Feed Grains
Market Commentary
After featuring active trade and higher prices on Monday and Tuesday, grain and soybean markets paused to catch their breath today. Volume was restrained, and limited price action kept values near Tuesday’s closes. Following those rare occasions during the past few months when markets ral...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 9-13 July 2018 The domestic grain market was influenced by different trends as new crop production started being traded along with that of previous seasons. Milling wheat export prices grew $2.00/MT to $202/MT FOB Black Sea, but purchase prices at seaports were stable (in...
Summary of Futures
Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights...
Market Commentary
After featuring active trade and higher prices on Monday and Tuesday, grain and soybean markets paused to catch their breath today. Volume was restrained, and limited price action kept values near Tuesday’s closes. Following those rare occasions during the past few months when markets ral...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 9-13 July 2018 The domestic grain market was influenced by different trends as new crop production started being traded along with that of previous seasons. Milling wheat export prices grew $2.00/MT to $202/MT FOB Black Sea, but purchase prices at seaports were stable (in...
Summary of Futures
Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights...
Closing Bell Wrap-Up
Grains traded a quiet, mixed session while cattle futures moved sharply higher ahead of this week’s fundamental reports. Hog futures, of course, put in new contract lows (again) amid continued uncertainty about pork demand. The Midwest weather remains favorable for crop development...
Soy & Oilseeds
Market Commentary
After featuring active trade and higher prices on Monday and Tuesday, grain and soybean markets paused to catch their breath today. Volume was restrained, and limited price action kept values near Tuesday’s closes. Following those rare occasions during the past few months when markets ral...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 9-13 July 2018 The domestic grain market was influenced by different trends as new crop production started being traded along with that of previous seasons. Milling wheat export prices grew $2.00/MT to $202/MT FOB Black Sea, but purchase prices at seaports were stable (in...
Summary of Futures
Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights...
Market Commentary
After featuring active trade and higher prices on Monday and Tuesday, grain and soybean markets paused to catch their breath today. Volume was restrained, and limited price action kept values near Tuesday’s closes. Following those rare occasions during the past few months when markets ral...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 9-13 July 2018 The domestic grain market was influenced by different trends as new crop production started being traded along with that of previous seasons. Milling wheat export prices grew $2.00/MT to $202/MT FOB Black Sea, but purchase prices at seaports were stable (in...
Summary of Futures
Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights...
Closing Bell Wrap-Up
Grains traded a quiet, mixed session while cattle futures moved sharply higher ahead of this week’s fundamental reports. Hog futures, of course, put in new contract lows (again) amid continued uncertainty about pork demand. The Midwest weather remains favorable for crop development...
Wheat
Market Commentary
After featuring active trade and higher prices on Monday and Tuesday, grain and soybean markets paused to catch their breath today. Volume was restrained, and limited price action kept values near Tuesday’s closes. Following those rare occasions during the past few months when markets ral...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 9-13 July 2018 The domestic grain market was influenced by different trends as new crop production started being traded along with that of previous seasons. Milling wheat export prices grew $2.00/MT to $202/MT FOB Black Sea, but purchase prices at seaports were stable (in...
Summary of Futures
Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights...
Market Commentary
After featuring active trade and higher prices on Monday and Tuesday, grain and soybean markets paused to catch their breath today. Volume was restrained, and limited price action kept values near Tuesday’s closes. Following those rare occasions during the past few months when markets ral...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 9-13 July 2018 The domestic grain market was influenced by different trends as new crop production started being traded along with that of previous seasons. Milling wheat export prices grew $2.00/MT to $202/MT FOB Black Sea, but purchase prices at seaports were stable (in...
Summary of Futures
Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights...
Closing Bell Wrap-Up
Grains traded a quiet, mixed session while cattle futures moved sharply higher ahead of this week’s fundamental reports. Hog futures, of course, put in new contract lows (again) amid continued uncertainty about pork demand. The Midwest weather remains favorable for crop development...
Livestock
Market Commentary
After featuring active trade and higher prices on Monday and Tuesday, grain and soybean markets paused to catch their breath today. Volume was restrained, and limited price action kept values near Tuesday’s closes. Following those rare occasions during the past few months when markets ral...
Summary of Futures
Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights...
Closing Bell Wrap-Up
Grains traded a quiet, mixed session while cattle futures moved sharply higher ahead of this week’s fundamental reports. Hog futures, of course, put in new contract lows (again) amid continued uncertainty about pork demand. The Midwest weather remains favorable for crop development...
