World Perspectives

Recent China Analysis

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Technical Trade Dominates on Quiet Fundamentals

The CBOT was mixed to end the week with scant, fresh fundamental news leading to more technically-oriented trade over the past few weeks. Wheat futures were the downside leader as deteriorating chart conditions and China’s recent cancellations of U.S. SRW export bookings weighed on trader...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Short Run Bulls Battle Long Run Bears

The CBOT is fighting a battle between improving short run technicals and bearish long run fundamentals, which is apt to keep the market choppy heading into planting season. Technical traders won Monday’s battle in the grains at least, with corn and wheat pushing higher and the latter scor...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

Soybeans: USDA’s March estimate is that U.S. soybean supply and use for 2023/24 is unchanged from February.  The U.S. season-average soybean price and the soybean meal price forecasts are unchanged for 2023/24.  The soybean oil price is reduced 2 cents to 49 cents per pound. Glo...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

Corn: USDA’s March estimate is that 2023/24 U.S. corn outlook is unchanged from February.  The season-average corn price received by producers is lowered to $4.75 per bushel based on observed prices to date. Global corn ending stocks are down 2.4 million to 319.6 million tons...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Wheat: USDA’s March estimate is that U.S. ending stocks are increased 673 million bushels and are 18 percent higher than last year.  The season-average U.S. farm price is reduced $0.05 per bushel to $7.15. The global wheat ending stocks are lowered 0.6 million tons to 258.8 million,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Interesting Trade Despite Few WASDE Changes

The CBOT posted interesting developments on Friday, even while the March WASDE report failed to offer the same intrigue. The USDA’s latest look at U.S. and world supply and demand fundamentals was largely a “steady as she goes” affair with few significant changes. Despite the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 26 February–1 March 2024 Russian grain markets remained bearish following the global trend exports are the key driver. For several weeks in a row, Russian pea prices have climbed higher and higher and as long as there is no export duty for peas, this commodity will...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Rallies on Hail in India; Corn, Soy Turn Higher on Technical Buying

The CBOT was mostly higher to start the week with unexpected hail and rain damage to India’s wheat crop lifting world wheat markets while corn and soybeans followed through on last week’s supportive technical trade. Funds were net buyers across the CBOT for the day despite holding a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat Wheat is going through a challenging time in Argentina. The decline in prices, both in the local and export markets, has been constant over the last few months and has pushed values to levels that are very difficult for producers to absorb. Currently, in the local market, transactions are...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Consolidation Continues as CBOT Contemplates Record Fund Short Position

Tuesday’s mood at the CBOT seemed to be one primarily of consolidation and mild short covering. Corn futures extended Monday’s key reversal but failed to make much upside progress while the soybean market settled lower after posting 16-cent gains in early trade. Wheat futures pushed...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans  Market Overview  Following the Chinese Lunar New Year holiday, expectations for increased soybean demand from China were not met, resulting in a lower-than-anticipated purchase volume. There was still some activity, however, and  last week Brazil saw movement for March...

livestock

More China Pork

As noted yesterday, China’s pork imports appear to have recently turned higher despite supposedly over-abundant and under-valued domestic supplies. In an article about the over-supply of pork in the U.S. market, the Wall Street Journal cited declining sales to China during the first 11 mo...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Technical Trade Dominates on Quiet Fundamentals

The CBOT was mixed to end the week with scant, fresh fundamental news leading to more technically-oriented trade over the past few weeks. Wheat futures were the downside leader as deteriorating chart conditions and China’s recent cancellations of U.S. SRW export bookings weighed on trader...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Short Run Bulls Battle Long Run Bears

The CBOT is fighting a battle between improving short run technicals and bearish long run fundamentals, which is apt to keep the market choppy heading into planting season. Technical traders won Monday’s battle in the grains at least, with corn and wheat pushing higher and the latter scor...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

Soybeans: USDA’s March estimate is that U.S. soybean supply and use for 2023/24 is unchanged from February.  The U.S. season-average soybean price and the soybean meal price forecasts are unchanged for 2023/24.  The soybean oil price is reduced 2 cents to 49 cents per pound. Glo...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

Corn: USDA’s March estimate is that 2023/24 U.S. corn outlook is unchanged from February.  The season-average corn price received by producers is lowered to $4.75 per bushel based on observed prices to date. Global corn ending stocks are down 2.4 million to 319.6 million tons...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

Wheat: USDA’s March estimate is that U.S. ending stocks are increased 673 million bushels and are 18 percent higher than last year.  The season-average U.S. farm price is reduced $0.05 per bushel to $7.15. The global wheat ending stocks are lowered 0.6 million tons to 258.8 million,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Interesting Trade Despite Few WASDE Changes

The CBOT posted interesting developments on Friday, even while the March WASDE report failed to offer the same intrigue. The USDA’s latest look at U.S. and world supply and demand fundamentals was largely a “steady as she goes” affair with few significant changes. Despite the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 26 February–1 March 2024 Russian grain markets remained bearish following the global trend exports are the key driver. For several weeks in a row, Russian pea prices have climbed higher and higher and as long as there is no export duty for peas, this commodity will...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Rallies on Hail in India; Corn, Soy Turn Higher on Technical Buying

The CBOT was mostly higher to start the week with unexpected hail and rain damage to India’s wheat crop lifting world wheat markets while corn and soybeans followed through on last week’s supportive technical trade. Funds were net buyers across the CBOT for the day despite holding a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat Wheat is going through a challenging time in Argentina. The decline in prices, both in the local and export markets, has been constant over the last few months and has pushed values to levels that are very difficult for producers to absorb. Currently, in the local market, transactions are...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Consolidation Continues as CBOT Contemplates Record Fund Short Position

Tuesday’s mood at the CBOT seemed to be one primarily of consolidation and mild short covering. Corn futures extended Monday’s key reversal but failed to make much upside progress while the soybean market settled lower after posting 16-cent gains in early trade. Wheat futures pushed...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans  Market Overview  Following the Chinese Lunar New Year holiday, expectations for increased soybean demand from China were not met, resulting in a lower-than-anticipated purchase volume. There was still some activity, however, and  last week Brazil saw movement for March...

livestock

More China Pork

As noted yesterday, China’s pork imports appear to have recently turned higher despite supposedly over-abundant and under-valued domestic supplies. In an article about the over-supply of pork in the U.S. market, the Wall Street Journal cited declining sales to China during the first 11 mo...

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