Market Commentary
It was a peaceful night session with corn and wheat showing very little change. Meanwhile, soybeans were 7-8 cents higher with meal up $2.00-3.00. Markets will probably be in idle mode until there are more developments on trade issues either with China or NAFTA. They seem to have factored in th...
Does Corn Have a Story to Tell?
Grain and soy markets are almost totally consumed by trade disruption and the latest trade war threats voiced in Washington and Beijing. They note retaliatory tariffs against U.S. products imposed by the EU, India, Canada and Mexico (among others). They sense that the U.S position in the world...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 11-15 June 2018 Domestic grain prices were influenced by the near beginning of the new season. Although the formation of new prices is active only in the South so far, the previous season prices in other regions stopped growing with the exception of Siberia. 2018 barley i...
Market Commentary
Corn and wheat opened lower Sunday with soybeans slightly higher. Everything was slightly lower by the time markets closed this morning, and that is how they opened the day session. Soybeans traded back and forth with small gains or losses through much of today. Wheat was moderately lower with...
Southeast Europe Regional Analysis
Milling Wheat The Black Sea market had a weaker tone last week with the new crop harvest approaching and as export commitments for the first quarter of the new campaign are lower than a year ago at this time. The buyers/consumers in the major destinations are confused due to the conflicting rep...
Market Commentary
There probably isn’t much point in talking about fundamental issues surrounding the grain and oilseed markets as very little has changed in that regard. The Black Sea region continues to suffer from adverse weather that is reducing yields and production there, and most of Australia is sti...
What USDA Didn’t Say
This week’s WASDE report from USDA was considered slightly bullish for prices, although that certainly wasn’t apparent by the market’s action during the past few trading sessions. U.S. corn and soybean ending supplies were reduced. World demand remains very strong, but crop pr...
Market Commentary
The rout continues. Grains and soy complex futures prices fell again overnight, and they continued to drop throughout the day session. Interestingly, corn and wheat were relatively weaker than soybeans even though the latter have a much bigger stake in the U.S./China tariff situation. The likel...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 4-8 June 2018 Domestic grain prices on the Russian market mostly grew. Meanwhile, export prices mainly dropped as 2018 production started entering the market. Thus, the average milling wheat export price decreased to $206/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices at seaports...
Market Commentary
Grain and soy futures started out firmer on follow-through from yesterday’s post-report rally. However, that did not last long. The market’s attention soon returned to trade issues when Washington sources indicated the Trump administration is preparing to impose the long-discussed t...
Market Commentary
The overnight market did not seem to know how to take the results of the Trump/Kim Jong Un meeting in Singapore. It ended with an announced agreement to denuclearize North Korea and for the U.S. to cease joint military exercises with South Korea. As always, the “devil is in the details,&r...
USDA’s June WASDE
June WASDEs typically provide few surprises and little market movement. Taken individually, not one of USDA’s new estimates and projections is very surprising. Collectively, they emphasize a trend that markets have been slow to acknowledge, which is that U.S. and world supplies of grain a...
Market Commentary
It was a peaceful night session with corn and wheat showing very little change. Meanwhile, soybeans were 7-8 cents higher with meal up $2.00-3.00. Markets will probably be in idle mode until there are more developments on trade issues either with China or NAFTA. They seem to have factored in th...
Does Corn Have a Story to Tell?
Grain and soy markets are almost totally consumed by trade disruption and the latest trade war threats voiced in Washington and Beijing. They note retaliatory tariffs against U.S. products imposed by the EU, India, Canada and Mexico (among others). They sense that the U.S position in the world...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 11-15 June 2018 Domestic grain prices were influenced by the near beginning of the new season. Although the formation of new prices is active only in the South so far, the previous season prices in other regions stopped growing with the exception of Siberia. 2018 barley i...
Market Commentary
Corn and wheat opened lower Sunday with soybeans slightly higher. Everything was slightly lower by the time markets closed this morning, and that is how they opened the day session. Soybeans traded back and forth with small gains or losses through much of today. Wheat was moderately lower with...
Southeast Europe Regional Analysis
Milling Wheat The Black Sea market had a weaker tone last week with the new crop harvest approaching and as export commitments for the first quarter of the new campaign are lower than a year ago at this time. The buyers/consumers in the major destinations are confused due to the conflicting rep...
Market Commentary
There probably isn’t much point in talking about fundamental issues surrounding the grain and oilseed markets as very little has changed in that regard. The Black Sea region continues to suffer from adverse weather that is reducing yields and production there, and most of Australia is sti...
What USDA Didn’t Say
This week’s WASDE report from USDA was considered slightly bullish for prices, although that certainly wasn’t apparent by the market’s action during the past few trading sessions. U.S. corn and soybean ending supplies were reduced. World demand remains very strong, but crop pr...
Market Commentary
The rout continues. Grains and soy complex futures prices fell again overnight, and they continued to drop throughout the day session. Interestingly, corn and wheat were relatively weaker than soybeans even though the latter have a much bigger stake in the U.S./China tariff situation. The likel...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 4-8 June 2018 Domestic grain prices on the Russian market mostly grew. Meanwhile, export prices mainly dropped as 2018 production started entering the market. Thus, the average milling wheat export price decreased to $206/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices at seaports...
Market Commentary
Grain and soy futures started out firmer on follow-through from yesterday’s post-report rally. However, that did not last long. The market’s attention soon returned to trade issues when Washington sources indicated the Trump administration is preparing to impose the long-discussed t...
Market Commentary
The overnight market did not seem to know how to take the results of the Trump/Kim Jong Un meeting in Singapore. It ended with an announced agreement to denuclearize North Korea and for the U.S. to cease joint military exercises with South Korea. As always, the “devil is in the details,&r...
USDA’s June WASDE
June WASDEs typically provide few surprises and little market movement. Taken individually, not one of USDA’s new estimates and projections is very surprising. Collectively, they emphasize a trend that markets have been slow to acknowledge, which is that U.S. and world supplies of grain a...