Market Commentary
After featuring active trade and higher prices on Monday and Tuesday, grain and soybean markets paused to catch their breath today. Volume was restrained, and limited price action kept values near Tuesday’s closes. Following those rare occasions during the past few months when markets ral...
Summary of Futures
Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights...
Closing Bell Wrap-Up
Grains traded a quiet, mixed session while cattle futures moved sharply higher ahead of this week’s fundamental reports. Hog futures, of course, put in new contract lows (again) amid continued uncertainty about pork demand. The Midwest weather remains favorable for crop development...
Closing Bell Wrap-Up
The fundamentals are kicking in and pulling CBOT products higher. Spotty growing conditions across the Midwest, including reports of both drought and drown-out spots, are boosting corn and soybean values while declining production prospects internationally for wheat pushed those prices higher.&...
Biofuels
Market Commentary
After featuring active trade and higher prices on Monday and Tuesday, grain and soybean markets paused to catch their breath today. Volume was restrained, and limited price action kept values near Tuesday’s closes. Following those rare occasions during the past few months when markets ral...
India Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Ethanol Policy Changes May Not Ease Pressure on Sugar Sector Immediately Changes in ethanol prices, including that of B-Heavy molasses as an input for making the fuel, do not mean that India will become self-sufficient in supplies and fulfil the demand of the Ethanol Blending Program (EBP). Fur...
Market Commentary
Today’s post-holiday market was not the frenzied affair that sometimes follows the 4th of July. There was no overnight session (due to the holiday), and trading seemed relatively subdued when it began this morning. It remained quiet even though wheat and soybeans closed with notable price...
Market Commentary
After featuring active trade and higher prices on Monday and Tuesday, grain and soybean markets paused to catch their breath today. Volume was restrained, and limited price action kept values near Tuesday’s closes. Following those rare occasions during the past few months when markets ral...
India Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Ethanol Policy Changes May Not Ease Pressure on Sugar Sector Immediately Changes in ethanol prices, including that of B-Heavy molasses as an input for making the fuel, do not mean that India will become self-sufficient in supplies and fulfil the demand of the Ethanol Blending Program (EBP). Fur...
Market Commentary
Today’s post-holiday market was not the frenzied affair that sometimes follows the 4th of July. There was no overnight session (due to the holiday), and trading seemed relatively subdued when it began this morning. It remained quiet even though wheat and soybeans closed with notable price...
Ag Review - June 2018
WPI's monthly publication features analyses of the U.S. grain industry, U.S. soybean marketing strategies, the U.S. meat industry, the global outlook for farm inputs, and policy trends. It also provides a review of agribusiness stock prices along with expectations for future performance...
Farm Inputs
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Falling Rupee and Higher Input Costs Make Agriculture a Tough Choice Two developments that the government of India (GOI) had not anticipated are higher crude oil prices and the rupee falling against the U.S. dollar. In discussions with the U.S. regarding market access, India moved to impose saf...
Ag Review - June 2018
WPI's monthly publication features analyses of the U.S. grain industry, U.S. soybean marketing strategies, the U.S. meat industry, the global outlook for farm inputs, and policy trends. It also provides a review of agribusiness stock prices along with expectations for future performance...
Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis
Regional Updates MIDDLE EAST/MEDITERRANEAN COMMENTS Syria and Russia are said to be developing a shipping route between Tartus, Syria and Sebastopol, Crimea, mainly for the supply of grain to Syria but also for building materials. Syria will ship agricultural products to Sebastopol. “Rebe...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Falling Rupee and Higher Input Costs Make Agriculture a Tough Choice Two developments that the government of India (GOI) had not anticipated are higher crude oil prices and the rupee falling against the U.S. dollar. In discussions with the U.S. regarding market access, India moved to impose saf...
Ag Review - June 2018
WPI's monthly publication features analyses of the U.S. grain industry, U.S. soybean marketing strategies, the U.S. meat industry, the global outlook for farm inputs, and policy trends. It also provides a review of agribusiness stock prices along with expectations for future performance...
Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis
Regional Updates MIDDLE EAST/MEDITERRANEAN COMMENTS Syria and Russia are said to be developing a shipping route between Tartus, Syria and Sebastopol, Crimea, mainly for the supply of grain to Syria but also for building materials. Syria will ship agricultural products to Sebastopol. “Rebe...
