World Perspectives

Recent Black Sea Analysis

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn, Soy Complex Pause Rallies while Technical Buying Lifts Wheat

When markets opened on Monday there were just nine trading sessions before the quarterly Grain Stocks and Acreage Intentions reports from USDA, which meant that traders were focused on adjusting positions and forecasts ahead of those numbers. Beyond that, the weather is the market’s prima...

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 15 March)

Ocean Freight Comments - 15 March 2024 By Matt Herrington Freight markets were mostly higher this week with higher cargo demand from the East Coast of South America pushing Panamax and Supramax rates higher. Freight forward agreements (FFAs) for Panamax vessels are also rising with the average...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 15 March)

Ocean Freight Comments - 15 March 2024 By Matt Herrington Freight markets were mostly higher this week with higher cargo demand from the East Coast of South America pushing Panamax and Supramax rates higher. Freight forward agreements (FFAs) for Panamax vessels are also rising with the average...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 4–8 March 2024 Russian grain markets remained bearish against global trends and recent tenders which traded wheat, Russia’s number one exportable commodity, at relatively low levels. The government realized that some tenders were lost to Romania, and even Ukra...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

Corn: USDA’s March estimate is that 2023/24 U.S. corn outlook is unchanged from February.  The season-average corn price received by producers is lowered to $4.75 per bushel based on observed prices to date. Global corn ending stocks are down 2.4 million to 319.6 million tons...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Dumpster Fire Continues; Corn, Soy Complex Stable Before WASDE

The dumpster fire that is the wheat market continued to rage on Wednesday with Paris, CBOT, and KCBT markets all scoring new contract lows. The fundamental reason for the weakness is hardly new – rampant competition from the Black Sea and Europe – but prices in the physical market c...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 26 February–1 March 2024 Russian grain markets remained bearish following the global trend exports are the key driver. For several weeks in a row, Russian pea prices have climbed higher and higher and as long as there is no export duty for peas, this commodity will...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: South American Rains, Export Competition Push CBOT Lower

The CBOT turned lower on Tuesday with wheat leading the way on new contract lows in Paris wheat and aggressive competition from Ukraine and Russia on the export market. CBOT wheat also scored new contract lows as traders again piled into short positions on the emerging technical weakness. Corn...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Next Week Won’t Be Boring as Wheat, Corn Pull Back and Soybeans Rise

The CBOT was mixed to end the week and start the month of March with livestock futures extending their rallies amid strong fundamentals. Grain trade, however, was less decisive with wheat futures dropping sharply lower amid greater competition from Ukraine and a bearish breakdown in technical c...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 19–23 February 2024 As expected, the Russian grain market remained stable and slightly bearish. Export demand will do the trick in the future unless there are major developments with the Russian domestic currency market or export duties. The government continues tax...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 12–16 February 2024 The global bear market was shocking but it did not have an equal effect on the Russian grain market, which is still living under previously signed contracts, tenders, etc. However, huge stocks along with a global bearish trend and the upcoming pl...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Ukraine's Limited Choices

Much like U.S. farmers, Ukrainian producers prefer to plant the most profitable crops. This is especially true when considering Ukraine’s farmers are reportedly losing $50/MT on corn. The preference is to grow soybeans, and output of the oilseed increased nearly 27 percent in 2023. Howeve...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn, Soy Complex Pause Rallies while Technical Buying Lifts Wheat

When markets opened on Monday there were just nine trading sessions before the quarterly Grain Stocks and Acreage Intentions reports from USDA, which meant that traders were focused on adjusting positions and forecasts ahead of those numbers. Beyond that, the weather is the market’s prima...

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 15 March)

Ocean Freight Comments - 15 March 2024 By Matt Herrington Freight markets were mostly higher this week with higher cargo demand from the East Coast of South America pushing Panamax and Supramax rates higher. Freight forward agreements (FFAs) for Panamax vessels are also rising with the average...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 15 March)

Ocean Freight Comments - 15 March 2024 By Matt Herrington Freight markets were mostly higher this week with higher cargo demand from the East Coast of South America pushing Panamax and Supramax rates higher. Freight forward agreements (FFAs) for Panamax vessels are also rising with the average...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 4–8 March 2024 Russian grain markets remained bearish against global trends and recent tenders which traded wheat, Russia’s number one exportable commodity, at relatively low levels. The government realized that some tenders were lost to Romania, and even Ukra...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

Corn: USDA’s March estimate is that 2023/24 U.S. corn outlook is unchanged from February.  The season-average corn price received by producers is lowered to $4.75 per bushel based on observed prices to date. Global corn ending stocks are down 2.4 million to 319.6 million tons...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Dumpster Fire Continues; Corn, Soy Complex Stable Before WASDE

The dumpster fire that is the wheat market continued to rage on Wednesday with Paris, CBOT, and KCBT markets all scoring new contract lows. The fundamental reason for the weakness is hardly new – rampant competition from the Black Sea and Europe – but prices in the physical market c...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 26 February–1 March 2024 Russian grain markets remained bearish following the global trend exports are the key driver. For several weeks in a row, Russian pea prices have climbed higher and higher and as long as there is no export duty for peas, this commodity will...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: South American Rains, Export Competition Push CBOT Lower

The CBOT turned lower on Tuesday with wheat leading the way on new contract lows in Paris wheat and aggressive competition from Ukraine and Russia on the export market. CBOT wheat also scored new contract lows as traders again piled into short positions on the emerging technical weakness. Corn...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Next Week Won’t Be Boring as Wheat, Corn Pull Back and Soybeans Rise

The CBOT was mixed to end the week and start the month of March with livestock futures extending their rallies amid strong fundamentals. Grain trade, however, was less decisive with wheat futures dropping sharply lower amid greater competition from Ukraine and a bearish breakdown in technical c...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 19–23 February 2024 As expected, the Russian grain market remained stable and slightly bearish. Export demand will do the trick in the future unless there are major developments with the Russian domestic currency market or export duties. The government continues tax...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 12–16 February 2024 The global bear market was shocking but it did not have an equal effect on the Russian grain market, which is still living under previously signed contracts, tenders, etc. However, huge stocks along with a global bearish trend and the upcoming pl...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Ukraine's Limited Choices

Much like U.S. farmers, Ukrainian producers prefer to plant the most profitable crops. This is especially true when considering Ukraine’s farmers are reportedly losing $50/MT on corn. The preference is to grow soybeans, and output of the oilseed increased nearly 27 percent in 2023. Howeve...

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