Market Commentary: China Buying Sends Corn to Contract High; Livestock Futures Retreat
CBOT markets continue to rebound from last week’s selloff with soyoil leading the way and corn posting a new contract high overnight. Canola futures rallied again to new contract highs, which helped the CBOT soy complex firm on Wednesday. Wheat was the laggard of the CBOT with traders usi...
China In-Country Analysis
Macro Trends China’s Ag Investment Lags, Slows Rural Development Goals As reported by the China rural economy blog, Dims Sums, the central government is desperately seeking to increase investment in the ag sector to prop up rural economies. China’s Ministry of Agriculture and Rural...
PM Post - Both Sides of Unchanged
THE OPEN March beans: 19 higher March meal: 5.90 higher March soyoil: 120 higher March corn: 11 higher March wheat: 4 3/4 higher The markets opened as called but swiftly traded both sides of unchanged with wheat futures leading the way lower. The business announcem...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets, 18-22 January 2021 The Russian domestic market prices followed the same pattern as the week before with little movement, increasing mainly in the southern region. The updated grain export duties order was signed on 23 January and the market hasn’t yet reacted to the...
AM Outlook - Attractive Buying at the Bottom
GOOD MORNING, Calls are higher this morning with corn and soyoil posting new contract highs. Funds continue to buy into what is very light farmer selling, given that much has already been sold. Corn sees support from Chinese buying and big announcements yesterday which fueled...
Technical Views - Announcements Fuel Higher Prices
SPREADS Spreads remain strong with July/Dec up to 86 1/4c with May/July at new contract highs at 8c. March/May beans trades to 2c inverse from 3/4c, while Jul/Nov trades from 2.02 1/2c up to 2.10c. March/May wheat trades 2 3/4c inverse down to 1 1/2c. March wheat/corn trades f...
Market Commentary: Export Demand and Fund Buying Lifts CBOT
Export demand and a resurgence of fund buying sent CBOT corn, wheat, and soy complex futures sharply higher on Tuesday. The recent correction, whether driven by Chinese fund liquidation, margin calls, or profit taking, looks to have done its job of chasing out weak longs and stimulating commerc...
Climate and Trade Winner; Price Loser
Incongruously, global sorghum production has fallen at the same time demand has sharply risen. Production is down in all the major producing countries, including the largest exporters, the U.S. and Australia. The sole reason for the large jump in demand is China. Without China, global sorghum i...
PM Post - Rebound
THE OPEN March beans: 22 higher March meal: 5.00 higher March soyoil: 87 higher March corn: 13 higher March wheat: 4 higher Prices opened strongly with more fund buying based on technical recovery and upside follow-through. The big break in the market, whethe...
Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis
Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA Saudi Arabia’s Almarai Dairy has seen its last quarter of 2020 sales drop by 46 percent but profits for the period were up by 7 percent. Profit growth was due mainly to increased margin on export business to Egypt, Jordan and o...
AM Outlook - Higher from the Range Bottom
GOOD MORNING, Prices continue to hammer out trading ranges heading into the end of the month, starting lower in the night session but reversing course to trade higher. The "easy" money now seems to have come to an end as volatility increases. The seasonal Jan/Feb. timeframe has arri...
Technical Views - Rebound
SPREADS March crush trades to 72c/bu while oilshare trades to 33.45%. The corn inverses strengthened to new highs, with July/Dec trading up to 81 1/4c from 74c, and May/July into a new contract high at 5 3/4c from 4 1/2c. March/May wheat trades from 1/4c to 3/4c carry.&n...
Market Commentary: China Buying Sends Corn to Contract High; Livestock Futures Retreat
CBOT markets continue to rebound from last week’s selloff with soyoil leading the way and corn posting a new contract high overnight. Canola futures rallied again to new contract highs, which helped the CBOT soy complex firm on Wednesday. Wheat was the laggard of the CBOT with traders usi...
China In-Country Analysis
Macro Trends China’s Ag Investment Lags, Slows Rural Development Goals As reported by the China rural economy blog, Dims Sums, the central government is desperately seeking to increase investment in the ag sector to prop up rural economies. China’s Ministry of Agriculture and Rural...
PM Post - Both Sides of Unchanged
THE OPEN March beans: 19 higher March meal: 5.90 higher March soyoil: 120 higher March corn: 11 higher March wheat: 4 3/4 higher The markets opened as called but swiftly traded both sides of unchanged with wheat futures leading the way lower. The business announcem...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets, 18-22 January 2021 The Russian domestic market prices followed the same pattern as the week before with little movement, increasing mainly in the southern region. The updated grain export duties order was signed on 23 January and the market hasn’t yet reacted to the...
AM Outlook - Attractive Buying at the Bottom
GOOD MORNING, Calls are higher this morning with corn and soyoil posting new contract highs. Funds continue to buy into what is very light farmer selling, given that much has already been sold. Corn sees support from Chinese buying and big announcements yesterday which fueled...
Technical Views - Announcements Fuel Higher Prices
SPREADS Spreads remain strong with July/Dec up to 86 1/4c with May/July at new contract highs at 8c. March/May beans trades to 2c inverse from 3/4c, while Jul/Nov trades from 2.02 1/2c up to 2.10c. March/May wheat trades 2 3/4c inverse down to 1 1/2c. March wheat/corn trades f...
Market Commentary: Export Demand and Fund Buying Lifts CBOT
Export demand and a resurgence of fund buying sent CBOT corn, wheat, and soy complex futures sharply higher on Tuesday. The recent correction, whether driven by Chinese fund liquidation, margin calls, or profit taking, looks to have done its job of chasing out weak longs and stimulating commerc...
Climate and Trade Winner; Price Loser
Incongruously, global sorghum production has fallen at the same time demand has sharply risen. Production is down in all the major producing countries, including the largest exporters, the U.S. and Australia. The sole reason for the large jump in demand is China. Without China, global sorghum i...
PM Post - Rebound
THE OPEN March beans: 22 higher March meal: 5.00 higher March soyoil: 87 higher March corn: 13 higher March wheat: 4 higher Prices opened strongly with more fund buying based on technical recovery and upside follow-through. The big break in the market, whethe...
Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis
Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA Saudi Arabia’s Almarai Dairy has seen its last quarter of 2020 sales drop by 46 percent but profits for the period were up by 7 percent. Profit growth was due mainly to increased margin on export business to Egypt, Jordan and o...
AM Outlook - Higher from the Range Bottom
GOOD MORNING, Prices continue to hammer out trading ranges heading into the end of the month, starting lower in the night session but reversing course to trade higher. The "easy" money now seems to have come to an end as volatility increases. The seasonal Jan/Feb. timeframe has arri...
Technical Views - Rebound
SPREADS March crush trades to 72c/bu while oilshare trades to 33.45%. The corn inverses strengthened to new highs, with July/Dec trading up to 81 1/4c from 74c, and May/July into a new contract high at 5 3/4c from 4 1/2c. March/May wheat trades from 1/4c to 3/4c carry.&n...