World Perspectives

Ag Prices Creeping Up, Economic Growth Cratered

There’s been a lot of economic data released this week, most of it bearish and some of it unprecedented. Officially, the U.S. is in a recession, i.e. two quarters in a row of GDP contraction.   Starting in the farm economy, the June Agricultural Prices Received Index (based on 2011) was 89.2. That was up 1 percent from May but down 4.9 percent from June 2019. Compared to May, producers received higher prices in June for milk and broilers and lower prices for hogs, eggs, and corn. In addition to prices, the indexes are influenced by the volume change of commodities that producers market. In June, there was increased monthly movement for wheat and decreased marketing of cattle. Milk prices were up on reduced supplies. The ma...

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Summary of Futures

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.43/bushel, down $0.1825 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $6.84/bushel, down $0.0825 from yesterday's close.  Nov 21 Soybeans closed at $13.5175/bushel, down $0.105 from yesterday's close.  Dec 21 Soymeal closed at $356.2/short ton, down $9...

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Market Commentary: Grains Fall on Weather, Weak Technicals; Livestock Markets Digest New Data

The CBOT pulled back again on Friday with weak technical conditions in corn and soybeans contributing to early declines. U.S. weather forecasts are mostly hot and dry still, but recent European model runs show greater precipitation for the central U.S. That put a bearish bias in the CBOT today...

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CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity markets. The data is, of course, taken from the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders report, using the futures only data. WPI recently completed a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.43/bushel, down $0.1825 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $6.84/bushel, down $0.0825 from yesterday's close.  Nov 21 Soybeans closed at $13.5175/bushel, down $0.105 from yesterday's close.  Dec 21 Soymeal closed at $356.2/short ton, down $9...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Fall on Weather, Weak Technicals; Livestock Markets Digest New Data

The CBOT pulled back again on Friday with weak technical conditions in corn and soybeans contributing to early declines. U.S. weather forecasts are mostly hot and dry still, but recent European model runs show greater precipitation for the central U.S. That put a bearish bias in the CBOT today...

wheat livestock soy-oilseeds

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity markets. The data is, of course, taken from the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders report, using the futures only data. WPI recently completed a...

livestock

Cattle Supply Continuing to Contract in Line with Expectations

USDA’s semi-annual Cattle Inventory report was released this afternoon. All cattle and calves in the United States on 1 July totaled 101 million head, 99 percent of July 2020 – in line with pre-report expectations. Of that inventory, all cows and heifers that have calved totaled 40...

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From WPI Consulting

Weighing in on strategic realignment

WPI’s team was retained by the governing board of a U.S. industry organization to review a decision, reached by vote, to invest significant assets into the development and management of an export trading company. WPI’s team conducted a formal review of this decision and concluded that the current level of market saturation would limit the benefits of the investment. Based on WPI’s analysis and recommended actions, the board subsequently reversed its decision and undertook a strategic planning effort to identify more impactful investments. On behalf of numerous clients, WPI has not only assisted in identifying strategic paths but also advised their implementation.

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