World Perspectives

Recent World Analysis

Australia

wheat

WASDE Wheat Jan 2025

USDA’s January estimate is for unchanged U.S. wheat exports of 850 million bushels. Projected 2024/25 ending stocks are raised 3 million bushels to 798 million, up 15 percent from last year. The season-average farm price of wheat is reduced by $0.05 per bushel to $5.55.World trade is 1.7 millio...

feed-grains

Wasde Corn

WASDE Corn: 2024/25 U.S. corn use for ethanol production is increased by 50 million bushels to 5.5 billion. U.S. corn exports are raised 150 million bushels to 2.5 billion. The result is that corn ending stocks are reduced by 200 million bushels to 1.7 billion. The season-average corn price rec...

wheat

Wasde Wheat

WASDE Wheat: 2024/25 U.S. wheat exports are raised 25 million bushels to 850 million bushels. U.S. wheat ending stocks are reduced by 20 million bushels to 795 million - which USDA notes is still 14 percent above last year. The season-average farm price is unchanged at $5.60 per bushel.USDA's g...

wheat

WASDE Wheat Jan 2025

USDA’s January estimate is for unchanged U.S. wheat exports of 850 million bushels. Projected 2024/25 ending stocks are raised 3 million bushels to 798 million, up 15 percent from last year. The season-average farm price of wheat is reduced by $0.05 per bushel to $5.55.World trade is 1.7 millio...

feed-grains

Wasde Corn

WASDE Corn: 2024/25 U.S. corn use for ethanol production is increased by 50 million bushels to 5.5 billion. U.S. corn exports are raised 150 million bushels to 2.5 billion. The result is that corn ending stocks are reduced by 200 million bushels to 1.7 billion. The season-average corn price rec...

wheat

Wasde Wheat

WASDE Wheat: 2024/25 U.S. wheat exports are raised 25 million bushels to 850 million bushels. U.S. wheat ending stocks are reduced by 20 million bushels to 795 million - which USDA notes is still 14 percent above last year. The season-average farm price is unchanged at $5.60 per bushel.USDA's g...

wheat

WASDE Wheat - Nov 2024

WASDE Wheat – USDA’s latest November estimate for the 2024/25 season is for an increase in U.S. wheat ending stocks by 3 million bushels to 815 million, up 17 percent from last year. U.S. wheat exports are unchanged at 825 million bushels. The season-average farm price is lowered $0.10 per bush...

Asia

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 7 February)

Transportation and Freight Market Comments - 7 February 2025 By Matt Herrington Dry-Bulk Ocean Freight Dry bulk freight markets saw incredibly weak demand and pricing before the Lunar New Year holiday with rates dipping to multi-year lows for several vessel classes. Since the holiday, however,...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans - Nov 2024

WASDE Soybeans – USDA’s latest November estimate for the 2024/25 season is a decrease of 80 million bushels in U.S. soybean ending stocks to 470 million bushels. The U.S. season-average soybean price for 2024/25 is forecast unchanged at $10.80 per bushel. The soybean meal price is unchanged at...

wheat

WASDE Wheat - Nov 2024

WASDE Wheat – USDA’s latest November estimate for the 2024/25 season is for an increase in U.S. wheat ending stocks by 3 million bushels to 815 million, up 17 percent from last year. U.S. wheat exports are unchanged at 825 million bushels. The season-average farm price is lowered $0.10 per bush...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 7 February)

Transportation and Freight Market Comments - 7 February 2025 By Matt Herrington Dry-Bulk Ocean Freight Dry bulk freight markets saw incredibly weak demand and pricing before the Lunar New Year holiday with rates dipping to multi-year lows for several vessel classes. Since the holiday, however,...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans - Nov 2024

WASDE Soybeans – USDA’s latest November estimate for the 2024/25 season is a decrease of 80 million bushels in U.S. soybean ending stocks to 470 million bushels. The U.S. season-average soybean price for 2024/25 is forecast unchanged at $10.80 per bushel. The soybean meal price is unchanged at...