Ag Review - May 2018
WPI's monthly publication features analyses of the U.S. grain industry, U.S. soybean marketing strategies, the U.S. biofuels industry, the global outlook for farm inputs, and policy trends. It also provides a review of agribusiness stock prices along with expectations for future performance...
Equities
Market Commentary
After featuring active trade and higher prices on Monday and Tuesday, grain and soybean markets paused to catch their breath today. Volume was restrained, and limited price action kept values near Tuesday’s closes. Following those rare occasions during the past few months when markets ral...
Market Commentary
Grain and soy prices firmed overnight, in part because USDA dropped weekly condition ratings for corn and soybeans further than the trade expected. Another element of support came from FGIS export inspections showing that demand for soybeans and corn remains at a high pace despite trade conflic...
Market Commentary
Today is Friday the 13th, and the week ended accordingly. Soybeans were down again overnight and continued lower today. Corn joined soybeans, while wheat was independently firm. The news is the same. No trade deals appear to be on the horizon, and that means no speculative buyers are likely yet...
Market Commentary
After featuring active trade and higher prices on Monday and Tuesday, grain and soybean markets paused to catch their breath today. Volume was restrained, and limited price action kept values near Tuesday’s closes. Following those rare occasions during the past few months when markets ral...
Market Commentary
Grain and soy prices firmed overnight, in part because USDA dropped weekly condition ratings for corn and soybeans further than the trade expected. Another element of support came from FGIS export inspections showing that demand for soybeans and corn remains at a high pace despite trade conflic...
Market Commentary
Today is Friday the 13th, and the week ended accordingly. Soybeans were down again overnight and continued lower today. Corn joined soybeans, while wheat was independently firm. The news is the same. No trade deals appear to be on the horizon, and that means no speculative buyers are likely yet...
Market Commentary
While awaiting today’s WASDE, grains and soy markets traded a bit higher overnight as they tried to recover at least a small portion of yesterday’s trade-related beating. Soybeans and Chicago wheat were both up about 6 cents, and corn gained around 3 cents. Yesterday’s steep l...
Energy
Market Commentary
After featuring active trade and higher prices on Monday and Tuesday, grain and soybean markets paused to catch their breath today. Volume was restrained, and limited price action kept values near Tuesday’s closes. Following those rare occasions during the past few months when markets ral...
Summary of Futures
Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights...
Market Commentary
Grain and soy prices firmed overnight, in part because USDA dropped weekly condition ratings for corn and soybeans further than the trade expected. Another element of support came from FGIS export inspections showing that demand for soybeans and corn remains at a high pace despite trade conflic...
Market Commentary
After featuring active trade and higher prices on Monday and Tuesday, grain and soybean markets paused to catch their breath today. Volume was restrained, and limited price action kept values near Tuesday’s closes. Following those rare occasions during the past few months when markets ral...
Summary of Futures
Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights...
Market Commentary
Grain and soy prices firmed overnight, in part because USDA dropped weekly condition ratings for corn and soybeans further than the trade expected. Another element of support came from FGIS export inspections showing that demand for soybeans and corn remains at a high pace despite trade conflic...
Summary of Futures
Changes in Commodity Analytics’ short-term technical indicators for grain futures should be carefully examined against long-term signals. Elsewhere, livestock futures (live cattle, feeder cattle, and lean hogs) are showing technical signals that may influence how traders should manage the...
Softs
India Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Ethanol Policy Changes May Not Ease Pressure on Sugar Sector Immediately Changes in ethanol prices, including that of B-Heavy molasses as an input for making the fuel, do not mean that India will become self-sufficient in supplies and fulfil the demand of the Ethanol Blending Program (EBP). Fur...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Ban on Yellow Pea Imports Extended for Three Months India’s Ministry of Commerce has extended the ban on yellow pea imports, first implemented in late April 2018 for a three-month period as the price of chickpeas cotinued to slide, until 30 September 2018. Per the notification, “The...
Closing Bell Wrap-Up
CBOT products bounced higher today as the Trump Administration confirmed it is backing away from new restrictions in investment and intellectual property purchase rights to be applied on China. The move is being interpreted as the Administration taking a softer tone to draw China back to the ne...
India Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Ethanol Policy Changes May Not Ease Pressure on Sugar Sector Immediately Changes in ethanol prices, including that of B-Heavy molasses as an input for making the fuel, do not mean that India will become self-sufficient in supplies and fulfil the demand of the Ethanol Blending Program (EBP). Fur...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Ban on Yellow Pea Imports Extended for Three Months India’s Ministry of Commerce has extended the ban on yellow pea imports, first implemented in late April 2018 for a three-month period as the price of chickpeas cotinued to slide, until 30 September 2018. Per the notification, “The...
