World Perspectives

Recent India Analysis

Supply Policies; Covid Impacts

Supply Policies India’s pursuit of public stockholding of food surpluses is an old answer to an even older question – what policy to use to manage supply/demand imbalances. Then there is the issue of the externalities resulting from any of the chosen approaches. Just three countries...

soy-oilseeds

WADSE Soyoil

USDA reduced the average U.S. soybean oil prices by 2 cents to 31.5 cents per pound.  A notable change is a 1-million-ton reduction for palm oil production, mainly in Malaysia and Colombia, leading to a 19 percent year-over-year decline in global vegetable oil stocks...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

USDA’s U.S. soybean supply and use projections for 2019/20 are mostly unchanged in the March WASDE.  The U.S. season-average soybean price is projected at $8.70 per bushel, down 5 cents. With soybean crush and exports projected at 2.1 billion bushels and 1.8 billion bushels, respecti...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Regional Updates The COVID19 outbreak continues to be the dominating force in commodity and equity markets around the world. With the virus curtailing travel and causing crude oil prices to plummet, commodities tied to oil (like soyoil) are receiving commensurate selling pressure. More broadly,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

It was mostly a day in the red as coronavirus anxiety continues to haunt investors. Fear of betting against calamity is understandable since a story of outright disaster is easy to imagine. Rabobank predicts another four months of supply chain disruptions except that both nearby and more distan...

COVID-19 Calculations; Trade Policy Shorts

COVID-19 Calculations Equities have now plunged two days in a row over the coronavirus, but commodities fought back today rather than overreact. The COVID-19 virus is said to have put Italy close to recession, though German businesses are said to still be positive. That is the problem with curr...

Tax Tech Divide; Low Leverage on India

Tech Tax Divide G-20 finance ministers failed to make headway on the issue of high-tech company taxation and the prognosis is not good. The Czech Republic is the latest European company to debate imposing a high levy on global internet companies and its officials apparently brushed aside the th...

Unilateral Everything; Not So Very Big; Ugly Bailout

Unilateral Everything  U.S. President Trump gets blamed for “America First” unilateralism but in fact it is practiced equally by all countries. Agricultural protectionism has been a dominant factor for decades and many countries extend this to fisheries and forestry. However, i...

India Offer to U.S.; Coronavirus and Super Tuesday; Concrete AB

India Offer to U.S. New Delhi and Washington would both like to have a trade deal by the time President Trump visits India on 24-25 February and India is making offers. According to Reuters, India has offered to reduce its tariff on chicken legs from 100 percent to 25 percent and make other con...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

USDA reports that 2019/20 U.S. soybean had increased exports and lower ending stocks;  U.S. soybean exports for 2019/20 are up 50 million from last month at 1.825 billion bushels - partly reflecting increased imports for China.  With soybean crush unchanged, soybean ending stocks are...

Target Europe; India’s Special Pass

Target Europe The frustration with Europe in the Trump Administration is palpable. China has been viewed as unfair competition but out of design. It was a poorer country overly granted concessions that must now be clawed back. By contrast, Europe is viewed as manipulative, taking what should be...

Fair and Equitable; Contrasts in Productive Attitudes; Authoritatively Wrong

Fair and Equitable In order to secure votes for the USMCA from Florida and Georgia politicians representing perishable fruit and vegetable growers, USTR promised subsequent action to impose the kind of seasonal import protections that failed to make it into the agreement just negotiated with Me...

Supply Policies; Covid Impacts

Supply Policies India’s pursuit of public stockholding of food surpluses is an old answer to an even older question – what policy to use to manage supply/demand imbalances. Then there is the issue of the externalities resulting from any of the chosen approaches. Just three countries...

soy-oilseeds

WADSE Soyoil

USDA reduced the average U.S. soybean oil prices by 2 cents to 31.5 cents per pound.  A notable change is a 1-million-ton reduction for palm oil production, mainly in Malaysia and Colombia, leading to a 19 percent year-over-year decline in global vegetable oil stocks...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

USDA’s U.S. soybean supply and use projections for 2019/20 are mostly unchanged in the March WASDE.  The U.S. season-average soybean price is projected at $8.70 per bushel, down 5 cents. With soybean crush and exports projected at 2.1 billion bushels and 1.8 billion bushels, respecti...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Regional Updates The COVID19 outbreak continues to be the dominating force in commodity and equity markets around the world. With the virus curtailing travel and causing crude oil prices to plummet, commodities tied to oil (like soyoil) are receiving commensurate selling pressure. More broadly,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

It was mostly a day in the red as coronavirus anxiety continues to haunt investors. Fear of betting against calamity is understandable since a story of outright disaster is easy to imagine. Rabobank predicts another four months of supply chain disruptions except that both nearby and more distan...

COVID-19 Calculations; Trade Policy Shorts

COVID-19 Calculations Equities have now plunged two days in a row over the coronavirus, but commodities fought back today rather than overreact. The COVID-19 virus is said to have put Italy close to recession, though German businesses are said to still be positive. That is the problem with curr...

Tax Tech Divide; Low Leverage on India

Tech Tax Divide G-20 finance ministers failed to make headway on the issue of high-tech company taxation and the prognosis is not good. The Czech Republic is the latest European company to debate imposing a high levy on global internet companies and its officials apparently brushed aside the th...

Unilateral Everything; Not So Very Big; Ugly Bailout

Unilateral Everything  U.S. President Trump gets blamed for “America First” unilateralism but in fact it is practiced equally by all countries. Agricultural protectionism has been a dominant factor for decades and many countries extend this to fisheries and forestry. However, i...

India Offer to U.S.; Coronavirus and Super Tuesday; Concrete AB

India Offer to U.S. New Delhi and Washington would both like to have a trade deal by the time President Trump visits India on 24-25 February and India is making offers. According to Reuters, India has offered to reduce its tariff on chicken legs from 100 percent to 25 percent and make other con...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

USDA reports that 2019/20 U.S. soybean had increased exports and lower ending stocks;  U.S. soybean exports for 2019/20 are up 50 million from last month at 1.825 billion bushels - partly reflecting increased imports for China.  With soybean crush unchanged, soybean ending stocks are...

Target Europe; India’s Special Pass

Target Europe The frustration with Europe in the Trump Administration is palpable. China has been viewed as unfair competition but out of design. It was a poorer country overly granted concessions that must now be clawed back. By contrast, Europe is viewed as manipulative, taking what should be...

Fair and Equitable; Contrasts in Productive Attitudes; Authoritatively Wrong

Fair and Equitable In order to secure votes for the USMCA from Florida and Georgia politicians representing perishable fruit and vegetable growers, USTR promised subsequent action to impose the kind of seasonal import protections that failed to make it into the agreement just negotiated with Me...

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