wheat

WASDE Wheat - Nov 2024

WASDE Wheat – USDA’s latest November estimate for the 2024/25 season is for an increase in U.S. wheat ending stocks by 3 million bushels to 815 million, up 17 percent from last year. U.S. wheat exports are unchanged at 825 million bushels. The season-average farm price is lowered $0.10 per bush...

feed-grains wheat

Bangladesh Food Import Projection

Bangladesh is the third largest food importer in the world. It imports over $15 billion worth of food annually or about 11 percent of its total food consumption. Imports include 5 MMT of grain (3.57 MMT is wheat), plus palm oil, milk powder, and other products. Roughly 3.5 percent of its food i...

Black Sea

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 7 February)

Transportation and Freight Market Comments - 7 February 2025 By Matt Herrington Dry-Bulk Ocean Freight Dry bulk freight markets saw incredibly weak demand and pricing before the Lunar New Year holiday with rates dipping to multi-year lows for several vessel classes. Since the holiday, however,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 27 – 31 January 2025 The market remained bullish, however, the dynamics and stability varied from region to region. Prices in the Volga Valley appreciated but Central Russia and the Asian part of Russia are still stable. The key factor was the announcement of lower...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 20 – 24 January 2025 The domestic market remained bullish while the export market in dollar terms remained relatively stable. Export duties decreased slightly allowing prices to grow. Most likely the biggest bullish factor is the remaining grain stocks which are mel...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 7 February)

Transportation and Freight Market Comments - 7 February 2025 By Matt Herrington Dry-Bulk Ocean Freight Dry bulk freight markets saw incredibly weak demand and pricing before the Lunar New Year holiday with rates dipping to multi-year lows for several vessel classes. Since the holiday, however,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 27 – 31 January 2025 The market remained bullish, however, the dynamics and stability varied from region to region. Prices in the Volga Valley appreciated but Central Russia and the Asian part of Russia are still stable. The key factor was the announcement of lower...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 20 – 24 January 2025 The domestic market remained bullish while the export market in dollar terms remained relatively stable. Export duties decreased slightly allowing prices to grow. Most likely the biggest bullish factor is the remaining grain stocks which are mel...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 13 – 17 January 2025 Last week, the market woke up from the prolonged Christmas holidays and surprisingly remained bullish against a stable export trend and high export duties. Growing duties may nip the bullish trend in the bud. Russian wheat can now freely go into...

China

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Volatile As Long As Tariffs Are Uncertain

The big news in the ag commodity markets Wednesday was the pullback in soybean futures as traders remain wary of the political tensions and tariff developments between Washington and Beijing. If this doesn’t sound like a major news story, you’d be correct, but this was about as even...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Rises on Tariff Relief; Cattle Selloff Extends to Second Day

Markets were encouraged by the fact both Canada and Mexico were able to secure 30-day delays on Trump’s tariff plans, which offers hope the duties are indeed a negotiating tactic rather than a steadfast policy platform. The big issue remains the 10 percent tariff on Chinese goods, and Chi...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Trying to Find New Ranges

The CBOT saw more bullish influences on Monday from Friday’s WASDE report in which USDA slashed the 2024 U.S. corn and soybean yields. After considering the numbers and implications over the weekend, traders decided there was enough demand for both products and, if USDA’s latest numbers are cor...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Volatile As Long As Tariffs Are Uncertain

The big news in the ag commodity markets Wednesday was the pullback in soybean futures as traders remain wary of the political tensions and tariff developments between Washington and Beijing. If this doesn’t sound like a major news story, you’d be correct, but this was about as even...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Rises on Tariff Relief; Cattle Selloff Extends to Second Day

Markets were encouraged by the fact both Canada and Mexico were able to secure 30-day delays on Trump’s tariff plans, which offers hope the duties are indeed a negotiating tactic rather than a steadfast policy platform. The big issue remains the 10 percent tariff on Chinese goods, and Chi...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Trying to Find New Ranges

The CBOT saw more bullish influences on Monday from Friday’s WASDE report in which USDA slashed the 2024 U.S. corn and soybean yields. After considering the numbers and implications over the weekend, traders decided there was enough demand for both products and, if USDA’s latest numbers are cor...

