World Perspectives

Recent Asia Analysis

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 22 October)

Ocean Freight Comments - 21 October 2021 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting Volatility is the one constant in dry-bulk markets, and I have no doubts about it continuing through the next year or more. The global fleet is insufficient to meet growing market needs – especially those of China...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 22 October)

Ocean Freight Comments - 21 October 2021 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting Volatility is the one constant in dry-bulk markets, and I have no doubts about it continuing through the next year or more. The global fleet is insufficient to meet growing market needs – especially those of China...

Creeping Toward CPTPP

President Biden said he would first build back America’s infrastructure before re-engaging the U.S. in trade agreements. It should be noted that his infrastructure packages are stalled on Capitol Hill at the same time his trade policy has been creeping along toward fruition. Transatlantic...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Soy Export Sales; Soybean Stocks; Palm Oil Price; ND Soy Crush Plant

U.S. Soy Export Sales and Exports Update Today’s USDA/FAS export sales report indicated exporters had a positive week selling U.S. soybeans for export in the week ending 23 September. Soybean exports also picked up from the previous week. Sales of soymeal also were fairly positive. ...

Wine over Beer; Bad Timing; PR Approach; Korean Hope

Wine over Beer Policymakers hoping to compel the citizenry into drastic actions to cut carbon emissions have poured cold water on their messaging with the current energy price spike. Now opponents are piling on with their own stark reminders of how cold literally kills. Winter cold still kills...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Macro Risk Off

Don’t take it personally that markets across the board showed weakness today. Exceptions being the dollar and lean hogs. The problem is dropping consumer sentiment as growth slows in Asia and worries grow about inflation. Notable was the Biden Administration’s announced plan to atta...

Ag Negotiator; Curious Quad

Ag Negotiator President Joe Biden announced his intent to nominate Elaine Trevino to be the U.S. Chief Agricultural Trade Negotiator. Trevino is President of the Almond Board Alliance of California. Her prior experience includes serving as Deputy Secretary and Assistant Secretary at the Califor...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Bonanza

Rabobank reports that over $2 billion is being invested to expand North American oilseed crush capacity. Part will be to support the expansion in biodiesel but overall oilseed demand remains strong. While the world’s population grows at an annual rate of 1.1 percent, global trade in veget...

energy

It is all Relative

The inflating costs of energy has some policymakers concerned about its impact on the economic recovery as consumers redirect their spending obligations. However, it is important to weigh inflation relative to the base cost. For example, energy costs are inflating faster in the U.S. and Canada,...

Common Poverty; Saved by Drought; Vietnam Concessions

Common Poverty Chinese President Xi Jinping has taken the Communist manifesto to heart and declared a “common prosperity” for all Chinese. Socialism and capitalism successfully coexist but it is dependent on private businesses retaining a degree of independence, certainty about the...

Commodities Fuel Bogeyman; Journalistic Malpractice; Cold Afghan Water

Commodities Fuel Bogeyman In the most recent Hill-HarrisX poll of American public opinion, the top selected issue of current concern is inflation. Inequality slightly beat out inflation as a top concern for Democratic respondents, who also had very low concern for the second most important issu...

Inconvenient Truths; Innovative Approach; Killing Innovation

Inconvenient Truths EU officials released a preliminary analysis of the impacts of the F2F and biodiversity changes to the CAP and major farm organizations Copa & Cogeca have highlighted its disappointing results. The EU’s Joint Research Center came to the same conclusions as USDA&rsq...

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 22 October)

Ocean Freight Comments - 21 October 2021 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting Volatility is the one constant in dry-bulk markets, and I have no doubts about it continuing through the next year or more. The global fleet is insufficient to meet growing market needs – especially those of China...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 22 October)

Ocean Freight Comments - 21 October 2021 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting Volatility is the one constant in dry-bulk markets, and I have no doubts about it continuing through the next year or more. The global fleet is insufficient to meet growing market needs – especially those of China...

Creeping Toward CPTPP

President Biden said he would first build back America’s infrastructure before re-engaging the U.S. in trade agreements. It should be noted that his infrastructure packages are stalled on Capitol Hill at the same time his trade policy has been creeping along toward fruition. Transatlantic...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Soy Export Sales; Soybean Stocks; Palm Oil Price; ND Soy Crush Plant

U.S. Soy Export Sales and Exports Update Today’s USDA/FAS export sales report indicated exporters had a positive week selling U.S. soybeans for export in the week ending 23 September. Soybean exports also picked up from the previous week. Sales of soymeal also were fairly positive. ...

Wine over Beer; Bad Timing; PR Approach; Korean Hope

Wine over Beer Policymakers hoping to compel the citizenry into drastic actions to cut carbon emissions have poured cold water on their messaging with the current energy price spike. Now opponents are piling on with their own stark reminders of how cold literally kills. Winter cold still kills...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Macro Risk Off

Don’t take it personally that markets across the board showed weakness today. Exceptions being the dollar and lean hogs. The problem is dropping consumer sentiment as growth slows in Asia and worries grow about inflation. Notable was the Biden Administration’s announced plan to atta...

Ag Negotiator; Curious Quad

Ag Negotiator President Joe Biden announced his intent to nominate Elaine Trevino to be the U.S. Chief Agricultural Trade Negotiator. Trevino is President of the Almond Board Alliance of California. Her prior experience includes serving as Deputy Secretary and Assistant Secretary at the Califor...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Bonanza

Rabobank reports that over $2 billion is being invested to expand North American oilseed crush capacity. Part will be to support the expansion in biodiesel but overall oilseed demand remains strong. While the world’s population grows at an annual rate of 1.1 percent, global trade in veget...

energy

It is all Relative

The inflating costs of energy has some policymakers concerned about its impact on the economic recovery as consumers redirect their spending obligations. However, it is important to weigh inflation relative to the base cost. For example, energy costs are inflating faster in the U.S. and Canada,...

Common Poverty; Saved by Drought; Vietnam Concessions

Common Poverty Chinese President Xi Jinping has taken the Communist manifesto to heart and declared a “common prosperity” for all Chinese. Socialism and capitalism successfully coexist but it is dependent on private businesses retaining a degree of independence, certainty about the...

Commodities Fuel Bogeyman; Journalistic Malpractice; Cold Afghan Water

Commodities Fuel Bogeyman In the most recent Hill-HarrisX poll of American public opinion, the top selected issue of current concern is inflation. Inequality slightly beat out inflation as a top concern for Democratic respondents, who also had very low concern for the second most important issu...

Inconvenient Truths; Innovative Approach; Killing Innovation

Inconvenient Truths EU officials released a preliminary analysis of the impacts of the F2F and biodiversity changes to the CAP and major farm organizations Copa & Cogeca have highlighted its disappointing results. The EU’s Joint Research Center came to the same conclusions as USDA&rsq...

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