World Perspectives

Recent Macroeconomics Analysis

livestock farm-inputs

U.S. Wool Update

Key Takeaways: World prices are strong; U.S. grower data doesn’t show it. Australia's benchmark finished the 2025/26 season 61 percent higher, while the value of the 2025 U.S. clip fell 7 percent. The U.S. clip is coarser than the wool behind the headlines. Only about 7 percent was finer...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds biofuel

Ethanol and Biodiesel Margin Outlook Amid Falling Energy Markets

Key Takeaways:  The recent pullback in crude oil and other energy markets has left many in the ag and biofuels communities wondering what it means for ethanol and biodiesel prices and profit margins. WPI’s research indicates a weak but still significant link between ethanol and crud...

feed-grains biofuel farm-inputs

Alabama and Louisiana Request RFS Waivers but Approval Remains Unlikely

Key Takeaways: Alabama and Louisiana have requested partial waivers of 2027 Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) requirements, arguing that rising compliance costs are contributing to higher fuel prices and economic hardship. Louisiana Governor Jeff Landry is encouraging neighboring states to join th...

farm-inputs energy

Congress: Lame Duck Session Kicks Off with Volatile Issues

Congress is back in session for the lame-duck period, which is beginning with several contentious issues, including the farm bill, a federal funding deadline, energy legislation, and impeachment proceedings against Pete Hegseth, the Secretary of War. Emblematic of the political uncertainty, the...

soy-oilseeds

The Role of Currency Exchange Rates in Agricultural Trade

Key Takeaways: Currency exchange rates influence agricultural export competitiveness and producer profitability, even when underlying commodity prices remain unchanged. A weaker domestic currency allows agricultural exporters to receive more local currency for dollar-denominated sales, potenti...

equities energy

A Closer, More Complex Look at Inflation

Although inflation has remained elevated since the post-COVID surge, it steadily moderated until the past year. More to the point, today’s inflation looks very different from 2022, when the Consumer Price Index (CPI) peaked at 9 percent. During and after the pandemic, the M2 money supply...

soy-oilseeds biofuel energy

Global Soybean Crush Margin Forecasts

Key Takeaways:  WPI’s forecasts call for physical U.S. soybean crushing margins to weaken over the next four months and average $4.44/bushel by late February, while CBOT futures margins should rise modestly to about $2.40/bushel. A key catalyst for this is the expectation that U.S...

feed-grains livestock farm-inputs

“Lame Duck” and “Farm Bill”: Mutually Exclusive?

The election is over – for the most part. Counting is still underway in some states, including Alaska, where a ranked-choice voting system is in place for the Senate race, and Mississippi, as well as in some House districts. But as of now, Democrats have secured at least 54 Senate seats,...

livestock farm-inputs

Livestock Roundup: Meat State Shake Up on Senate Agriculture Committee

The Senate Agriculture Committee will undergo significant changes in the new Congress beginning in January 2027, including several major shifts in meat-producing states. The Democratic Party’s tsunami swept Senator Roger Marshall (R-Kansas) out of office, and out of the seat once held by...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

Milk Pricing with The Calf in the Ledger

What dairy breakeven looks like with and without the beef-on-dairy boom To put a dollar value on that question, this analysis removes the calf check from the USDA ledger and examines how many of the last five years would have reached breakeven without it. Key Takeaways: Milk and other income a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

Blue Wave Crashes on Ag Policy

Key Takeaways: The 2026 U.S. Midterm elections surprised many pundits and have created significant changes in how agriculture and major agricultural production states will be represented in Congress. Details on how candidates expect to address agricultural issues are still limited, and no offi...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

Japan’s Agricultural Import Dependence Supports Consistent Demand

Key Takeaways: Japan’s mountainous geography and limited farmland constrain domestic agricultural production, while its highly developed economy and substantial purchasing power make it one of the world’s most important agricultural import markets. Japan’s calorie-based food...

livestock farm-inputs

U.S. Wool Update

Key Takeaways: World prices are strong; U.S. grower data doesn’t show it. Australia's benchmark finished the 2025/26 season 61 percent higher, while the value of the 2025 U.S. clip fell 7 percent. The U.S. clip is coarser than the wool behind the headlines. Only about 7 percent was finer...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds biofuel

Ethanol and Biodiesel Margin Outlook Amid Falling Energy Markets

Key Takeaways:  The recent pullback in crude oil and other energy markets has left many in the ag and biofuels communities wondering what it means for ethanol and biodiesel prices and profit margins. WPI’s research indicates a weak but still significant link between ethanol and crud...

feed-grains biofuel farm-inputs

Alabama and Louisiana Request RFS Waivers but Approval Remains Unlikely

Key Takeaways: Alabama and Louisiana have requested partial waivers of 2027 Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) requirements, arguing that rising compliance costs are contributing to higher fuel prices and economic hardship. Louisiana Governor Jeff Landry is encouraging neighboring states to join th...

farm-inputs energy

Congress: Lame Duck Session Kicks Off with Volatile Issues

Congress is back in session for the lame-duck period, which is beginning with several contentious issues, including the farm bill, a federal funding deadline, energy legislation, and impeachment proceedings against Pete Hegseth, the Secretary of War. Emblematic of the political uncertainty, the...

soy-oilseeds

The Role of Currency Exchange Rates in Agricultural Trade

Key Takeaways: Currency exchange rates influence agricultural export competitiveness and producer profitability, even when underlying commodity prices remain unchanged. A weaker domestic currency allows agricultural exporters to receive more local currency for dollar-denominated sales, potenti...

equities energy

A Closer, More Complex Look at Inflation

Although inflation has remained elevated since the post-COVID surge, it steadily moderated until the past year. More to the point, today’s inflation looks very different from 2022, when the Consumer Price Index (CPI) peaked at 9 percent. During and after the pandemic, the M2 money supply...

soy-oilseeds biofuel energy

Global Soybean Crush Margin Forecasts

Key Takeaways:  WPI’s forecasts call for physical U.S. soybean crushing margins to weaken over the next four months and average $4.44/bushel by late February, while CBOT futures margins should rise modestly to about $2.40/bushel. A key catalyst for this is the expectation that U.S...

feed-grains livestock farm-inputs

“Lame Duck” and “Farm Bill”: Mutually Exclusive?

The election is over – for the most part. Counting is still underway in some states, including Alaska, where a ranked-choice voting system is in place for the Senate race, and Mississippi, as well as in some House districts. But as of now, Democrats have secured at least 54 Senate seats,...

livestock farm-inputs

Livestock Roundup: Meat State Shake Up on Senate Agriculture Committee

The Senate Agriculture Committee will undergo significant changes in the new Congress beginning in January 2027, including several major shifts in meat-producing states. The Democratic Party’s tsunami swept Senator Roger Marshall (R-Kansas) out of office, and out of the seat once held by...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

Milk Pricing with The Calf in the Ledger

What dairy breakeven looks like with and without the beef-on-dairy boom To put a dollar value on that question, this analysis removes the calf check from the USDA ledger and examines how many of the last five years would have reached breakeven without it. Key Takeaways: Milk and other income a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

Blue Wave Crashes on Ag Policy

Key Takeaways: The 2026 U.S. Midterm elections surprised many pundits and have created significant changes in how agriculture and major agricultural production states will be represented in Congress. Details on how candidates expect to address agricultural issues are still limited, and no offi...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

Japan’s Agricultural Import Dependence Supports Consistent Demand

Key Takeaways: Japan’s mountainous geography and limited farmland constrain domestic agricultural production, while its highly developed economy and substantial purchasing power make it one of the world’s most important agricultural import markets. Japan’s calorie-based food...

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