World Perspectives

Recent Black Sea Analysis

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 17 April)

Ocean Freight Comments - 12 April 2024 By Matt Herrington Ample vessel availability and weak cargo demand meant that dry-bulk freight markets struggled again this week with rates softening across the board. Weak coal demand, particularly from China, remains the primary culprit of weaker markets...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 8–12 April 2024 During the first week of April, the Russian domestic grain market remained quite volatile but predominantly stable and bearish. The exception was milling wheat going for export which triggered price improvements in the ports against a weaker RUB and...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

USDA increased the U.S. corn use for ethanol and feed – which reduced ending stocks 50 million bushels to 2.1 billion. The season-average farm price is lowered 5 cents to $4.70 per bushel. Global corn ending stocks are estimated to be 318.3 million tons, are down 1.4 million from last mon...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA raised U.S. wheat ending stocks for 2023/24 by 25 million bushels to 698 million, 22 percent above last year. The season-average farm price is reduced $0.05 per bushel to $7.10.  The 2023/24 global wheat outlook this month is for smaller ending stocks, down 0.6 million metric tons to...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 1–5 April 2024 The government has realized that taxing exportable wheat and barley at a high rate was not a good idea, especially with wheat stocks pushing the roof. Possibly the news about softer duties will improve prices for small grains. Corn duty is symbolic an...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 25–29 March 2024 Last week, the Russian domestic grain market was volatile. Most of the grains were recovering following global trends and demand in the export zone of Russia. However, even with zero duty which lasted only one week, feed corn continued losing ground...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Geopolitical Risks Sink CBOT, Macro Markets

The CBOT and broader financial/macroeconomic markets reflected uncertainty and rising geopolitical risks on Tuesday with traders adopting a strong “risk off” mentality. Rising tensions in the Middle East with Iran and Israel’s proxy fight threatening to dissolve into an open w...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 18–22 March 2024 The Russian domestic grain market saw depreciation of milling wheat and a slight depreciation of feed wheat, while feed corn also started to appreciate - most probably because of softer export duties. For the upcoming week, exports of feed corn from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Gains on EU Tariffs; Soy, Corn Drift Lower Before Stocks, Acres Reports

The wheat market was the surprising upside leader for the day with Matif Paris futures posting large gains after sources said the EU Commission is considering applying a €95/MT tariff on Russian wheat imports. That strength spilled over into the U.S. markets, though U.S. wheat exports are...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 11–15 March 2024 Russian grain markets remained slightly bullish in the south and Volga valley. However, export prices did not react immediately despite a decreased export duty and weaker RUB. In fact, a weaker RUB is better for Russian grain exports which are at hi...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn, Soy Complex Pause Rallies while Technical Buying Lifts Wheat

When markets opened on Monday there were just nine trading sessions before the quarterly Grain Stocks and Acreage Intentions reports from USDA, which meant that traders were focused on adjusting positions and forecasts ahead of those numbers. Beyond that, the weather is the market’s prima...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 4–8 March 2024 Russian grain markets remained bearish against global trends and recent tenders which traded wheat, Russia’s number one exportable commodity, at relatively low levels. The government realized that some tenders were lost to Romania, and even Ukra...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 17 April)

Ocean Freight Comments - 12 April 2024 By Matt Herrington Ample vessel availability and weak cargo demand meant that dry-bulk freight markets struggled again this week with rates softening across the board. Weak coal demand, particularly from China, remains the primary culprit of weaker markets...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 8–12 April 2024 During the first week of April, the Russian domestic grain market remained quite volatile but predominantly stable and bearish. The exception was milling wheat going for export which triggered price improvements in the ports against a weaker RUB and...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

USDA increased the U.S. corn use for ethanol and feed – which reduced ending stocks 50 million bushels to 2.1 billion. The season-average farm price is lowered 5 cents to $4.70 per bushel. Global corn ending stocks are estimated to be 318.3 million tons, are down 1.4 million from last mon...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA raised U.S. wheat ending stocks for 2023/24 by 25 million bushels to 698 million, 22 percent above last year. The season-average farm price is reduced $0.05 per bushel to $7.10.  The 2023/24 global wheat outlook this month is for smaller ending stocks, down 0.6 million metric tons to...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 1–5 April 2024 The government has realized that taxing exportable wheat and barley at a high rate was not a good idea, especially with wheat stocks pushing the roof. Possibly the news about softer duties will improve prices for small grains. Corn duty is symbolic an...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 25–29 March 2024 Last week, the Russian domestic grain market was volatile. Most of the grains were recovering following global trends and demand in the export zone of Russia. However, even with zero duty which lasted only one week, feed corn continued losing ground...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Geopolitical Risks Sink CBOT, Macro Markets

The CBOT and broader financial/macroeconomic markets reflected uncertainty and rising geopolitical risks on Tuesday with traders adopting a strong “risk off” mentality. Rising tensions in the Middle East with Iran and Israel’s proxy fight threatening to dissolve into an open w...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 18–22 March 2024 The Russian domestic grain market saw depreciation of milling wheat and a slight depreciation of feed wheat, while feed corn also started to appreciate - most probably because of softer export duties. For the upcoming week, exports of feed corn from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Gains on EU Tariffs; Soy, Corn Drift Lower Before Stocks, Acres Reports

The wheat market was the surprising upside leader for the day with Matif Paris futures posting large gains after sources said the EU Commission is considering applying a €95/MT tariff on Russian wheat imports. That strength spilled over into the U.S. markets, though U.S. wheat exports are...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 11–15 March 2024 Russian grain markets remained slightly bullish in the south and Volga valley. However, export prices did not react immediately despite a decreased export duty and weaker RUB. In fact, a weaker RUB is better for Russian grain exports which are at hi...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn, Soy Complex Pause Rallies while Technical Buying Lifts Wheat

When markets opened on Monday there were just nine trading sessions before the quarterly Grain Stocks and Acreage Intentions reports from USDA, which meant that traders were focused on adjusting positions and forecasts ahead of those numbers. Beyond that, the weather is the market’s prima...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 4–8 March 2024 Russian grain markets remained bearish against global trends and recent tenders which traded wheat, Russia’s number one exportable commodity, at relatively low levels. The government realized that some tenders were lost to Romania, and even Ukra...

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