Closing Bell Wrap-Up
CBOT products bounced higher today as the Trump Administration confirmed it is backing away from new restrictions in investment and intellectual property purchase rights to be applied on China. The move is being interpreted as the Administration taking a softer tone to draw China back to the ne...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Falling Soymeal Prices May Move Up if Exports Continue Soybean and soymeal prices moved lower last week but had some upward movement near its end, and they are stable now due to slow poultry sector demand as well as international cues. However, world prices are still lower. The Indian soybean s...
Macroeconomics
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Falling Rupee and Higher Input Costs Make Agriculture a Tough Choice Two developments that the government of India (GOI) had not anticipated are higher crude oil prices and the rupee falling against the U.S. dollar. In discussions with the U.S. regarding market access, India moved to impose saf...
Ag Review - June 2018
WPI's monthly publication features analyses of the U.S. grain industry, U.S. soybean marketing strategies, the U.S. meat industry, the global outlook for farm inputs, and policy trends. It also provides a review of agribusiness stock prices along with expectations for future performance...
China In-Country Analysis
Policy Developments Will China Ultimately Retaliate? Coming on the heels of President Trump’s announcement last week confirming that his administration would implement its proposed 25 percent tariff on $50 billion worth of exports from China, Beijing said it would respond in kind with tar...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Falling Rupee and Higher Input Costs Make Agriculture a Tough Choice Two developments that the government of India (GOI) had not anticipated are higher crude oil prices and the rupee falling against the U.S. dollar. In discussions with the U.S. regarding market access, India moved to impose saf...
Ag Review - June 2018
WPI's monthly publication features analyses of the U.S. grain industry, U.S. soybean marketing strategies, the U.S. meat industry, the global outlook for farm inputs, and policy trends. It also provides a review of agribusiness stock prices along with expectations for future performance...
China In-Country Analysis
Policy Developments Will China Ultimately Retaliate? Coming on the heels of President Trump’s announcement last week confirming that his administration would implement its proposed 25 percent tariff on $50 billion worth of exports from China, Beijing said it would respond in kind with tar...
Market Commentary
The rout continues. Grains and soy complex futures prices fell again overnight, and they continued to drop throughout the day session. Interestingly, corn and wheat were relatively weaker than soybeans even though the latter have a much bigger stake in the U.S./China tariff situation. The likel...
Pulses
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Ban on Yellow Pea Imports Extended for Three Months India’s Ministry of Commerce has extended the ban on yellow pea imports, first implemented in late April 2018 for a three-month period as the price of chickpeas cotinued to slide, until 30 September 2018. Per the notification, “The...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Corn and Soymeal Exports Could Keep Prices High Indian corn is competitive and finding markets in Vietnam and Bangladesh. Vietnam continues to import Indian corn in containers at $220-225/MT delivered. This price is compared to U.S. and South American corn at $230/MT delivered. Bangladesh impor...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Sugar Prices Improve on GOI Intervention It seems that the government of India (GOI) has finally heeded the sugar industry’s demand and will create a buffer stock. With the Indian Sugar Manufacturers Association now boosting its sugar production forecast to 32 MMT, 2018/19 opening stocks...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Ban on Yellow Pea Imports Extended for Three Months India’s Ministry of Commerce has extended the ban on yellow pea imports, first implemented in late April 2018 for a three-month period as the price of chickpeas cotinued to slide, until 30 September 2018. Per the notification, “The...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Corn and Soymeal Exports Could Keep Prices High Indian corn is competitive and finding markets in Vietnam and Bangladesh. Vietnam continues to import Indian corn in containers at $220-225/MT delivered. This price is compared to U.S. and South American corn at $230/MT delivered. Bangladesh impor...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Sugar Prices Improve on GOI Intervention It seems that the government of India (GOI) has finally heeded the sugar industry’s demand and will create a buffer stock. With the Indian Sugar Manufacturers Association now boosting its sugar production forecast to 32 MMT, 2018/19 opening stocks...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
India’s Vegetable Oil Demand and Imports Both Higher in 2017/18 India’s overall vegetable oil imports reached 15.573 MMT for 2017/18 (March-April), a 9.53 percent increase from 14.217 MMT the previous year. This included 15.181 MMT of edible oil and 0.392 MMT of nonedible oil, up fr...