Feed Grains
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 5-9 November 2018 Milling wheat export prices were stable at an average $228/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices at seaports grew in RUB expression but dropped in USD expression to $196-197/MT CPT-Black Sea port. The average feed barley export and purchase prices rose t...
Market Commentary
Yesterday commodity markets were dominated by NYMEX crude oil’s precipitous decline, but today that market stabilized and actually closed a little higher to end its 12-day losing streak. This allowed other commodities to return to their own specifics. Unfortunately for the grain and soy f...
Summary of Futures
Dec 18 Corn closed at $3.67/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close. Dec 18 Wheat closed at $5.03/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close. Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $8.835/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close. Dec 18 Soymeal closed at $305.7/short ton, up $1.8 from y...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 5-9 November 2018 Milling wheat export prices were stable at an average $228/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices at seaports grew in RUB expression but dropped in USD expression to $196-197/MT CPT-Black Sea port. The average feed barley export and purchase prices rose t...
Market Commentary
Yesterday commodity markets were dominated by NYMEX crude oil’s precipitous decline, but today that market stabilized and actually closed a little higher to end its 12-day losing streak. This allowed other commodities to return to their own specifics. Unfortunately for the grain and soy f...
Summary of Futures
Dec 18 Corn closed at $3.67/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close. Dec 18 Wheat closed at $5.03/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close. Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $8.835/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close. Dec 18 Soymeal closed at $305.7/short ton, up $1.8 from y...
China In-Country Analysis
Livestock African Swine Fever Continues to Run Rampant Despite quarantines, incentives to cull herds impacted by sick animals, and harsh penalties administered to officials committing fraud, new cases of African swine fever (ASF) have continued to appear across China with outbreaks reported in...
Soy & Oilseeds
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 5-9 November 2018 Milling wheat export prices were stable at an average $228/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices at seaports grew in RUB expression but dropped in USD expression to $196-197/MT CPT-Black Sea port. The average feed barley export and purchase prices rose t...
Market Commentary
Yesterday commodity markets were dominated by NYMEX crude oil’s precipitous decline, but today that market stabilized and actually closed a little higher to end its 12-day losing streak. This allowed other commodities to return to their own specifics. Unfortunately for the grain and soy f...
Summary of Futures
Dec 18 Corn closed at $3.67/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close. Dec 18 Wheat closed at $5.03/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close. Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $8.835/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close. Dec 18 Soymeal closed at $305.7/short ton, up $1.8 from y...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 5-9 November 2018 Milling wheat export prices were stable at an average $228/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices at seaports grew in RUB expression but dropped in USD expression to $196-197/MT CPT-Black Sea port. The average feed barley export and purchase prices rose t...
Market Commentary
Yesterday commodity markets were dominated by NYMEX crude oil’s precipitous decline, but today that market stabilized and actually closed a little higher to end its 12-day losing streak. This allowed other commodities to return to their own specifics. Unfortunately for the grain and soy f...
Summary of Futures
Dec 18 Corn closed at $3.67/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close. Dec 18 Wheat closed at $5.03/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close. Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $8.835/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close. Dec 18 Soymeal closed at $305.7/short ton, up $1.8 from y...
China In-Country Analysis
Livestock African Swine Fever Continues to Run Rampant Despite quarantines, incentives to cull herds impacted by sick animals, and harsh penalties administered to officials committing fraud, new cases of African swine fever (ASF) have continued to appear across China with outbreaks reported in...
Wheat
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 5-9 November 2018 Milling wheat export prices were stable at an average $228/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices at seaports grew in RUB expression but dropped in USD expression to $196-197/MT CPT-Black Sea port. The average feed barley export and purchase prices rose t...
Market Commentary
Yesterday commodity markets were dominated by NYMEX crude oil’s precipitous decline, but today that market stabilized and actually closed a little higher to end its 12-day losing streak. This allowed other commodities to return to their own specifics. Unfortunately for the grain and soy f...
