World Perspectives

Recent Australia Analysis

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

There were several reasons to be bearish today and not much countering the mood. USDA’s Outlook released this morning framed the year ahead as fundamentally stable and an improvement over 2019. It will be for wheat with prices forecast to increase 8 percent and soybeans with a 1 percent r...

livestock

Livestock Roundup

Cattle on Feed Preview    USDA will release its monthly cattle on feed report tomorrow. Pre-report estimates from the industry peg the total number of cattle on feed as of 1 February at 102.4 percent of last year. If accurate, at about 11.85 million head, that would be the largest Feb...

Agriculture/Environment Nexus; Europe Follows U.S.

Agriculture/Environment Nexus EU Health Commissioner Stella Kyriakides told the European Parliament this week that pesticide and fertilizer use will be reduced to respond to “citizen concerns,” which is not a good indicator of science-based standards. Meanwhile, French farmers are u...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Overnight news that Australia’s 2019/20 wheat crop will be smaller than expected set the stage for a sharp rally in the CBOT wheat markets. Morning calls were for wheat to open higher and pull corn along with it, which is exactly what happened. Few, if any, analysts, however, expected whe...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA reports that the only change for 2019/20 U.S. wheat is a 25 million bushel increase in exports reflecting growing competitiveness in international markets.  Ending stocks are cut by a corresponding amount and are now forecast to total 940 million bushels, a five-year low.  ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

CBOT markets finished the week mostly higher with short covering in corn and soymeal spilling over to other markets. Vice President Pence noted today that China is committed to making its utmost effort to fulfill its Phase One agreements, a fact which brought comfort to the ag markets. End user...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The CBOT opened with a weaker tone and kept that mentality through the day. Soyoil firmed against soymeal and soybeans while corn and soybeans traded mostly lower in tandem. Wheat and livestock futures fell back as well amid uncertainty about China’s commodity “shopping list”...

livestock

Livestock Round-Up

Cattle Market to Tighten in 2020 Going into 2020, the beef cattle inventory is likely to be down. The cattle inventory data will be released by USDA on 31 January, but based on 2019 trends, it is likely to be down from the herd as of January 2019, which, at 94.8 million head was slightly larger...

Last Laugh; Mediation over Arbitration

Last Laugh The actual language of the announced phase one agreement between the U.S. and China remains unknown but a reported commitment to boosting imports of American farm products could (speculatively) have notable side effects on infrastructure. The first involves grain handling capacity, t...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Summary of USDA’s December 2019 Wheat estimates: U.S. wheat exports are raised 25 million bushels to 975 million.  Hard Red Winter and Durum exports are each raised 10 million bushels, and HRS is raised 5 million.  With reduced supplies and higher use, 2019/20 ending stocks are...

livestock

Livestock Round Up

Considering China Situation Impact  Hog producers are awaiting a breakthrough in prices while packers’ margins remain high. The promise of increased exports has not made its way to the hog market – at least not yet. So, what is the outlook? The situation is the reverse from bac...

livestock

Doubt About China’s Pork Renaissance

The Chinese government says it wants to restore domestic pork production to its prior glory, but history sheds doubt on its prospects. As noted previously, ASF has had a demonstrably larger impact on China than did BSE on Europe, and yet EU beef production and consumption have never fully recov...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

There were several reasons to be bearish today and not much countering the mood. USDA’s Outlook released this morning framed the year ahead as fundamentally stable and an improvement over 2019. It will be for wheat with prices forecast to increase 8 percent and soybeans with a 1 percent r...

livestock

Livestock Roundup

Cattle on Feed Preview    USDA will release its monthly cattle on feed report tomorrow. Pre-report estimates from the industry peg the total number of cattle on feed as of 1 February at 102.4 percent of last year. If accurate, at about 11.85 million head, that would be the largest Feb...

Agriculture/Environment Nexus; Europe Follows U.S.

Agriculture/Environment Nexus EU Health Commissioner Stella Kyriakides told the European Parliament this week that pesticide and fertilizer use will be reduced to respond to “citizen concerns,” which is not a good indicator of science-based standards. Meanwhile, French farmers are u...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Overnight news that Australia’s 2019/20 wheat crop will be smaller than expected set the stage for a sharp rally in the CBOT wheat markets. Morning calls were for wheat to open higher and pull corn along with it, which is exactly what happened. Few, if any, analysts, however, expected whe...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA reports that the only change for 2019/20 U.S. wheat is a 25 million bushel increase in exports reflecting growing competitiveness in international markets.  Ending stocks are cut by a corresponding amount and are now forecast to total 940 million bushels, a five-year low.  ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

CBOT markets finished the week mostly higher with short covering in corn and soymeal spilling over to other markets. Vice President Pence noted today that China is committed to making its utmost effort to fulfill its Phase One agreements, a fact which brought comfort to the ag markets. End user...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The CBOT opened with a weaker tone and kept that mentality through the day. Soyoil firmed against soymeal and soybeans while corn and soybeans traded mostly lower in tandem. Wheat and livestock futures fell back as well amid uncertainty about China’s commodity “shopping list”...

livestock

Livestock Round-Up

Cattle Market to Tighten in 2020 Going into 2020, the beef cattle inventory is likely to be down. The cattle inventory data will be released by USDA on 31 January, but based on 2019 trends, it is likely to be down from the herd as of January 2019, which, at 94.8 million head was slightly larger...

Last Laugh; Mediation over Arbitration

Last Laugh The actual language of the announced phase one agreement between the U.S. and China remains unknown but a reported commitment to boosting imports of American farm products could (speculatively) have notable side effects on infrastructure. The first involves grain handling capacity, t...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Summary of USDA’s December 2019 Wheat estimates: U.S. wheat exports are raised 25 million bushels to 975 million.  Hard Red Winter and Durum exports are each raised 10 million bushels, and HRS is raised 5 million.  With reduced supplies and higher use, 2019/20 ending stocks are...

livestock

Livestock Round Up

Considering China Situation Impact  Hog producers are awaiting a breakthrough in prices while packers’ margins remain high. The promise of increased exports has not made its way to the hog market – at least not yet. So, what is the outlook? The situation is the reverse from bac...

livestock

Doubt About China’s Pork Renaissance

The Chinese government says it wants to restore domestic pork production to its prior glory, but history sheds doubt on its prospects. As noted previously, ASF has had a demonstrably larger impact on China than did BSE on Europe, and yet EU beef production and consumption have never fully recov...

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