World Perspectives

Recent China Analysis

China Naysayers; Liberalization Woke

China Naysayers As Washington and Beijing work toward completing a trade deal, it is clear that not all the U.S. objectives will be accomplished to the satisfaction of critics. However, indications are that it will involve more than just the eye candy of some guaranteed product sales. Given Pre...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Corn and soybean markets were just slightly firmer overnight with wheat slightly lower following yesterday’s fund-related sell-off. Today then saw corn and soybeans trading slightly lower with wheat getting hit fairly hard most of the morning. Wheat is again in a very weak technical posit...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

More Things to Keep You Up at Night

Thursday’s weekly USDA export sales report, which contained small totals for corn, wheat and soybeans along with sales cancellations of the latter to China, sent the markets reeling lower after its release. The initial weakness then triggered some significant technical selling, and the ma...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Overnight futures trade was limited in volume and price movement. Wheat was slightly weaker, while corn and soybeans hung around Wednesday’s closes. News from talks in Beijing was sparse. President Trump apparently indicated he would agree to extend the negotiations for 60 days as long as...

Summer Supply Destruction; Bilking Consumers; Chinese Gambling; Beef with Beef

Summer Supply Destruction The nomination of Andrew Wheeler to become the EPA administrator is being held hostage by a bipartisan and powerful group of senators unless the agency quickly approves summertime use of E15 ethanol blended fuel. The EPA initially blamed the government shutdown for slo...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Soy Export Sales; Argentine Soy Crop; U.S. Soy Plantings; Brazil and Crop Insurance; China’s Ag Focus

U.S. Soy Export Sales Anyone who expected today’s USDA export sales report for the week ending 3 January to be positive for the soybean sector had to be disappointed. Considering it included much of the period between Christmas and the New Year, it is not surprising the data was lower tha...

soy-oilseeds

The Checkered Use of Tariffs

President Donald Trump, a self-declared “Tariff Man,” has made the threat and use of tariffs one of the chief operating mechanisms of his administration’s foreign and economic policies. He has said on numerous occasions that he “likes tariffs” and that they will he...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy futures markets did very little overnight and again during the day session with volume and volatility in decline. In fact, we would rate today’s market as the dullest so far in 2019. Reflecting the lack of volume, today’s daily trading ranges were collectively among th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds softs

China In-Country Analysis

Market Trends A Tale of Two Years With the shutdown of the U.S. government over (at least temporarily), its official statistics are now available to the general public for analysis. Similarly, China’s curtailment of the widespread distribution of official data, the result of a crackdown o...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Markets are focused on two things – the trade talks this week in Beijing and the threat of another partial U.S. government shutdown on Saturday. Today, though, there was a generally optimistic feeling about both that helped push the soybean and corn markets higher. The next round of trade...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Brazil Soy Crop; WASDE Changes for Soy Sector

Brazil Soy Crop Keeps Declining The size of the Brazilian soybean crop seems to decline with each passing week. Most estimates by government and private analysts are now at least 12 MMT below earlier forecasts of around 125 MMT, and some have it much smaller than that. USDA’s estimate of...

Leverage Causes Angst

Difficult negotiations go to the brink for a reason, and that dynamic is being revealed on numerous fronts. U.S. and Chinese trade negotiators are meeting this week, but the Americans are downplaying prospects while raising new headaches. The U.S. Navy is steaming through the South China Sea, a...

China Naysayers; Liberalization Woke

China Naysayers As Washington and Beijing work toward completing a trade deal, it is clear that not all the U.S. objectives will be accomplished to the satisfaction of critics. However, indications are that it will involve more than just the eye candy of some guaranteed product sales. Given Pre...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Corn and soybean markets were just slightly firmer overnight with wheat slightly lower following yesterday’s fund-related sell-off. Today then saw corn and soybeans trading slightly lower with wheat getting hit fairly hard most of the morning. Wheat is again in a very weak technical posit...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

More Things to Keep You Up at Night

Thursday’s weekly USDA export sales report, which contained small totals for corn, wheat and soybeans along with sales cancellations of the latter to China, sent the markets reeling lower after its release. The initial weakness then triggered some significant technical selling, and the ma...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Overnight futures trade was limited in volume and price movement. Wheat was slightly weaker, while corn and soybeans hung around Wednesday’s closes. News from talks in Beijing was sparse. President Trump apparently indicated he would agree to extend the negotiations for 60 days as long as...

Summer Supply Destruction; Bilking Consumers; Chinese Gambling; Beef with Beef

Summer Supply Destruction The nomination of Andrew Wheeler to become the EPA administrator is being held hostage by a bipartisan and powerful group of senators unless the agency quickly approves summertime use of E15 ethanol blended fuel. The EPA initially blamed the government shutdown for slo...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Soy Export Sales; Argentine Soy Crop; U.S. Soy Plantings; Brazil and Crop Insurance; China’s Ag Focus

U.S. Soy Export Sales Anyone who expected today’s USDA export sales report for the week ending 3 January to be positive for the soybean sector had to be disappointed. Considering it included much of the period between Christmas and the New Year, it is not surprising the data was lower tha...

soy-oilseeds

The Checkered Use of Tariffs

President Donald Trump, a self-declared “Tariff Man,” has made the threat and use of tariffs one of the chief operating mechanisms of his administration’s foreign and economic policies. He has said on numerous occasions that he “likes tariffs” and that they will he...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy futures markets did very little overnight and again during the day session with volume and volatility in decline. In fact, we would rate today’s market as the dullest so far in 2019. Reflecting the lack of volume, today’s daily trading ranges were collectively among th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds softs

China In-Country Analysis

Market Trends A Tale of Two Years With the shutdown of the U.S. government over (at least temporarily), its official statistics are now available to the general public for analysis. Similarly, China’s curtailment of the widespread distribution of official data, the result of a crackdown o...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Markets are focused on two things – the trade talks this week in Beijing and the threat of another partial U.S. government shutdown on Saturday. Today, though, there was a generally optimistic feeling about both that helped push the soybean and corn markets higher. The next round of trade...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Brazil Soy Crop; WASDE Changes for Soy Sector

Brazil Soy Crop Keeps Declining The size of the Brazilian soybean crop seems to decline with each passing week. Most estimates by government and private analysts are now at least 12 MMT below earlier forecasts of around 125 MMT, and some have it much smaller than that. USDA’s estimate of...

Leverage Causes Angst

Difficult negotiations go to the brink for a reason, and that dynamic is being revealed on numerous fronts. U.S. and Chinese trade negotiators are meeting this week, but the Americans are downplaying prospects while raising new headaches. The U.S. Navy is steaming through the South China Sea, a...

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