World Perspectives

Recent Asia Analysis

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 17 January)

Update for 17 January 2020: All other routes/offers updated through the day's close.    Freight Comments for 16 January 2020: Jay O’Neil, O’Neil Commodity Consulting Panamax Dry-Bulk markets got a little bonce this week as paper traders believe they saw a buying opportun...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 17 January)

Data Updated Through: 17 January 2020   Ocean Freight Insights and Comments - 16 January 2020 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting Panamax Dry-Bulk markets got a little bonce this week as paper traders believe they saw a buying opportunity. Capesize markets, however, are still struggling,...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: NOPA Soy Crush; Soy Export Sales; Uncertainty About Sales to China

Near Record NOPA Soybean Crush in December The National Oilseed Processors Association yesterday released its monthly soybean crush report for December. The report indicated NOPA’s members reported crushing 174.812 million bushels (4.758 MMT) of soybeans in December. That was up from the...

Return to Managed Trade

Critics of the trade deal signed today between the U.S. and China lament President Trump’s policy tilt toward “managed trade.” Trump Administration officials resigned themselves that if they could not compel China (and other countries) into greater market orientation, they wou...

Tomorrow’s Trade Deal Revelations; Subsidies Agreement; Future of Futures

Tomorrow’s Trade Deal Revelations The actual text of a bilateral trade deal between the U.S. and China is supposed to be released tomorrow, although key parts will be missing. Thus far, information about the agreement has been the verbal spin of Trump Administration officials. One point m...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The CBOT continued making modest adjustments in the wake of Friday’s WASDE, but found relatively little new information upon which to trade. The USDA will resurvey parts of the Midwest where harvest was severely impacted by the fall weather, but even modest reductions to production estima...

livestock

Livestock Round Up

Tomorrow USDA releases a lot of much anticipated data: WASDE projections, quarterly grain stocks, and final annual crop production. Markets will be looking at revised yields, stocks, and acreage details which were murky and uncertain through the spring and fall. For the livestock markets, it wi...

Election Perceptions and Policy

In what would be a nightmare scenario for American Democrats, large majorities of East Asian business leaders surveyed by the Nikkei expect President Trump to get re-elected this year. It is unclear how much these viewpoints reflect the perceptions of political leaders in these major Asian coun...

Input: Useful and Not; Size Fallacy

Input: Useful and Not China is reportedly taking credit for its leadership this past year in the World Trade Organization. It says it believes in the multilateral process and is committed to the reform of the organization. The latter claim is somewhat sullied by the nation’s continued cla...

energy

Coming Decade of Asian Growth to “Energize” Global Trade

Since the post-World War II era and the establishment of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) and its successor, the WTO, there has been one general rule of thumb: economic growth in developing countries drives commodity demand, be it for energy, raw materials or agriculture and fo...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Brazil and Argentine Weather, India Tariffs, Brazil Soy Exports, Pakistan

Parts of Brazil Soybean Area in Need of Rain Most the soybean growing areas of Brazil are apparently in good condition with adequate rainfall. However, in two areas – Northeast Brazil and Rio Grande do Sul - soybeans are suffering from dryness and need rainfall.  In northeastern Braz...

Differing PRC-USA Priorities; Fed’s Trade War Analysis; MDB Distortions

Differing PRC–USA Priorities President Trump earlier said that he wanted a Phase One trade agreement to be signed by himself and Chinese President Xi Jinping, and hinted he would like it signed in the U.S. Chinese sources said that President Xi has distanced himself politically from the a...

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 17 January)

Update for 17 January 2020: All other routes/offers updated through the day's close.    Freight Comments for 16 January 2020: Jay O’Neil, O’Neil Commodity Consulting Panamax Dry-Bulk markets got a little bonce this week as paper traders believe they saw a buying opportun...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 17 January)

Data Updated Through: 17 January 2020   Ocean Freight Insights and Comments - 16 January 2020 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting Panamax Dry-Bulk markets got a little bonce this week as paper traders believe they saw a buying opportunity. Capesize markets, however, are still struggling,...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: NOPA Soy Crush; Soy Export Sales; Uncertainty About Sales to China

Near Record NOPA Soybean Crush in December The National Oilseed Processors Association yesterday released its monthly soybean crush report for December. The report indicated NOPA’s members reported crushing 174.812 million bushels (4.758 MMT) of soybeans in December. That was up from the...

Return to Managed Trade

Critics of the trade deal signed today between the U.S. and China lament President Trump’s policy tilt toward “managed trade.” Trump Administration officials resigned themselves that if they could not compel China (and other countries) into greater market orientation, they wou...

Tomorrow’s Trade Deal Revelations; Subsidies Agreement; Future of Futures

Tomorrow’s Trade Deal Revelations The actual text of a bilateral trade deal between the U.S. and China is supposed to be released tomorrow, although key parts will be missing. Thus far, information about the agreement has been the verbal spin of Trump Administration officials. One point m...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The CBOT continued making modest adjustments in the wake of Friday’s WASDE, but found relatively little new information upon which to trade. The USDA will resurvey parts of the Midwest where harvest was severely impacted by the fall weather, but even modest reductions to production estima...

livestock

Livestock Round Up

Tomorrow USDA releases a lot of much anticipated data: WASDE projections, quarterly grain stocks, and final annual crop production. Markets will be looking at revised yields, stocks, and acreage details which were murky and uncertain through the spring and fall. For the livestock markets, it wi...

Election Perceptions and Policy

In what would be a nightmare scenario for American Democrats, large majorities of East Asian business leaders surveyed by the Nikkei expect President Trump to get re-elected this year. It is unclear how much these viewpoints reflect the perceptions of political leaders in these major Asian coun...

Input: Useful and Not; Size Fallacy

Input: Useful and Not China is reportedly taking credit for its leadership this past year in the World Trade Organization. It says it believes in the multilateral process and is committed to the reform of the organization. The latter claim is somewhat sullied by the nation’s continued cla...

energy

Coming Decade of Asian Growth to “Energize” Global Trade

Since the post-World War II era and the establishment of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) and its successor, the WTO, there has been one general rule of thumb: economic growth in developing countries drives commodity demand, be it for energy, raw materials or agriculture and fo...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Brazil and Argentine Weather, India Tariffs, Brazil Soy Exports, Pakistan

Parts of Brazil Soybean Area in Need of Rain Most the soybean growing areas of Brazil are apparently in good condition with adequate rainfall. However, in two areas – Northeast Brazil and Rio Grande do Sul - soybeans are suffering from dryness and need rainfall.  In northeastern Braz...

Differing PRC-USA Priorities; Fed’s Trade War Analysis; MDB Distortions

Differing PRC–USA Priorities President Trump earlier said that he wanted a Phase One trade agreement to be signed by himself and Chinese President Xi Jinping, and hinted he would like it signed in the U.S. Chinese sources said that President Xi has distanced himself politically from the a...

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