Summary of Futures
Dec 18 Corn closed at $3.67/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close. Dec 18 Wheat closed at $5.03/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close. Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $8.835/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close. Dec 18 Soymeal closed at $305.7/short ton, up $1.8 from y...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 5-9 November 2018 Milling wheat export prices were stable at an average $228/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices at seaports grew in RUB expression but dropped in USD expression to $196-197/MT CPT-Black Sea port. The average feed barley export and purchase prices rose t...
Market Commentary
Yesterday commodity markets were dominated by NYMEX crude oil’s precipitous decline, but today that market stabilized and actually closed a little higher to end its 12-day losing streak. This allowed other commodities to return to their own specifics. Unfortunately for the grain and soy f...
Summary of Futures
Dec 18 Corn closed at $3.67/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close. Dec 18 Wheat closed at $5.03/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close. Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $8.835/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close. Dec 18 Soymeal closed at $305.7/short ton, up $1.8 from y...
Market Commentary
Overnight trade reversed some of what occurred on Monday. Soybeans were higher, while grain prices were lower. Traders were chewing over news that U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin has been discussing trade issues with high-level Chinese officials. Optimists see such contact as setting the stage...
Livestock
Market Commentary
Yesterday commodity markets were dominated by NYMEX crude oil’s precipitous decline, but today that market stabilized and actually closed a little higher to end its 12-day losing streak. This allowed other commodities to return to their own specifics. Unfortunately for the grain and soy f...
Summary of Futures
Dec 18 Corn closed at $3.67/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close. Dec 18 Wheat closed at $5.03/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close. Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $8.835/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close. Dec 18 Soymeal closed at $305.7/short ton, up $1.8 from y...
China In-Country Analysis
Livestock African Swine Fever Continues to Run Rampant Despite quarantines, incentives to cull herds impacted by sick animals, and harsh penalties administered to officials committing fraud, new cases of African swine fever (ASF) have continued to appear across China with outbreaks reported in...
Market Commentary
Yesterday commodity markets were dominated by NYMEX crude oil’s precipitous decline, but today that market stabilized and actually closed a little higher to end its 12-day losing streak. This allowed other commodities to return to their own specifics. Unfortunately for the grain and soy f...
Summary of Futures
Dec 18 Corn closed at $3.67/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close. Dec 18 Wheat closed at $5.03/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close. Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $8.835/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close. Dec 18 Soymeal closed at $305.7/short ton, up $1.8 from y...
China In-Country Analysis
Livestock African Swine Fever Continues to Run Rampant Despite quarantines, incentives to cull herds impacted by sick animals, and harsh penalties administered to officials committing fraud, new cases of African swine fever (ASF) have continued to appear across China with outbreaks reported in...
Market Commentary
Overnight trade reversed some of what occurred on Monday. Soybeans were higher, while grain prices were lower. Traders were chewing over news that U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin has been discussing trade issues with high-level Chinese officials. Optimists see such contact as setting the stage...
Biofuels
Market Commentary
Yesterday commodity markets were dominated by NYMEX crude oil’s precipitous decline, but today that market stabilized and actually closed a little higher to end its 12-day losing streak. This allowed other commodities to return to their own specifics. Unfortunately for the grain and soy f...
Oilseed Highlights: EU Rapeseed; Brazil’s Soybean Exports; U.S. Soybean Inspections; Argentine Biodiesel
European Rapeseed Plantings Down Sharply The head of the French Federation of Oilseed and Protein Crop Producers (FOP) indicated last week that the country’s winter rapeseed plantings will likely decrease 30-35 percent from last year due to the lack of rain this fall. While that suggests...
2019 Biofuel Volumes Being Finalized
The final 2019 Required Volume Obligations (RVOs) under the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) are being reviewed by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB). The statute requires that the volumes be published by 30 November. The EPA submitted its draft of the final rule to OMB on 31 October and pu...
Market Commentary
Yesterday commodity markets were dominated by NYMEX crude oil’s precipitous decline, but today that market stabilized and actually closed a little higher to end its 12-day losing streak. This allowed other commodities to return to their own specifics. Unfortunately for the grain and soy f...