Noise as China Faces 2025

Trade WarPost the November U.S. election, the focus has been on preparing for an inevitable trade war with the U.S. China has increased government reserve stocks and increased imports from Brazil. Traders worked to get ahead of the new Trump tariffs with Chinese exports in December jumping 10.7...

Europe

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 7 February)

Transportation and Freight Market Comments - 7 February 2025 By Matt Herrington Dry-Bulk Ocean Freight Dry bulk freight markets saw incredibly weak demand and pricing before the Lunar New Year holiday with rates dipping to multi-year lows for several vessel classes. Since the holiday, however,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Regional News Last week, the Balkans and Ukraine saw unseasonably warm weather with moderate rainfall while Russia saw cold weather with light precipitation. The current forecasts call for cooler temperatures in France and Spain, but warmth in the UK and from Poland eastward (with the exce...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans Jan 2025

USDA’s January estimate is for U.S. soybean production is down 95 million bushels to 4.366 billion bushels due to a 1 bushel per acre yield reduction – to average U.S. soybean yield of 50.7 bushels per acre. The U.S. season-average soybean price for 2024/25 is projected at $10.20 per bushel, un...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 7 February)

Transportation and Freight Market Comments - 7 February 2025 By Matt Herrington Dry-Bulk Ocean Freight Dry bulk freight markets saw incredibly weak demand and pricing before the Lunar New Year holiday with rates dipping to multi-year lows for several vessel classes. Since the holiday, however,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Regional News Last week, the Balkans and Ukraine saw unseasonably warm weather with moderate rainfall while Russia saw cold weather with light precipitation. The current forecasts call for cooler temperatures in France and Spain, but warmth in the UK and from Poland eastward (with the exce...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans Jan 2025

USDA’s January estimate is for U.S. soybean production is down 95 million bushels to 4.366 billion bushels due to a 1 bushel per acre yield reduction – to average U.S. soybean yield of 50.7 bushels per acre. The U.S. season-average soybean price for 2024/25 is projected at $10.20 per bushel, un...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn Jan 2025

USDA’s January estimate is for reduced U.S. corn production at 14.9 billion bushels, down 276 million as a 3.8-bushel per acre cut in yield to 179.3. U.S. exports are cut 25 million bushels to 2.450 billion reflecting lower supplies. USDA notes that supply is falling more than use and the resul...

India

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans Jan 2025

USDA’s January estimate is for U.S. soybean production is down 95 million bushels to 4.366 billion bushels due to a 1 bushel per acre yield reduction – to average U.S. soybean yield of 50.7 bushels per acre. The U.S. season-average soybean price for 2024/25 is projected at $10.20 per bushel, un...

soy-oilseeds

Wasde Soybeans

WASDE Soybeans: 2024/25 U.S. soybean supply and use projections are unchanged. There was a significant increase in soybean oil exports by 500 million pounds to 1.1 billion. However, that increase was partly offset by reduction in food, feed, and other industrial use of soybean oil by 200 millio...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans - Nov 2024

WASDE Soybeans – USDA’s latest November estimate for the 2024/25 season is a decrease of 80 million bushels in U.S. soybean ending stocks to 470 million bushels. The U.S. season-average soybean price for 2024/25 is forecast unchanged at $10.80 per bushel. The soybean meal price is unchanged at...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans Jan 2025

USDA’s January estimate is for U.S. soybean production is down 95 million bushels to 4.366 billion bushels due to a 1 bushel per acre yield reduction – to average U.S. soybean yield of 50.7 bushels per acre. The U.S. season-average soybean price for 2024/25 is projected at $10.20 per bushel, un...

