World Perspectives

Recent Australia Analysis

soy-oilseeds

China In-Country Analysis

Macro Trends Data Point to Gradual Slowdown in China’s Domestic Economy A combination of tighter credit restrictions, the impacts of the trade dispute with the United States, increased environmental regulations and a slowing real estate market is weighing on consumer spending and industri...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Debates Over Yields

The August WASDE was filled with surprises compared with general expectations ahead of its release, and almost all either directly or indirectly concerned USDA’s yield estimates. Headlining the surprises, at least in the market’s eyes, were the estimated record-high U.S. corn yield...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

The Bear is Back

USDA’s August production and supply/demand estimates were (again) bearish for soybeans, neutral-to-bearish corn and slightly bullish wheat. Following are some of the report highlights/surprises: The markets were expecting small U.S. corn and soybean yield increases. However, USDA ra...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA’s August 2018 estimate is that U.S. wheat production is lowered 4 million bushels to 1,877 million on a slight reduction in winter wheat and durum production. Projected 2018/19 ending stocks are reduced 50 million bushels to 935 million, down 15 percent from last year. The projected...

wheat feed-grains

Another Side of the Wheat Market

U.S. wheat futures have rallied and exceeded their most recent highs set in June 2017. Chicago December wheat is back pushing against the $6.00 level today as the long-term chart shows below: The ongoing late season drought in the EU carved a much bigger hole in EU crop production than anyone...

soy-oilseeds wheat feed-grains

Market Commentary

Soybeans were lower overnight with wheat and corn slightly higher. That was also today’s pattern, except that wheat found good buying soon after today’s session opened and traded 12 to 16 cents higher in all three wheat markets for most of the day. It was more talk about how bad the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Yesterday’s big soybean rally was sponsored by a press report indicating the possibility that the U.S. and China might resume a formal discussion on the current trade conflict. Overnight price action suggested that the rally was overdone as soybean futures gave back more than one-third of...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Uncertain Times Ahead

We often say that uncertainty is the lifeblood of commodity futures markets. The greater its perceived level, the greater is the degree of price volatility. Any economic sector that heavily depends on weather (e.g., the production of agricultural commodities) is guaranteed a relatively high deg...

wheat

The World of Wheat in 2018/19

For countries that supply renewable agricultural commodities to world buyers, a more perfect world occurs during a year when global demand for a particular one of those is growing while its production in most other competitors declines. In a sense, that is what is happening in the world wheat m...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The sharp jump in world wheat prices on the back of wheat production losses in Russia, the EU, Australia and elsewhere along with the government’s $12 billion aid package for farmers harmed by retaliation against President Trump’s recent imposition of tariffs are the topics of the d...

wheat

Wheat Fundamentals Are Getting Stronger

U.S. wheat fundamentals have been improving quickly over the past several months, although this wouldn’t be apparent by looking at prices. Some of the key changes in the wheat market involve the outlook for crops in key wheat-producing countries. Russia’s wheat crop will be at least...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The quietude of yesterday’s grain and soy futures markets continued in the overnight trading session. Volume and price movement were limited with nothing significant to inject trading interest or volume into the markets, and prices stayed close to Wednesday’s closes. At this morning...

soy-oilseeds

China In-Country Analysis

Macro Trends Data Point to Gradual Slowdown in China’s Domestic Economy A combination of tighter credit restrictions, the impacts of the trade dispute with the United States, increased environmental regulations and a slowing real estate market is weighing on consumer spending and industri...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Debates Over Yields

The August WASDE was filled with surprises compared with general expectations ahead of its release, and almost all either directly or indirectly concerned USDA’s yield estimates. Headlining the surprises, at least in the market’s eyes, were the estimated record-high U.S. corn yield...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

The Bear is Back

USDA’s August production and supply/demand estimates were (again) bearish for soybeans, neutral-to-bearish corn and slightly bullish wheat. Following are some of the report highlights/surprises: The markets were expecting small U.S. corn and soybean yield increases. However, USDA ra...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA’s August 2018 estimate is that U.S. wheat production is lowered 4 million bushels to 1,877 million on a slight reduction in winter wheat and durum production. Projected 2018/19 ending stocks are reduced 50 million bushels to 935 million, down 15 percent from last year. The projected...

wheat feed-grains

Another Side of the Wheat Market

U.S. wheat futures have rallied and exceeded their most recent highs set in June 2017. Chicago December wheat is back pushing against the $6.00 level today as the long-term chart shows below: The ongoing late season drought in the EU carved a much bigger hole in EU crop production than anyone...

soy-oilseeds wheat feed-grains

Market Commentary

Soybeans were lower overnight with wheat and corn slightly higher. That was also today’s pattern, except that wheat found good buying soon after today’s session opened and traded 12 to 16 cents higher in all three wheat markets for most of the day. It was more talk about how bad the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Yesterday’s big soybean rally was sponsored by a press report indicating the possibility that the U.S. and China might resume a formal discussion on the current trade conflict. Overnight price action suggested that the rally was overdone as soybean futures gave back more than one-third of...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Uncertain Times Ahead

We often say that uncertainty is the lifeblood of commodity futures markets. The greater its perceived level, the greater is the degree of price volatility. Any economic sector that heavily depends on weather (e.g., the production of agricultural commodities) is guaranteed a relatively high deg...

wheat

The World of Wheat in 2018/19

For countries that supply renewable agricultural commodities to world buyers, a more perfect world occurs during a year when global demand for a particular one of those is growing while its production in most other competitors declines. In a sense, that is what is happening in the world wheat m...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The sharp jump in world wheat prices on the back of wheat production losses in Russia, the EU, Australia and elsewhere along with the government’s $12 billion aid package for farmers harmed by retaliation against President Trump’s recent imposition of tariffs are the topics of the d...

wheat

Wheat Fundamentals Are Getting Stronger

U.S. wheat fundamentals have been improving quickly over the past several months, although this wouldn’t be apparent by looking at prices. Some of the key changes in the wheat market involve the outlook for crops in key wheat-producing countries. Russia’s wheat crop will be at least...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The quietude of yesterday’s grain and soy futures markets continued in the overnight trading session. Volume and price movement were limited with nothing significant to inject trading interest or volume into the markets, and prices stayed close to Wednesday’s closes. At this morning...

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