Oilseed Highlights: EU Rapeseed; Brazil’s Soybean Exports; U.S. Soybean Inspections; Argentine Biodiesel
European Rapeseed Plantings Down Sharply The head of the French Federation of Oilseed and Protein Crop Producers (FOP) indicated last week that the country’s winter rapeseed plantings will likely decrease 30-35 percent from last year due to the lack of rain this fall. While that suggests...
2019 Biofuel Volumes Being Finalized
The final 2019 Required Volume Obligations (RVOs) under the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) are being reviewed by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB). The statute requires that the volumes be published by 30 November. The EPA submitted its draft of the final rule to OMB on 31 October and pu...
Ag Review - October 2018
WPI's monthly publication features analyses of U.S. agribusiness, U.S. soybean marketing strategies, the U.S. biofuels industry, the global outlook for farm inputs, and policy trends. It also provides a review of agribusiness stock prices along with expectations for future performance...
Farm Inputs
Ag Review - October 2018
WPI's monthly publication features analyses of U.S. agribusiness, U.S. soybean marketing strategies, the U.S. biofuels industry, the global outlook for farm inputs, and policy trends. It also provides a review of agribusiness stock prices along with expectations for future performance...
Natural Gas and Fertilizer Outlook
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With the cold weather season coming, natural gas storage is at long-term lows. The U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA’s) October Short-Term Energy Outlook is forecasting natural gas inventories at 3,263 billion cubic feet (Bcf) by the end of the month. That would be the l...
Market Commentary
Corn and soybeans rallied Monday on news of the deal that brought Canada into what is now being called the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), while wheat stayed closer to unchanged. Trade overnight found corn and soybeans correcting lower with wheat trading both sides before posting a small...
Ag Review - October 2018
WPI's monthly publication features analyses of U.S. agribusiness, U.S. soybean marketing strategies, the U.S. biofuels industry, the global outlook for farm inputs, and policy trends. It also provides a review of agribusiness stock prices along with expectations for future performance...
Natural Gas and Fertilizer Outlook
With the cold weather season coming, natural gas storage is at long-term lows. The U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA’s) October Short-Term Energy Outlook is forecasting natural gas inventories at 3,263 billion cubic feet (Bcf) by the end of the month. That would be the l...
Market Commentary
Corn and soybeans rallied Monday on news of the deal that brought Canada into what is now being called the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), while wheat stayed closer to unchanged. Trade overnight found corn and soybeans correcting lower with wheat trading both sides before posting a small...
Ag Review - September 2018
WPI's monthly publication features analyses of the U.S. grain industry, U.S. soybean marketing strategies, the U.S. biofuels industry, the global outlook for farm inputs and equipment, and policy trends. It also provides a review of agribusiness stock prices along with expectations for future p...
Equities
Market Commentary
Yesterday commodity markets were dominated by NYMEX crude oil’s precipitous decline, but today that market stabilized and actually closed a little higher to end its 12-day losing streak. This allowed other commodities to return to their own specifics. Unfortunately for the grain and soy f...
Market Commentary
Overnight trade reversed some of what occurred on Monday. Soybeans were higher, while grain prices were lower. Traders were chewing over news that U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin has been discussing trade issues with high-level Chinese officials. Optimists see such contact as setting the stage...
Market Commentary
Today was the Veterans Day holiday in the U.S. The government was closed, but markets were open. The typical Monday USDA reports (e.g., weekly export inspections and weekly crop progress) will be released Tuesday. Corn and wheat futures were just slightly higher overnight with soybean futures l...
Market Commentary
Yesterday commodity markets were dominated by NYMEX crude oil’s precipitous decline, but today that market stabilized and actually closed a little higher to end its 12-day losing streak. This allowed other commodities to return to their own specifics. Unfortunately for the grain and soy f...
Market Commentary
Overnight trade reversed some of what occurred on Monday. Soybeans were higher, while grain prices were lower. Traders were chewing over news that U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin has been discussing trade issues with high-level Chinese officials. Optimists see such contact as setting the stage...