soy-oilseeds

Wasde Soybeans

WASDE Soybeans: 2024/25 U.S. soybean supply and use projections are unchanged. There was a significant increase in soybean oil exports by 500 million pounds to 1.1 billion. However, that increase was partly offset by reduction in food, feed, and other industrial use of soybean oil by 200 millio...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans - Nov 2024

WASDE Soybeans – USDA’s latest November estimate for the 2024/25 season is a decrease of 80 million bushels in U.S. soybean ending stocks to 470 million bushels. The U.S. season-average soybean price for 2024/25 is forecast unchanged at $10.80 per bushel. The soybean meal price is unchanged at...

wheat

WASDE Wheat - Nov 2024

WASDE Wheat – USDA’s latest November estimate for the 2024/25 season is for an increase in U.S. wheat ending stocks by 3 million bushels to 815 million, up 17 percent from last year. U.S. wheat exports are unchanged at 825 million bushels. The season-average farm price is lowered $0.10 per bush...

Middle East & Africa

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 7 February)

Transportation and Freight Market Comments - 7 February 2025 By Matt Herrington Dry-Bulk Ocean Freight Dry bulk freight markets saw incredibly weak demand and pricing before the Lunar New Year holiday with rates dipping to multi-year lows for several vessel classes. Since the holiday, however,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA/AFRICA – MEA REGION Turkey’s monthly inflation rate increased by 5.03 percent in January while the 12-month inflation rate stood at 42.12 percent. Turkey’s inflation rate dropped significantly from the 75 percent rate in May 2024. Lebanon...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA/AFRICA – MEA REGION Egypt’s new state grain buyer – Mostakbal Misr – is rumored to have made significant wheat purchases for delivery in the next three months. All the purchases are said to be for Russian wheat. No details of the pu...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 7 February)

Transportation and Freight Market Comments - 7 February 2025 By Matt Herrington Dry-Bulk Ocean Freight Dry bulk freight markets saw incredibly weak demand and pricing before the Lunar New Year holiday with rates dipping to multi-year lows for several vessel classes. Since the holiday, however,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA/AFRICA – MEA REGION Turkey’s monthly inflation rate increased by 5.03 percent in January while the 12-month inflation rate stood at 42.12 percent. Turkey’s inflation rate dropped significantly from the 75 percent rate in May 2024. Lebanon...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA/AFRICA – MEA REGION Egypt’s new state grain buyer – Mostakbal Misr – is rumored to have made significant wheat purchases for delivery in the next three months. All the purchases are said to be for Russian wheat. No details of the pu...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA/AFRICA – MEA REGIONSyria has been added to Ukraine’s list of countries eligible for assistance under the “Grain from Ukraine” aid program – an initial shipment of 500 MT of wheat flour has been made to Syria by Ukraine.Ukraine expanded its “Grain from Ukra...

North America

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Down Day but Most of the Week Was Temporarily Up

Today’s trading was mostly lower based on South American weather and the ever-present tariff threat. Overall, the first week in February 2025 experienced the following: It was the fourth week in a row higher for SRW, and the third week up for HRW and HRS. It was the second week in a row...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.875/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.8275/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Soybeans closed at $10.495/bushel, down $0.11 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Soymeal closed at $301.4/short ton, down $5 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI 2025 Acreage Outlook

With the USDA’s annual Ag Outlook forum happening at the end of this month and planting season a little more than four weeks away for parts of the U.S., the industry is turning its attention to the acreage outlook for 2025. This year offers significant differences from recent conditions t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Down Day but Most of the Week Was Temporarily Up

Today’s trading was mostly lower based on South American weather and the ever-present tariff threat. Overall, the first week in February 2025 experienced the following: It was the fourth week in a row higher for SRW, and the third week up for HRW and HRS. It was the second week in a row...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.875/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.8275/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Soybeans closed at $10.495/bushel, down $0.11 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Soymeal closed at $301.4/short ton, down $5 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI 2025 Acreage Outlook

With the USDA’s annual Ag Outlook forum happening at the end of this month and planting season a little more than four weeks away for parts of the U.S., the industry is turning its attention to the acreage outlook for 2025. This year offers significant differences from recent conditions t...

