World Perspectives

Recent Australia Analysis

wheat

WASDE Wheat

WHEAT:  USDA made a light increase in U.S. 2022/2023 wheat production to 1,783 million bushels, up 2 million from last month.  Reductions in winter wheat and Durum are more than offset by an increase in Other Spring Wheat.  The all-wheat yield is 47.5 bushels per acre, up 0.2 bus...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA’s June 2022 estimate is for slightly lower ending stocks of global wheat.  Projected 2022/23 world ending stocks are lowered 0.2 million tons to 266.9 million, a six-year low.   Supplies are decreased by 1.7 million tons to 1,052.8 million as lower India production mor...

wheat

Down Under Limits

Major wheat exporters have a tremendous opportunity if they can take their advantage. India was thought to be in the catbird seat. Production was going to be up 1.6 percent but the exportabe surplus would be up 200 percent, until it wasn’t. Dry heat shrunk the crop and now there are expor...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

WHEAT:  USDA’s outlook for 2022/23 is for higher U.S. wheat prices. U.S. 2022/23 wheat supplies are projected down 3 percent, as lower beginning stocks more than offset a larger harvest.  All wheat production for 2022/23 is projected at 1,729 million bushels, up 83 million from...

Reprieve on Emissions Data; IPEF Launch; GMO Wheat

Reprieve on Emissions Data At the request of U.S. farm groups, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has extended the deadline for public comments on its proposed rule, “The Enhancement and Standardization of Climate Related Disclosures for Investors.” The Commission wants pu...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

China Tensions and Trade

Using trade as a bullying tool did not start and end with Donald Trump. Most recently, Russia’s Vladimir Putin limited food exports to so-called “friendly” countries. Starting in 2020 when Australia called for an investigation into COVID’s origin, Beijing began an effort...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

WHEAT: In the April 2022 WASDE, USDA reduced U.S. exports by 15 million bushels, to 785 million, as the U.S. remains uncompetitive to most markets.  Projected 2021/22 ending stocks are raised 25 million bushels to 678 million but are still 20 percent lower than last year. The projected sea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Definitively Lower

The market opened lower for grains and oilseeds and for most contracts that was the consistent direction of the day. The bearish tone of yesterday’s WASDE coupled with significant rain relief coming for South America prompted a shedding of the weather premium that had been building. ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: The Mysteries of WASDE

USDA seems to never cease disappointing some traders’ expectations. USDA characterized its December WASDE report as containing “minor” changes, and that is an apt description. This report involved a few tweaks, but nothing that reflected all of the jockeying in the market ahea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Omicron Correction

It was a risk off day as investors shook off earlier Omicron concerns and bought back part of what they’d given up in the past few days. With indications that this version of the virus is not deadlier, that it may even follow the evolutionary trend of viruses getting weaker over time, and...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: COVID Tanks Markets (again)

“… [covid’s] always on my mind, [covid’s] always on my mind.” With apologies to Willie Nelson, that was the tune markets were singing Tuesday. After a brief pause yesterday, crude oil, stocks, currencies, and commodities all continued Friday’s risk-off and l...

wheat

Aussie Wheat Importance

Although Australia produces less than 5 percent of global wheat output, it is typically the world’s fourth largest exporter. Due to its tendency toward drought, production can be variable but still correlates over time to global wheat ending stocks. The Australian Bureau of Agricultural a...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

WHEAT:  USDA made a light increase in U.S. 2022/2023 wheat production to 1,783 million bushels, up 2 million from last month.  Reductions in winter wheat and Durum are more than offset by an increase in Other Spring Wheat.  The all-wheat yield is 47.5 bushels per acre, up 0.2 bus...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA’s June 2022 estimate is for slightly lower ending stocks of global wheat.  Projected 2022/23 world ending stocks are lowered 0.2 million tons to 266.9 million, a six-year low.   Supplies are decreased by 1.7 million tons to 1,052.8 million as lower India production mor...

wheat

Down Under Limits

Major wheat exporters have a tremendous opportunity if they can take their advantage. India was thought to be in the catbird seat. Production was going to be up 1.6 percent but the exportabe surplus would be up 200 percent, until it wasn’t. Dry heat shrunk the crop and now there are expor...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

WHEAT:  USDA’s outlook for 2022/23 is for higher U.S. wheat prices. U.S. 2022/23 wheat supplies are projected down 3 percent, as lower beginning stocks more than offset a larger harvest.  All wheat production for 2022/23 is projected at 1,729 million bushels, up 83 million from...

Reprieve on Emissions Data; IPEF Launch; GMO Wheat

Reprieve on Emissions Data At the request of U.S. farm groups, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has extended the deadline for public comments on its proposed rule, “The Enhancement and Standardization of Climate Related Disclosures for Investors.” The Commission wants pu...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

China Tensions and Trade

Using trade as a bullying tool did not start and end with Donald Trump. Most recently, Russia’s Vladimir Putin limited food exports to so-called “friendly” countries. Starting in 2020 when Australia called for an investigation into COVID’s origin, Beijing began an effort...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

WHEAT: In the April 2022 WASDE, USDA reduced U.S. exports by 15 million bushels, to 785 million, as the U.S. remains uncompetitive to most markets.  Projected 2021/22 ending stocks are raised 25 million bushels to 678 million but are still 20 percent lower than last year. The projected sea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Definitively Lower

The market opened lower for grains and oilseeds and for most contracts that was the consistent direction of the day. The bearish tone of yesterday’s WASDE coupled with significant rain relief coming for South America prompted a shedding of the weather premium that had been building. ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: The Mysteries of WASDE

USDA seems to never cease disappointing some traders’ expectations. USDA characterized its December WASDE report as containing “minor” changes, and that is an apt description. This report involved a few tweaks, but nothing that reflected all of the jockeying in the market ahea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Omicron Correction

It was a risk off day as investors shook off earlier Omicron concerns and bought back part of what they’d given up in the past few days. With indications that this version of the virus is not deadlier, that it may even follow the evolutionary trend of viruses getting weaker over time, and...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: COVID Tanks Markets (again)

“… [covid’s] always on my mind, [covid’s] always on my mind.” With apologies to Willie Nelson, that was the tune markets were singing Tuesday. After a brief pause yesterday, crude oil, stocks, currencies, and commodities all continued Friday’s risk-off and l...

wheat

Aussie Wheat Importance

Although Australia produces less than 5 percent of global wheat output, it is typically the world’s fourth largest exporter. Due to its tendency toward drought, production can be variable but still correlates over time to global wheat ending stocks. The Australian Bureau of Agricultural a...

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