World Perspectives

Recent India Analysis

Policy Conflicts and Solutions; India Highlighted

Policy Conflicts and Solutions Policymakers are realizing that the three big issues of climate change, sustainability and food security are conflicting. The Cairns Group is comprised of highly competitive agricultural exporting countries and so their frustration with the conflicts at the WTO is...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

USDA’s outlook for the domestic soybean crop in 2022/23 is reduced in the September WASDE. Harvested area is down 0.6 million from the August forecast. The soybean yield forecast of 50.5 bushels per acre is down 1.4 bushels from last month. Ending stocks are projected at 200 million bushe...

Best Trade Bargain

Indian Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal says that India would be “happy and willing” to negotiate a trade agreement with the U.S. American farmers should be pummeling the White House to pursue such a deal. India runs a large trade surplus with the U.S. and benefits from s...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

SOYBEANS: USDA forecast U.S. soybean production for 2022/23 at 4.53 billion bushels, up 26 million - higher yields more than offset lower harvested area; Harvested area is forecast at 87.2 million acres, down 0.3 million from July.  The first survey-based soybean yield forecast of 51.9 bus...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soyoil

USDA’s June 2022 estimate for the seasonal average price of U.S. soyoil in 2022/23 is unchanged at 70 cents per pound.  ...

softs

Dominance in Rice

India is the world’s largest exporter of rice and Refinitiv points out that India’s export rice prices have been consistently lower than that of Thailand and Vietnam for the past two years. India is exporting roughly twice the amount of rice as Thailand and Vietnam combined. India h...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Scores New Highs; Soybeans Rally on China Buying Rumors; Cattle Fall on Weak Cash Trade

The CBOT traded a generally bullish day with wheat futures forging a classic bullish day on the charts. Wheat futures opened higher, traded sharply lower to test support in yesterday’s chart gap, then settled higher after forging new contract highs. World wheat risks abound, and the only...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Limit-Up on India’s Export Ban; Corn Rallies on Brazilian Drought/Frost Risk

Over the weekend, India announced a ban on wheat exports following the massive heat waves that have severely hurt the country’s yields. Before the ban, India was expected to be a marginal but significant – especially this year – exporter of about 10 MMT. USDA’s May WASDE...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Risk-On Pre-WASDE Trade; Wheat Rallies on Too Dry/Too Wet Forecast; Inflation Drives Fund Buying

The CBOT was higher the day before the May WASDE with traders turning more bullish amid persistently challenging weather forecasts for the world’s major crop producers. Moreover, U.S. economic data sent funds looking for assets in which to hedge inflation risks, which meant an inflow of s...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: India Suggests, Then Denies, Wheat Export Limits; Exports Rally Soyoil; OK Wheat Yields Not OK

CBOT futures ended the day mostly higher with wheat leading the way amid rumors of an export ban from India and poor Oklahoma HRW yields. The wheat strength helped pull corn higher, along with rumors of Chinese buying interest this morning. The recent pullback in corn and soybean futures has, r...

wheat

Wheat Predator to Protectionist

Back in January, U.S. wheat growers were demanding that USTR file a WTO case against India for exceeding its de minimis limit of subsidies capped at 10 percent of the value of wheat production. The demand was presaged by a U.S. government counternotification to the WTO that New Delhi had substa...

U.S. – China Rift; India’s Manipulations; Then and Now

U.S. – China Rift There is a split within Washington policy circles over the continuation of Donald Trump’s tariffs on Chinese goods. Backing the Senate position, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen called for reducing the tariffs and White House Deputy National Security Advisor Daleep...

Policy Conflicts and Solutions; India Highlighted

Policy Conflicts and Solutions Policymakers are realizing that the three big issues of climate change, sustainability and food security are conflicting. The Cairns Group is comprised of highly competitive agricultural exporting countries and so their frustration with the conflicts at the WTO is...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

USDA’s outlook for the domestic soybean crop in 2022/23 is reduced in the September WASDE. Harvested area is down 0.6 million from the August forecast. The soybean yield forecast of 50.5 bushels per acre is down 1.4 bushels from last month. Ending stocks are projected at 200 million bushe...

Best Trade Bargain

Indian Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal says that India would be “happy and willing” to negotiate a trade agreement with the U.S. American farmers should be pummeling the White House to pursue such a deal. India runs a large trade surplus with the U.S. and benefits from s...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans

SOYBEANS: USDA forecast U.S. soybean production for 2022/23 at 4.53 billion bushels, up 26 million - higher yields more than offset lower harvested area; Harvested area is forecast at 87.2 million acres, down 0.3 million from July.  The first survey-based soybean yield forecast of 51.9 bus...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soyoil

USDA’s June 2022 estimate for the seasonal average price of U.S. soyoil in 2022/23 is unchanged at 70 cents per pound.  ...

softs

Dominance in Rice

India is the world’s largest exporter of rice and Refinitiv points out that India’s export rice prices have been consistently lower than that of Thailand and Vietnam for the past two years. India is exporting roughly twice the amount of rice as Thailand and Vietnam combined. India h...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Scores New Highs; Soybeans Rally on China Buying Rumors; Cattle Fall on Weak Cash Trade

The CBOT traded a generally bullish day with wheat futures forging a classic bullish day on the charts. Wheat futures opened higher, traded sharply lower to test support in yesterday’s chart gap, then settled higher after forging new contract highs. World wheat risks abound, and the only...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Limit-Up on India’s Export Ban; Corn Rallies on Brazilian Drought/Frost Risk

Over the weekend, India announced a ban on wheat exports following the massive heat waves that have severely hurt the country’s yields. Before the ban, India was expected to be a marginal but significant – especially this year – exporter of about 10 MMT. USDA’s May WASDE...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Risk-On Pre-WASDE Trade; Wheat Rallies on Too Dry/Too Wet Forecast; Inflation Drives Fund Buying

The CBOT was higher the day before the May WASDE with traders turning more bullish amid persistently challenging weather forecasts for the world’s major crop producers. Moreover, U.S. economic data sent funds looking for assets in which to hedge inflation risks, which meant an inflow of s...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: India Suggests, Then Denies, Wheat Export Limits; Exports Rally Soyoil; OK Wheat Yields Not OK

CBOT futures ended the day mostly higher with wheat leading the way amid rumors of an export ban from India and poor Oklahoma HRW yields. The wheat strength helped pull corn higher, along with rumors of Chinese buying interest this morning. The recent pullback in corn and soybean futures has, r...

wheat

Wheat Predator to Protectionist

Back in January, U.S. wheat growers were demanding that USTR file a WTO case against India for exceeding its de minimis limit of subsidies capped at 10 percent of the value of wheat production. The demand was presaged by a U.S. government counternotification to the WTO that New Delhi had substa...

U.S. – China Rift; India’s Manipulations; Then and Now

U.S. – China Rift There is a split within Washington policy circles over the continuation of Donald Trump’s tariffs on Chinese goods. Backing the Senate position, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen called for reducing the tariffs and White House Deputy National Security Advisor Daleep...

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