U.S. Food Aid Status

The Trump Administration’s placement of the U.S. Agency for International Development on ice has sparked a firestorm in Washington. Critics of the agency point to an NGO industrial complex that works contrary to some American policy goals and diverts money from needy Americans. Supporters...

South America

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Down Day but Most of the Week Was Temporarily Up

Today’s trading was mostly lower based on South American weather and the ever-present tariff threat. Overall, the first week in February 2025 experienced the following: It was the fourth week in a row higher for SRW, and the third week up for HRW and HRS. It was the second week in a row...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 7 February)

Transportation and Freight Market Comments - 7 February 2025 By Matt Herrington Dry-Bulk Ocean Freight Dry bulk freight markets saw incredibly weak demand and pricing before the Lunar New Year holiday with rates dipping to multi-year lows for several vessel classes. Since the holiday, however,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Tariff Drama on Hold, Back to South American Weather

The upheaval in the market early this week caused by the head fake on tariffs has subsided and the focus has now returned to fundamental supply and demand. Wheat ruled the market today with higher volume pushing all three major contracts higher. Soybeans and corn traded modestly higher with mea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Down Day but Most of the Week Was Temporarily Up

Today’s trading was mostly lower based on South American weather and the ever-present tariff threat. Overall, the first week in February 2025 experienced the following: It was the fourth week in a row higher for SRW, and the third week up for HRW and HRS. It was the second week in a row...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 7 February)

Transportation and Freight Market Comments - 7 February 2025 By Matt Herrington Dry-Bulk Ocean Freight Dry bulk freight markets saw incredibly weak demand and pricing before the Lunar New Year holiday with rates dipping to multi-year lows for several vessel classes. Since the holiday, however,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Tariff Drama on Hold, Back to South American Weather

The upheaval in the market early this week caused by the head fake on tariffs has subsided and the focus has now returned to fundamental supply and demand. Wheat ruled the market today with higher volume pushing all three major contracts higher. Soybeans and corn traded modestly higher with mea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Volatile As Long As Tariffs Are Uncertain

The big news in the ag commodity markets Wednesday was the pullback in soybean futures as traders remain wary of the political tensions and tariff developments between Washington and Beijing. If this doesn’t sound like a major news story, you’d be correct, but this was about as even...

Russia

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 27 – 31 January 2025 The market remained bullish, however, the dynamics and stability varied from region to region. Prices in the Volga Valley appreciated but Central Russia and the Asian part of Russia are still stable. The key factor was the announcement of lower...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 20 – 24 January 2025 The domestic market remained bullish while the export market in dollar terms remained relatively stable. Export duties decreased slightly allowing prices to grow. Most likely the biggest bullish factor is the remaining grain stocks which are mel...

wheat

Global Wheat Dominance

Russia’s wheat supplies may be tighter, but it is still not out of the market. Egypt's state grain buyer, Mostakbal Misr, is said to have made a “significant” purchase of Russian wheat. The four shipments will be shipped on four vessels sailing under the Egyptian flag, which m...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 27 – 31 January 2025 The market remained bullish, however, the dynamics and stability varied from region to region. Prices in the Volga Valley appreciated but Central Russia and the Asian part of Russia are still stable. The key factor was the announcement of lower...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 20 – 24 January 2025 The domestic market remained bullish while the export market in dollar terms remained relatively stable. Export duties decreased slightly allowing prices to grow. Most likely the biggest bullish factor is the remaining grain stocks which are mel...

wheat

Global Wheat Dominance

Russia’s wheat supplies may be tighter, but it is still not out of the market. Egypt's state grain buyer, Mostakbal Misr, is said to have made a “significant” purchase of Russian wheat. The four shipments will be shipped on four vessels sailing under the Egyptian flag, which m...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 13 – 17 January 2025 Last week, the market woke up from the prolonged Christmas holidays and surprisingly remained bullish against a stable export trend and high export duties. Growing duties may nip the bullish trend in the bud. Russian wheat can now freely go into...

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