World Perspectives

Recent Pulses Analysis

softs feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Ban on Yellow Pea Imports Extended for Three Months India’s Ministry of Commerce has extended the ban on yellow pea imports, first implemented in late April 2018 for a three-month period as the price of chickpeas cotinued to slide, until 30 September 2018. Per the notification, “The...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Corn and Soymeal Exports Could Keep Prices High Indian corn is competitive and finding markets in Vietnam and Bangladesh. Vietnam continues to import Indian corn in containers at $220-225/MT delivered. This price is compared to U.S. and South American corn at $230/MT delivered. Bangladesh impor...

softs feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Sugar Prices Improve on GOI Intervention It seems that the government of India (GOI) has finally heeded the sugar industry’s demand and will create a buffer stock. With the Indian Sugar Manufacturers Association now boosting its sugar production forecast to 32 MMT, 2018/19 opening stocks...

soy-oilseeds livestock

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

India’s Vegetable Oil Demand and Imports Both Higher in 2017/18 India’s overall vegetable oil imports reached 15.573 MMT for 2017/18 (March-April), a 9.53 percent increase from 14.217 MMT the previous year. This included 15.181 MMT of edible oil and 0.392 MMT of nonedible oil, up fr...

softs soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Subsidy for Sugarcane Growers Unable to pay for sugarcane deliveries because of high input costs and low sugar prices, the sugar industry approached the government for an intervention. The arrears owed to farmers had reached $2.98 billion at the end of March 2018, and the government of India (G...

soy-oilseeds wheat feed-grains

Stats Canada Surprises!

Stats Canada released its initial planting estimates for Canada this morning, which included several significant surprises such as the following: Canola acreage is forecast to drop 7 percent from 2017, well below the trade’s pre-report guesses. This is likely the result of last year&rsqu...

softs soy-oilseeds feed-grains

India Subcontinent Regional Analysis

  Record Sugar Production Expected as Prices Tumble and Arrears Mount India’s sugar production for 2017/18 (October-September) is now expected to total 30.3 MMT, up from the previous estimate of 29.5 MMT. The production cycle is coming to an end with output reaching a high of 28.18 M...

feed-grains wheat

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Corn Exports Unlikely Without More Signifcant Drop in Domestic Prices Domestic corn prices in the key rabi production center (Gulabbagh, Bihar) have continued to fall. The National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX) spot price is down and expected to move lower as harvest nears. Old sto...

softs soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Record Sugar Production Expected Based on the projected increase in sugarcane production (see Ag Perspectives, 2 March), a higher crush as well as good recovery in Maharashtra, Karnataka and Uttar Pradesh, the sugar industry expects 2017/18 sugar production to reach 29.2 MMT, a record. That is...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Second Advance Production Estimates Project Record Food Grain Production The government of India (GOI) released the Second Advanced Estimates for Agricultural Production on 27 February 2018, which projected the country’s total food grain production in 2017/18 at 277.49 MMT, 2.94 MMT more...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Argentine and Brazilian Soy Crops; U.S. Export Sales; India’s Oilseeds

Forecast for Argentine Soybean Crop Reduced Again The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange today lowered its forecast for the Argentine 2018 soybean crop from 47 MMT to 44 MMT because of the ongoing drought. It indicated conditions continue to worsen and seemed to suggest there could be a further reduct...

softs soy-oilseeds wheat

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Sugar Prices Firm; Export Duty Could Be Removed Sugar prices continue to firm following the imposition of an export duty and stock limits on sugar mills. According to National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX) data, the bottom spot price occurred on 5 February 2018 with prices rising 8...

softs feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Ban on Yellow Pea Imports Extended for Three Months India’s Ministry of Commerce has extended the ban on yellow pea imports, first implemented in late April 2018 for a three-month period as the price of chickpeas cotinued to slide, until 30 September 2018. Per the notification, “The...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Corn and Soymeal Exports Could Keep Prices High Indian corn is competitive and finding markets in Vietnam and Bangladesh. Vietnam continues to import Indian corn in containers at $220-225/MT delivered. This price is compared to U.S. and South American corn at $230/MT delivered. Bangladesh impor...

softs feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Sugar Prices Improve on GOI Intervention It seems that the government of India (GOI) has finally heeded the sugar industry’s demand and will create a buffer stock. With the Indian Sugar Manufacturers Association now boosting its sugar production forecast to 32 MMT, 2018/19 opening stocks...

soy-oilseeds livestock

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

India’s Vegetable Oil Demand and Imports Both Higher in 2017/18 India’s overall vegetable oil imports reached 15.573 MMT for 2017/18 (March-April), a 9.53 percent increase from 14.217 MMT the previous year. This included 15.181 MMT of edible oil and 0.392 MMT of nonedible oil, up fr...

softs soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Subsidy for Sugarcane Growers Unable to pay for sugarcane deliveries because of high input costs and low sugar prices, the sugar industry approached the government for an intervention. The arrears owed to farmers had reached $2.98 billion at the end of March 2018, and the government of India (G...

soy-oilseeds wheat feed-grains

Stats Canada Surprises!

Stats Canada released its initial planting estimates for Canada this morning, which included several significant surprises such as the following: Canola acreage is forecast to drop 7 percent from 2017, well below the trade’s pre-report guesses. This is likely the result of last year&rsqu...

softs soy-oilseeds feed-grains

India Subcontinent Regional Analysis

  Record Sugar Production Expected as Prices Tumble and Arrears Mount India’s sugar production for 2017/18 (October-September) is now expected to total 30.3 MMT, up from the previous estimate of 29.5 MMT. The production cycle is coming to an end with output reaching a high of 28.18 M...

feed-grains wheat

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Corn Exports Unlikely Without More Signifcant Drop in Domestic Prices Domestic corn prices in the key rabi production center (Gulabbagh, Bihar) have continued to fall. The National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX) spot price is down and expected to move lower as harvest nears. Old sto...

softs soy-oilseeds

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Record Sugar Production Expected Based on the projected increase in sugarcane production (see Ag Perspectives, 2 March), a higher crush as well as good recovery in Maharashtra, Karnataka and Uttar Pradesh, the sugar industry expects 2017/18 sugar production to reach 29.2 MMT, a record. That is...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Second Advance Production Estimates Project Record Food Grain Production The government of India (GOI) released the Second Advanced Estimates for Agricultural Production on 27 February 2018, which projected the country’s total food grain production in 2017/18 at 277.49 MMT, 2.94 MMT more...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Argentine and Brazilian Soy Crops; U.S. Export Sales; India’s Oilseeds

Forecast for Argentine Soybean Crop Reduced Again The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange today lowered its forecast for the Argentine 2018 soybean crop from 47 MMT to 44 MMT because of the ongoing drought. It indicated conditions continue to worsen and seemed to suggest there could be a further reduct...

softs soy-oilseeds wheat

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Sugar Prices Firm; Export Duty Could Be Removed Sugar prices continue to firm following the imposition of an export duty and stock limits on sugar mills. According to National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX) data, the bottom spot price occurred on 5 February 2018 with prices rising 8...

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