World Perspectives

Recent Australia Analysis

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA reduced the 2023/24 season-average U.S. farm price of wheat by $0.10 lower to $7.20 per bushel. The global wheat outlook for 2023/24 is for larger ending stocks compared with last month. Global supplies are raised 3.6 million tons to 1,056.5 million. Increased stocks for Russia, Ukraine, a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn Posts Bullish Reversal; Wheat, Hogs Follow Through on Reversals

Grains were once again the upside leader at the CBOT on Wednesday with wheat following through on Tuesday’s reversal in KCBT futures and the large gains in the CBOT market. On Wednesday, however, the corn market joined in on the rally and the March contract posted a bullish reversal on it...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Wheat: USDA’s outlook for 2023/24 is for higher U.S. ending stocks by 14 million bushels to 684 million. The projected 2023/24 season-average U.S. farm price is lowered $0.10 per bushel to $7.20. The global wheat outlook for 2023/24 is for larger ending stocks, raised 0.6 million, to tons...

Coercion Beholder; Down Under’s Demands

Coercion Beholder U.S. Supreme Court Justice Potter Stewart famously said in a 1964 case that he could not define hard core pornography “But I know it when I see it.” The G-7 called for an end to boycotts of purchasing Japanese farm products, calling it a form of coercion. Meanwhile...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: End of Week Reshuffle

The only certainty of the past week is that soymeal is going stratospheric. But corn, soybeans, and wheat took a breather today.  For the week: December corn gained 0.456 percent December soymeal rose 8.69 percent  November soybeans gained 1.71 percent  December soyoil lost 1.82...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA increased U.S. wheat ending stocks by 55 million bushels to 670 million, up 15 percent from last year. The season-average farm price is reduced $0.20 per bushel to $7.30 on higher projected stocks for the remainder of the marketing year. The global wheat outlook for 2023/24 is for lower st...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA made no changes in total U.S. wheat for 2023/24.  Global supplies are projected to decline 7.2 million tons to 1,054.5 million, primarily on lower production for Australia, Canada, Argentina, and the EU, which is only partly offset by an increase for Ukraine. World ending stocks are r...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Wheat: USDA increased their July estimate for 2023/24 U.S. ending stocks to 592 million bushels, 30 million higher than last month. Winter wheat production is forecast to be higher on larger harvested area and increased yields. The projected season-average farm price is forecast at $7.50 per bu...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: More Rains Wash Away Weather Premium

Over the past three weeks, one has been unable to discuss ag commodity futures without a detailed discussion of U.S. weather patterns, and that remained true on Wednesday. The CBOT was sharply lower as rains fell across the U.S. Plains and Eastern Corn Belt and offered broad coverage and meanin...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA’s projection for U.S wheat in the current 2023/24 season is total U.S. wheat production of 1,665 million bushels.  This is a production level that is similar to the prior 2022/23 season's production of 1,650 and similar to the 2021/22 level of 1,646 million bushels. U.S. ending...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA’s estimate for 2023/24 U.S. wheat is reduced stocks.  All wheat production is projected at 1,659 million bushels, up modestly from last year on increased harvested area.  However, the harvest-to-plant ratio is down from last year with above-average abandonment in Texas, Okl...

wheat

Volatile Wheat Suppliers

The FAS attache in Canberra expects Australia’s wheat production to fall by 25 percent in 2023/24. This follows three years of record sized crops. Lower prices and drier conditions are the cause. Of the six major wheat exporters, Australia has the highest variation in its production and e...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA reduced the 2023/24 season-average U.S. farm price of wheat by $0.10 lower to $7.20 per bushel. The global wheat outlook for 2023/24 is for larger ending stocks compared with last month. Global supplies are raised 3.6 million tons to 1,056.5 million. Increased stocks for Russia, Ukraine, a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn Posts Bullish Reversal; Wheat, Hogs Follow Through on Reversals

Grains were once again the upside leader at the CBOT on Wednesday with wheat following through on Tuesday’s reversal in KCBT futures and the large gains in the CBOT market. On Wednesday, however, the corn market joined in on the rally and the March contract posted a bullish reversal on it...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Wheat: USDA’s outlook for 2023/24 is for higher U.S. ending stocks by 14 million bushels to 684 million. The projected 2023/24 season-average U.S. farm price is lowered $0.10 per bushel to $7.20. The global wheat outlook for 2023/24 is for larger ending stocks, raised 0.6 million, to tons...

Coercion Beholder; Down Under’s Demands

Coercion Beholder U.S. Supreme Court Justice Potter Stewart famously said in a 1964 case that he could not define hard core pornography “But I know it when I see it.” The G-7 called for an end to boycotts of purchasing Japanese farm products, calling it a form of coercion. Meanwhile...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: End of Week Reshuffle

The only certainty of the past week is that soymeal is going stratospheric. But corn, soybeans, and wheat took a breather today.  For the week: December corn gained 0.456 percent December soymeal rose 8.69 percent  November soybeans gained 1.71 percent  December soyoil lost 1.82...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA increased U.S. wheat ending stocks by 55 million bushels to 670 million, up 15 percent from last year. The season-average farm price is reduced $0.20 per bushel to $7.30 on higher projected stocks for the remainder of the marketing year. The global wheat outlook for 2023/24 is for lower st...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA made no changes in total U.S. wheat for 2023/24.  Global supplies are projected to decline 7.2 million tons to 1,054.5 million, primarily on lower production for Australia, Canada, Argentina, and the EU, which is only partly offset by an increase for Ukraine. World ending stocks are r...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Wheat: USDA increased their July estimate for 2023/24 U.S. ending stocks to 592 million bushels, 30 million higher than last month. Winter wheat production is forecast to be higher on larger harvested area and increased yields. The projected season-average farm price is forecast at $7.50 per bu...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: More Rains Wash Away Weather Premium

Over the past three weeks, one has been unable to discuss ag commodity futures without a detailed discussion of U.S. weather patterns, and that remained true on Wednesday. The CBOT was sharply lower as rains fell across the U.S. Plains and Eastern Corn Belt and offered broad coverage and meanin...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA’s projection for U.S wheat in the current 2023/24 season is total U.S. wheat production of 1,665 million bushels.  This is a production level that is similar to the prior 2022/23 season's production of 1,650 and similar to the 2021/22 level of 1,646 million bushels. U.S. ending...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA’s estimate for 2023/24 U.S. wheat is reduced stocks.  All wheat production is projected at 1,659 million bushels, up modestly from last year on increased harvested area.  However, the harvest-to-plant ratio is down from last year with above-average abandonment in Texas, Okl...

wheat

Volatile Wheat Suppliers

The FAS attache in Canberra expects Australia’s wheat production to fall by 25 percent in 2023/24. This follows three years of record sized crops. Lower prices and drier conditions are the cause. Of the six major wheat exporters, Australia has the highest variation in its production and e...

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