Capture Regulatory capture occurs when a policymaker or regulator is co-opted to serve the interests of a minor constituency. That capture has now occurred to two international agencies, the WTO and the IEA. The WTO is dysfunctional because it has been recast as a developme...

More Subsidies for Scale; APEP Trade; African Humor

More Subsidies for Scale The Biden Administration blames large meat packers for higher consumer prices. Its solution has been to subsidize the startup of small meat packers with grants (Value-Added Producer Grants) and loans. The program has been a smashing success. Over the past year the avera...

Census of Ag Summary – Same Trends Continue

USDA released the latest Census of Agriculture today. Typically, the release is every five years, so this is the 2022 census, updated from 2017. The response rate to the 2022 census was 61 percent; in 2017 it was 72 percent.  Total farm sales in 2022, a year of record farm income, were $54...

Farm Bill Lacks Gravitas; Paying for Change

Farm Bill Lacks Gravitas Farmer protests appear to be exploding everywhere. Of course, in Europe where it is part of the profession. But in India as well where farmers are demanding higher minimum support process. Farmers in the U.S. also want higher guarantees for farm income. Commodity prices...

Farmer/Green Divide

The recent policy reversal in Europe on environmental obligations for farmers is not being welcomed by everyone. Greenpeace warns that excluding farms from emission reductions will ultimately hurt farmers as their crops fail under the burden of climate change. They are also warning that farmers...

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