Market Commentary
Today was the Veterans Day holiday in the U.S. The government was closed, but markets were open. The typical Monday USDA reports (e.g., weekly export inspections and weekly crop progress) will be released Tuesday. Corn and wheat futures were just slightly higher overnight with soybean futures l...
Market Commentary
Corn, wheat and soybeans were all lower overnight following yesterday’s negative response to the somewhat bullish U.S. corn and wheat WASDE numbers. Both the U.S. and world soybean ending supply estimates were clearly bearish. Today’s session, however, saw the soybean market turn hi...
Energy
Market Commentary
Yesterday commodity markets were dominated by NYMEX crude oil’s precipitous decline, but today that market stabilized and actually closed a little higher to end its 12-day losing streak. This allowed other commodities to return to their own specifics. Unfortunately for the grain and soy f...
Summary of Futures
Dec 18 Corn closed at $3.67/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close. Dec 18 Wheat closed at $5.03/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close. Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $8.835/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close. Dec 18 Soymeal closed at $305.7/short ton, up $1.8 from y...
Market Commentary
Overnight trade reversed some of what occurred on Monday. Soybeans were higher, while grain prices were lower. Traders were chewing over news that U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin has been discussing trade issues with high-level Chinese officials. Optimists see such contact as setting the stage...
Market Commentary
Yesterday commodity markets were dominated by NYMEX crude oil’s precipitous decline, but today that market stabilized and actually closed a little higher to end its 12-day losing streak. This allowed other commodities to return to their own specifics. Unfortunately for the grain and soy f...
Summary of Futures
Dec 18 Corn closed at $3.67/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close. Dec 18 Wheat closed at $5.03/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close. Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $8.835/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close. Dec 18 Soymeal closed at $305.7/short ton, up $1.8 from y...
Market Commentary
Overnight trade reversed some of what occurred on Monday. Soybeans were higher, while grain prices were lower. Traders were chewing over news that U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin has been discussing trade issues with high-level Chinese officials. Optimists see such contact as setting the stage...
Summary of Futures
Dec 18 Corn closed at $3.665/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close. Dec 18 Wheat closed at $5.0775/bushel, down $0.12 from yesterday's close. Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $8.7825/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close. Dec 18 Soymeal closed at $303.9/short ton, down $1.7...
Softs
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Pulses Demand, Supply and Prices India has been importing large quantities of pulses/lentils over the years. That slowed in the last year, however, as domestic production has increased because of higher Minimum Support Prices (MSP). Khariff pulses production is expected to rise from 6 MMT in 20...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
How Much Sugar and Ethanol Will India Produce in Sugar Year 2018/19? It was widely speculated about four months ago that India would produce a huge volume of sugar at 35.5 MMT, adding to its problems of plenty. Following new reports of water scarcity and drought conditions in Maharashtra (as we...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
As India’s Sugar Production Commences, Ethanol Tender Under Scrutiny The sugarcane crush season has started in India with a few mills beginning operations in Maharashtra last week. There are still some issues to be resolved before all mills are crushing, including the labor wages for harv...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Pulses Demand, Supply and Prices India has been importing large quantities of pulses/lentils over the years. That slowed in the last year, however, as domestic production has increased because of higher Minimum Support Prices (MSP). Khariff pulses production is expected to rise from 6 MMT in 20...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
How Much Sugar and Ethanol Will India Produce in Sugar Year 2018/19? It was widely speculated about four months ago that India would produce a huge volume of sugar at 35.5 MMT, adding to its problems of plenty. Following new reports of water scarcity and drought conditions in Maharashtra (as we...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
As India’s Sugar Production Commences, Ethanol Tender Under Scrutiny The sugarcane crush season has started in India with a few mills beginning operations in Maharashtra last week. There are still some issues to be resolved before all mills are crushing, including the labor wages for harv...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Oil Meal Exports Continue Upward Trend India’s oil meal exports totaled 1.403 MMT for the first six months of FY 2018/19 (April-March), up 0.119 MMT or 9 percent from 1.284 MMT a year ago. Rapeseed meal exports had the biggest gain at 0.601 MMT versus 0.3 MMT during April-September 2017...
