World Perspectives

Recent India Analysis

Taj Mahal Chicken Coups; Starving for Health; Climate and Trade Wars; E15 Push

Taj Mahal Chicken Coups California voters are once again set to roil agricultural producers elsewhere in the nation as they vote 6 November on Proposition 12. Pushed by animal rights advocates who are outspending opponents, it would mandate specific growing conditions such as enlarged spaces fo...

U.S.-India Trade Negotiations

According to President Trump, his take-no-prisoners trade strategy has spurred promising trade talks with India. He said while on the stump in South Dakota,  “India called us the other day. They said they would like to start doing a trade deal, first time.”  India’s...

wheat feed-grains

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MIDDLE EAST/MEDITERRANEANCOMMENTS Afghanistan has received the first lot of Pakistan’s 40,000 MT wheat donation. The shipment of just under 400 MT was delivered at the same time the new Pakistani foreign minister was visiting the country. The Middle East/African region&rs...

Sino-American Trade War II; Undermining China; Most Challenging; More FDA Plaudits

Sino-American Trade War II U.S. President Donald Trump says he will impose tariffs on an additional $200 billion worth of imports from China, perhaps this week. He is tempering his attack by cutting the tariffs from an earlier 25 percent to just 10 percent. The Chinese have responded by saying...

Trade Policy Mixer; Developing Country Risks; Farm Bill and Crisis

Trade Policy Mixer China: President Donald Trump has reportedly ordered the Treasury Department to move forward with punitive duties on an additional $200 billion worth of imports from China. No one is expecting the trade war to end anytime soon. Iran: The EU is creating a “special purpos...

energy biofuel soy-oilseeds

India Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Lower Gasoline Prices Possible The average gasoline price in New Delhi is Rs.80/litre, up 3.57 percent from Rs.77.24/liter last month and 14.46 percent higher than a year ago. Higher crude prices, compounded by the strong U.S. dollar (the exchange rate was Rs.72.2/USD on 7 September 2018), is l...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: WASDE; Argentina’s 2019 Soybean Crop; U.S. Export Sales

Plentiful Soybean Supplies  USDA yesterday confirmed the U.S. will harvest a record soybean crop once again in 2018, forecasting the average national yield at 52.8 bushels/acre (3.55 MT/hectare) and a record production of 4.693 billion bushels (127.74 MMT). Even though it raised the estima...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: The Bear that Ate the Corn Market

The WASDE was undeniably bearish with December corn and November soybean futures reaching new contract lows (actually, soybeans hit the low before and after the WASDE’s release), while wheat futures were down double-digits in response to the latest news. The headline numbers cratering the...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

USDA estimates that soybean production is projected at a record 4,693 million bushels, up 107 million on a record yield forecast of 52.8 bushels per acre.  Soybean supplies are raised with higher production only partly offset by lower beginning stocks. The 2018/19 U.S. season-average...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA estimates that global wheat supplies for 2018/19 are raised 4.7 million tons on a 3.4-million-ton production increase and higher beginning stocks.  The Russian crop is raised 3.0 million tons on harvest results to date in the winter wheat region and continued excellent weather in the...

feed-grains softs

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Demand for Quality Malt and Beer Increasing The number of microbreweries has grown from 20 to 120 in the past five years (2013-2018), up 500 percent. New international brands have come to India during this period, and now the trend is to sell bottled/canned craft beer. However, none of this mea...

wheat

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Wheat Prices Rise, Despite Bumper Crop According to the 4th Advance Agricultural Production estimates released this week, India’s wheat production in 2017/18 was revised to 99.7 MMT and GOI has procured 35.51 MMT so far. Higher production and procurement rates 5 MMT higher than the initia...

Taj Mahal Chicken Coups; Starving for Health; Climate and Trade Wars; E15 Push

Taj Mahal Chicken Coups California voters are once again set to roil agricultural producers elsewhere in the nation as they vote 6 November on Proposition 12. Pushed by animal rights advocates who are outspending opponents, it would mandate specific growing conditions such as enlarged spaces fo...

U.S.-India Trade Negotiations

According to President Trump, his take-no-prisoners trade strategy has spurred promising trade talks with India. He said while on the stump in South Dakota,  “India called us the other day. They said they would like to start doing a trade deal, first time.”  India’s...

wheat feed-grains

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MIDDLE EAST/MEDITERRANEANCOMMENTS Afghanistan has received the first lot of Pakistan’s 40,000 MT wheat donation. The shipment of just under 400 MT was delivered at the same time the new Pakistani foreign minister was visiting the country. The Middle East/African region&rs...

Sino-American Trade War II; Undermining China; Most Challenging; More FDA Plaudits

Sino-American Trade War II U.S. President Donald Trump says he will impose tariffs on an additional $200 billion worth of imports from China, perhaps this week. He is tempering his attack by cutting the tariffs from an earlier 25 percent to just 10 percent. The Chinese have responded by saying...

Trade Policy Mixer; Developing Country Risks; Farm Bill and Crisis

Trade Policy Mixer China: President Donald Trump has reportedly ordered the Treasury Department to move forward with punitive duties on an additional $200 billion worth of imports from China. No one is expecting the trade war to end anytime soon. Iran: The EU is creating a “special purpos...

energy biofuel soy-oilseeds

India Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Lower Gasoline Prices Possible The average gasoline price in New Delhi is Rs.80/litre, up 3.57 percent from Rs.77.24/liter last month and 14.46 percent higher than a year ago. Higher crude prices, compounded by the strong U.S. dollar (the exchange rate was Rs.72.2/USD on 7 September 2018), is l...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: WASDE; Argentina’s 2019 Soybean Crop; U.S. Export Sales

Plentiful Soybean Supplies  USDA yesterday confirmed the U.S. will harvest a record soybean crop once again in 2018, forecasting the average national yield at 52.8 bushels/acre (3.55 MT/hectare) and a record production of 4.693 billion bushels (127.74 MMT). Even though it raised the estima...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: The Bear that Ate the Corn Market

The WASDE was undeniably bearish with December corn and November soybean futures reaching new contract lows (actually, soybeans hit the low before and after the WASDE’s release), while wheat futures were down double-digits in response to the latest news. The headline numbers cratering the...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

USDA estimates that soybean production is projected at a record 4,693 million bushels, up 107 million on a record yield forecast of 52.8 bushels per acre.  Soybean supplies are raised with higher production only partly offset by lower beginning stocks. The 2018/19 U.S. season-average...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

USDA estimates that global wheat supplies for 2018/19 are raised 4.7 million tons on a 3.4-million-ton production increase and higher beginning stocks.  The Russian crop is raised 3.0 million tons on harvest results to date in the winter wheat region and continued excellent weather in the...

feed-grains softs

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Demand for Quality Malt and Beer Increasing The number of microbreweries has grown from 20 to 120 in the past five years (2013-2018), up 500 percent. New international brands have come to India during this period, and now the trend is to sell bottled/canned craft beer. However, none of this mea...

wheat

Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Wheat Prices Rise, Despite Bumper Crop According to the 4th Advance Agricultural Production estimates released this week, India’s wheat production in 2017/18 was revised to 99.7 MMT and GOI has procured 35.51 MMT so far. Higher production and procurement rates 5 MMT higher than the initia...

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