World Perspectives

Recent Asia Analysis

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 30 June)

Ocean Freight Comments - 30 June 2022 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting Dry-bulk markets continued to slide for most of the week but appeared to hit a bottom and bounced up a little at the week’s end. Volatility is obviously a constant in the markets these days. It was the Capesize secto...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 30 June)

Ocean Freight Comments - 30 June 2022 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting Dry-bulk markets continued to slide for most of the week but appeared to hit a bottom and bounced up a little at the week’s end. Volatility is obviously a constant in the markets these days. It was the Capesize sect...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Feed Demand from Stopping IUR

The WTO has been searching for limits in fisheries subsidies since at least 2001. There was agreement earlier this month to curb subsidies, though overfishing is expected to continue. Now the Biden Administration says it will continue to push for rules and enforcement against illegal and underr...

soy-oilseeds

Russia Threatens Vegetable Oil

Oil palms require fertilizer every three months to maintain productivity but Russia’s war in Ukraine has threatened world supplies and driven up prices. This is particularly hurting Indonesia, the world’s largest supplier of palm oil. The imposition of export restrictions by Jakarta...

softs

It’s More Than Food

In Japan, rice has been called the essence of culture; it has meant more than just food, though food security is the basis for policy interventions to protect it. Despite the nostalgia and market controls, rice on paddy fields is declining, giving way to more profitable wheat and soybeans that...

livestock

Flailing on Inflation; Japan’s Beef Craving; Incongruous Messaging

Flailing on Inflation Many months after inflation began eating into pocketbooks, the Biden Administration is on a full court press to try and address the problem. When it comes to food inflation, there is little that can be done. It simply costs more to grow, process, and ship product. When it...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Falls Early on Russian Propaganda, Recovers to End Near Day’s High

The CBOT turned lower again on Wednesday with wheat leading the way on headlines that Russia may establish export corridors for Ukrainian grain/ag products. Russia’s Deputy Foreign Minister indicated the country is talking with the UN on potential food export corridors in the Black Sea, w...

Indo-Pacific Economic Framework: Trade Rules without Trade Access

On his trip to Asia, President Biden announced the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF) for Prosperity, along with 12 countries in the region. The plan is structured to 1) establish rules governing trade in digital goods and services, 2) create commitments regarding supply chain to eliminate...

Misdiagnosed; Potemkin Trade Policy

Misdiagnosed U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said this week that, “Higher food and energy prices are having stagflationary effects, namely depressing output and spending and raising inflation all around the world.” She pushed for increased international food aid and advised int...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Ends Week Mixed Amid Bullish U.S., Brazilian Weather

Light volume trade, profit taking, and spread reversals led to a mixed CBOT on Friday. Wheat futures were sharply lower as showers across the Plains boosted the crop outlook and prompted profit taking and reversal of wheat/corn spreads. Corn pushed higher and scored a new contract high while so...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Palm Oil Export Ban Create Soyoil High; Funds Sell Corn, Soybeans Despite Hot, Dry Brazilian Weather

The CFTC was mostly lower to end the week with funds emerging as profit-takers in corn, soybeans, and Chicago wheat. The soyoil market scored a new contract high on news of a palm oil export ban from Indonesia, however, and the KCBT wheat market strengthened on continued poor weather forecasts...

Happy 10th Anniversary KORUS FTA

Last week’s WASDE raised the forecast for beef export. A large reason was Korea, so far the top export destination for U.S. beef. Indeed, today is the 10th anniversary of the U.S.-Korea free trade agreement. No other commodity has benefited as much as beef. Over the span of the agreement,...

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 30 June)

Ocean Freight Comments - 30 June 2022 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting Dry-bulk markets continued to slide for most of the week but appeared to hit a bottom and bounced up a little at the week’s end. Volatility is obviously a constant in the markets these days. It was the Capesize secto...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 30 June)

Ocean Freight Comments - 30 June 2022 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting Dry-bulk markets continued to slide for most of the week but appeared to hit a bottom and bounced up a little at the week’s end. Volatility is obviously a constant in the markets these days. It was the Capesize sect...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Feed Demand from Stopping IUR

The WTO has been searching for limits in fisheries subsidies since at least 2001. There was agreement earlier this month to curb subsidies, though overfishing is expected to continue. Now the Biden Administration says it will continue to push for rules and enforcement against illegal and underr...

soy-oilseeds

Russia Threatens Vegetable Oil

Oil palms require fertilizer every three months to maintain productivity but Russia’s war in Ukraine has threatened world supplies and driven up prices. This is particularly hurting Indonesia, the world’s largest supplier of palm oil. The imposition of export restrictions by Jakarta...

softs

It’s More Than Food

In Japan, rice has been called the essence of culture; it has meant more than just food, though food security is the basis for policy interventions to protect it. Despite the nostalgia and market controls, rice on paddy fields is declining, giving way to more profitable wheat and soybeans that...

livestock

Flailing on Inflation; Japan’s Beef Craving; Incongruous Messaging

Flailing on Inflation Many months after inflation began eating into pocketbooks, the Biden Administration is on a full court press to try and address the problem. When it comes to food inflation, there is little that can be done. It simply costs more to grow, process, and ship product. When it...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Falls Early on Russian Propaganda, Recovers to End Near Day’s High

The CBOT turned lower again on Wednesday with wheat leading the way on headlines that Russia may establish export corridors for Ukrainian grain/ag products. Russia’s Deputy Foreign Minister indicated the country is talking with the UN on potential food export corridors in the Black Sea, w...

Indo-Pacific Economic Framework: Trade Rules without Trade Access

On his trip to Asia, President Biden announced the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF) for Prosperity, along with 12 countries in the region. The plan is structured to 1) establish rules governing trade in digital goods and services, 2) create commitments regarding supply chain to eliminate...

Misdiagnosed; Potemkin Trade Policy

Misdiagnosed U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said this week that, “Higher food and energy prices are having stagflationary effects, namely depressing output and spending and raising inflation all around the world.” She pushed for increased international food aid and advised int...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Ends Week Mixed Amid Bullish U.S., Brazilian Weather

Light volume trade, profit taking, and spread reversals led to a mixed CBOT on Friday. Wheat futures were sharply lower as showers across the Plains boosted the crop outlook and prompted profit taking and reversal of wheat/corn spreads. Corn pushed higher and scored a new contract high while so...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Palm Oil Export Ban Create Soyoil High; Funds Sell Corn, Soybeans Despite Hot, Dry Brazilian Weather

The CFTC was mostly lower to end the week with funds emerging as profit-takers in corn, soybeans, and Chicago wheat. The soyoil market scored a new contract high on news of a palm oil export ban from Indonesia, however, and the KCBT wheat market strengthened on continued poor weather forecasts...

Happy 10th Anniversary KORUS FTA

Last week’s WASDE raised the forecast for beef export. A large reason was Korea, so far the top export destination for U.S. beef. Indeed, today is the 10th anniversary of the U.S.-Korea free trade agreement. No other commodity has benefited as much as beef. Over the span of the agreement,...

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