World Perspectives

Farm Inputs Recent Farm Inputs Analysis

farm-inputs

Technical Views - Retrace Lower

SPREADS Dec crush trades to 88c/bu while oilshare trades at 45.0%.  Dec/March corn trades out to 8c from 7c, while Dec 21/22 trades from 23 1/2c carry to 20 3/4c.  Dec/March wheat carry trades from 10 1/2c to 11c.  Dec wheat/corn trades from 1.86 1/4c to 1.83c.  Nov/Jan bean...

farm-inputs feed-grains

Fertilizer Prices and Production

DTN reports that for the first time in about nine months there was no significant increase in fertilizer prices this past month. Among the eight major components, prices have risen between 36 percent to a 76 percent increase for MAP. Higher crop prices have meant higher farm revenue and increas...

wheat biofuel farm-inputs

GMO Tipping Point; One-Way Ethanol; Opium or Food?

GMO Tipping Point They do not call it genetic modification because of all the negative baggage associated with the first wave of organisms modified to be better. The technologies that have evolved from originally inserting a gene into DNA instead have a trendier moniker, new genomic techniques...

feed-grains livestock farm-inputs

EO “Attempts” Competitive Ag Economy

Much of the Biden Administration’s agriculture agenda was furthered today by an Executive Order (EO) issued from the White House while Secretary Vilsack was in Council Bluffs, Iowa, to tout the plan.  The order to Promote Competition in the American Economy is a broad reaching effort...

farm-inputs

CPTPP Appeal; Food Opponents; TRIPS for Free

CPTPP Appeal China’s aggressive effort to join the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) may be having an unintended effect – causing the U.S. to reconsider its previous rejection of such an agreement. If China were to join, which seems unlike...

farm-inputs wheat

AM Outlook - Overbought?

GOOD MORNING, Prices are higher across the board this morning as beans and soyoil place new contract highs for the week, continuing strong up-trends.  Crude oil is firmer, which underpins the soyoil market, though Asian values are a bit lower this AM.  Higher world vegoil markets in t...

farm-inputs

Exporting Water

The latest mantra from development specialists is concern about the future availability of water. It is an old topic but a durable one given the preciousness of the resource. Since 70 percent of the withdrawals of freshwater around the world are for agriculture, and 60 percent more food must be...

farm-inputs

Green on Black Equals Red; Fake Honey

Green Impact on Black Equals Red Activists in Europe are protesting against today’s “Black Friday” shopping extravaganza. They argue that the environmental externalities of consumerism will destroy the planet. This begs the question of whether commercial minimalism will destro...

farm-inputs wheat

Technical Views - Meal Correction Upwards

SPREADS September KC/Chicago spreads moved to new contract lows yesterday.  KC wheat/corn spreads moved back to levels conducive to putting HRW back into feed.  October crush firms to 1.07c/bu while oilshare firms to new highs at 33 percent.   Dec/March corn trades from 10c...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Weather forecasts run yesterday afternoon and evening continue to show a drying trend across the Corn Belt, which led futures lower overnight. The worst of the planting-delaying weather seems to be over, and fresh forecasts are broadly encouraging. Overnight pressure also came from news that ho...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Overnight trade featured prices on both sides of unchanged in heavy volume (well, heavy for an overnight session). Corn attempted to break below yesterday’s low but failed, which brought more buying heading into the morning. At the close, corn, soybean and wheat futures were all higher. T...

wheat soy-oilseeds feed-grains

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 18-22 March 2019 Prices on the domestic market again declined in RUB expression but moved in different directions in USD expression. Meanwhile, the average milling wheat export price rose $4/MT to $228/MT FOB Black Sea, while purchase prices remained unchanged in RUB expr...

farm-inputs

Technical Views - Retrace Lower

SPREADS Dec crush trades to 88c/bu while oilshare trades at 45.0%.  Dec/March corn trades out to 8c from 7c, while Dec 21/22 trades from 23 1/2c carry to 20 3/4c.  Dec/March wheat carry trades from 10 1/2c to 11c.  Dec wheat/corn trades from 1.86 1/4c to 1.83c.  Nov/Jan bean...

farm-inputs feed-grains

Fertilizer Prices and Production

DTN reports that for the first time in about nine months there was no significant increase in fertilizer prices this past month. Among the eight major components, prices have risen between 36 percent to a 76 percent increase for MAP. Higher crop prices have meant higher farm revenue and increas...

wheat biofuel farm-inputs

GMO Tipping Point; One-Way Ethanol; Opium or Food?

GMO Tipping Point They do not call it genetic modification because of all the negative baggage associated with the first wave of organisms modified to be better. The technologies that have evolved from originally inserting a gene into DNA instead have a trendier moniker, new genomic techniques...

feed-grains livestock farm-inputs

EO “Attempts” Competitive Ag Economy

Much of the Biden Administration’s agriculture agenda was furthered today by an Executive Order (EO) issued from the White House while Secretary Vilsack was in Council Bluffs, Iowa, to tout the plan.  The order to Promote Competition in the American Economy is a broad reaching effort...

farm-inputs

CPTPP Appeal; Food Opponents; TRIPS for Free

CPTPP Appeal China’s aggressive effort to join the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) may be having an unintended effect – causing the U.S. to reconsider its previous rejection of such an agreement. If China were to join, which seems unlike...

farm-inputs wheat

AM Outlook - Overbought?

GOOD MORNING, Prices are higher across the board this morning as beans and soyoil place new contract highs for the week, continuing strong up-trends.  Crude oil is firmer, which underpins the soyoil market, though Asian values are a bit lower this AM.  Higher world vegoil markets in t...

farm-inputs

Exporting Water

The latest mantra from development specialists is concern about the future availability of water. It is an old topic but a durable one given the preciousness of the resource. Since 70 percent of the withdrawals of freshwater around the world are for agriculture, and 60 percent more food must be...

farm-inputs

Green on Black Equals Red; Fake Honey

Green Impact on Black Equals Red Activists in Europe are protesting against today’s “Black Friday” shopping extravaganza. They argue that the environmental externalities of consumerism will destroy the planet. This begs the question of whether commercial minimalism will destro...

farm-inputs wheat

Technical Views - Meal Correction Upwards

SPREADS September KC/Chicago spreads moved to new contract lows yesterday.  KC wheat/corn spreads moved back to levels conducive to putting HRW back into feed.  October crush firms to 1.07c/bu while oilshare firms to new highs at 33 percent.   Dec/March corn trades from 10c...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Weather forecasts run yesterday afternoon and evening continue to show a drying trend across the Corn Belt, which led futures lower overnight. The worst of the planting-delaying weather seems to be over, and fresh forecasts are broadly encouraging. Overnight pressure also came from news that ho...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Overnight trade featured prices on both sides of unchanged in heavy volume (well, heavy for an overnight session). Corn attempted to break below yesterday’s low but failed, which brought more buying heading into the morning. At the close, corn, soybean and wheat futures were all higher. T...

wheat soy-oilseeds feed-grains

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 18-22 March 2019 Prices on the domestic market again declined in RUB expression but moved in different directions in USD expression. Meanwhile, the average milling wheat export price rose $4/MT to $228/MT FOB Black Sea, while purchase prices remained unchanged in RUB expr...

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