World Perspectives

Recent China Analysis

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

CBOT markets were sharply higher overnight after news of a pending U.S.-China trade deal. Soybeans posted an amazing 13½ cent overnight gain while corn finished the night session up 5½ cents. Wheat added 3-5 cents in similarly enthusiastic trade.  The day session saw prices m...

Turnaround 2020

The actual agricultural purchases to be made by China next year remains unclear with officials in Beijing failing to confirm President Trump’s boast about huge purchases. There is a press account citing an unnamed Chinese official oddly saying that there will be more imports of American w...

Final Hours of Policy Flurry and Fury

Congress is hitting the home stretch and policy making is at a frenzied paced. Following is a recap and some thoughts on implications. At this point, there are few details available as there are many moving parts. It will be a long weekend for policymakers and their staffs, and many long hours...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Getting to $50 Billion

The draft agreement between Washington and Beijing reportedly calls for China to purchase $50 billion worth of agricultural products from the U.S. in 2020. That would be a 291 percent increase from 2019, or a 92 percent increase from the pre-war year of 2017. One would expect China to have adde...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Markets were lower overnight, and the expectation was for more of the same when the sun rose but politics and fundamentals combined to give Chicago a shot in the arm. The fundamental change included the largest corn export sales in a long time, and a peace offering to China by the White House p...

U.S. – China Outlook

There were positive signals today that the U.S. and China will reach some form of a phase one agreement and that tariffs will be reduced instead of increased. The deal may not be achieved until late this month, but it will undermine those arguing for American deglobalization. So-called protecti...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Chinese Soybeans; U.S. Soy Export Sales; Little Time for U.S. Soy Sales

China’s Soybean Output Estimated at 18.1 MMT China’s Ministry of Agriculture and rural Affairs this week raised its forecast for that country’s soybean production to 18.1 MMT. USDA also used that forecast in Tuesday’s WASDE report. The USDA forecast in November was 17.1...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

A Few Odds and Ends

As we sink further into December, grain and soy futures markets continue their directionless up and down pattern within current trading ranges. Exciting they are not! The only comment we care to offer is that they seem to go down more easily than they go up as yesterday’s price action dem...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Post-December WASDE trade was mostly lower with trade activity rising well above the dismal volumes of yesterday. The markets opened as called with grains moving lower from the start and soybeans initially trading higher. The surprise of the day session, however, was the early turn lower in the...

livestock

Meat Suppliers Gain

Basic demand analysis correlates income growth with population increases and provides producers and marketers with a good understanding of the likely consumption pattern going forward. This is particularly true for animal proteins since they are more sensitive to income and to demographics. You...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

China In-Country Analysis

Macroeconomics November Food Inflation Hits Highest Level Since May 2008 Food prices for this past November surged by 19.1 percent compared with November 2018. Since last February, monthly food inflation has now risen for nine straight months and has surpassed double digits from August onward...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

SSA Commodity Opportunity

Europe has traditionally taken a stronger interest in its former colonies in Sub-Saharan Africa, with China becoming aggressively involved in recent years. The U.S. has limited its view to that of foreign aid assistance, despite the fact that its own population includes the largest number of ed...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

CBOT markets were sharply higher overnight after news of a pending U.S.-China trade deal. Soybeans posted an amazing 13½ cent overnight gain while corn finished the night session up 5½ cents. Wheat added 3-5 cents in similarly enthusiastic trade.  The day session saw prices m...

Turnaround 2020

The actual agricultural purchases to be made by China next year remains unclear with officials in Beijing failing to confirm President Trump’s boast about huge purchases. There is a press account citing an unnamed Chinese official oddly saying that there will be more imports of American w...

Final Hours of Policy Flurry and Fury

Congress is hitting the home stretch and policy making is at a frenzied paced. Following is a recap and some thoughts on implications. At this point, there are few details available as there are many moving parts. It will be a long weekend for policymakers and their staffs, and many long hours...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Getting to $50 Billion

The draft agreement between Washington and Beijing reportedly calls for China to purchase $50 billion worth of agricultural products from the U.S. in 2020. That would be a 291 percent increase from 2019, or a 92 percent increase from the pre-war year of 2017. One would expect China to have adde...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Markets were lower overnight, and the expectation was for more of the same when the sun rose but politics and fundamentals combined to give Chicago a shot in the arm. The fundamental change included the largest corn export sales in a long time, and a peace offering to China by the White House p...

U.S. – China Outlook

There were positive signals today that the U.S. and China will reach some form of a phase one agreement and that tariffs will be reduced instead of increased. The deal may not be achieved until late this month, but it will undermine those arguing for American deglobalization. So-called protecti...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Chinese Soybeans; U.S. Soy Export Sales; Little Time for U.S. Soy Sales

China’s Soybean Output Estimated at 18.1 MMT China’s Ministry of Agriculture and rural Affairs this week raised its forecast for that country’s soybean production to 18.1 MMT. USDA also used that forecast in Tuesday’s WASDE report. The USDA forecast in November was 17.1...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

A Few Odds and Ends

As we sink further into December, grain and soy futures markets continue their directionless up and down pattern within current trading ranges. Exciting they are not! The only comment we care to offer is that they seem to go down more easily than they go up as yesterday’s price action dem...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Post-December WASDE trade was mostly lower with trade activity rising well above the dismal volumes of yesterday. The markets opened as called with grains moving lower from the start and soybeans initially trading higher. The surprise of the day session, however, was the early turn lower in the...

livestock

Meat Suppliers Gain

Basic demand analysis correlates income growth with population increases and provides producers and marketers with a good understanding of the likely consumption pattern going forward. This is particularly true for animal proteins since they are more sensitive to income and to demographics. You...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

China In-Country Analysis

Macroeconomics November Food Inflation Hits Highest Level Since May 2008 Food prices for this past November surged by 19.1 percent compared with November 2018. Since last February, monthly food inflation has now risen for nine straight months and has surpassed double digits from August onward...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

SSA Commodity Opportunity

Europe has traditionally taken a stronger interest in its former colonies in Sub-Saharan Africa, with China becoming aggressively involved in recent years. The U.S. has limited its view to that of foreign aid assistance, despite the fact that its own population includes the largest number of ed...

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