Macroeconomics
China In-Country Analysis
Macro Trends Food Inflation Hits Seventh-Month High As the trade war with the U.S. has continued, monthly food costs in China surged with the end of summer, rising 3.6 percent on average in September compared with a year ago. For 2018, this represents the biggest uptick since February when pric...
China In-Country Analysis
Macro Trends Value of China’s Agricultural Imports in September Higher than a Year Ago China’s agricultural imports in September were valued at $11.8 billion, up $1.14 billion (+10.7 percent) versus the same month last year but down $900 million (-7.1 percent) from this past August...
China In-Country Analysis
Macro Trends U.S. Ag Exports to China Fall to Ten-Year Low The USDA-GATS October export data, which covers monthly figures through August 2018, underscores the deep impact of the U.S.-China trade conflict. It shows that just 345,300.4 MT of U.S. agricultural products were shipped to the Middle...
China In-Country Analysis
Macro Trends Food Inflation Hits Seventh-Month High As the trade war with the U.S. has continued, monthly food costs in China surged with the end of summer, rising 3.6 percent on average in September compared with a year ago. For 2018, this represents the biggest uptick since February when pric...
China In-Country Analysis
Macro Trends Value of China’s Agricultural Imports in September Higher than a Year Ago China’s agricultural imports in September were valued at $11.8 billion, up $1.14 billion (+10.7 percent) versus the same month last year but down $900 million (-7.1 percent) from this past August...
China In-Country Analysis
Macro Trends U.S. Ag Exports to China Fall to Ten-Year Low The USDA-GATS October export data, which covers monthly figures through August 2018, underscores the deep impact of the U.S.-China trade conflict. It shows that just 345,300.4 MT of U.S. agricultural products were shipped to the Middle...
China In-Country Analysis
Oilseeds Major Feed Companies Hike Price to Offset Tariffs During the last week of September, several large feed manufacturers, including New Hope Group, Charoen Pokphand (CP), and China Haida Feed Group, announced plans to increase the prices of their feed products. This is the second time in...
Pulses
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Pulses Demand, Supply and Prices India has been importing large quantities of pulses/lentils over the years. That slowed in the last year, however, as domestic production has increased because of higher Minimum Support Prices (MSP). Khariff pulses production is expected to rise from 6 MMT in 20...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
How Much Sugar and Ethanol Will India Produce in Sugar Year 2018/19? It was widely speculated about four months ago that India would produce a huge volume of sugar at 35.5 MMT, adding to its problems of plenty. Following new reports of water scarcity and drought conditions in Maharashtra (as we...
Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis
Regional Updates MIDDLE EAST/MEDITERRANEAN COMMENTS Egypt is reportedly looking at the possibility of establishing a wheat hedging program to better protect against the volatility of international wheat prices. The finance ministry is said to be taking a very close look at how such a system cou...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Pulses Demand, Supply and Prices India has been importing large quantities of pulses/lentils over the years. That slowed in the last year, however, as domestic production has increased because of higher Minimum Support Prices (MSP). Khariff pulses production is expected to rise from 6 MMT in 20...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
How Much Sugar and Ethanol Will India Produce in Sugar Year 2018/19? It was widely speculated about four months ago that India would produce a huge volume of sugar at 35.5 MMT, adding to its problems of plenty. Following new reports of water scarcity and drought conditions in Maharashtra (as we...
Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis
Regional Updates MIDDLE EAST/MEDITERRANEAN COMMENTS Egypt is reportedly looking at the possibility of establishing a wheat hedging program to better protect against the volatility of international wheat prices. The finance ministry is said to be taking a very close look at how such a system cou...
India Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Stable Pulses Demand; Prices Remain Low India’s 2018/10 khariff pulses production is expected to reach 9.2 MMT, down slightly from 9.34 MMT in the previous season. With the rabi crops (sown in October/November and harvested in April) forecast at over 15 MMT, there will be suffient domesti...