World Perspectives
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Ag Review: The Exit of Commodities Bear Market?

WPI Bull/Bear Leanings for Agribusiness

A summary and graphical depictions of WPI’s expectations for future agribusiness performance.

The Flour Milling Industry

Excellent operational management and hedging effectiveness are critical features of this historically low-margin business.

Oilseed Processing

U.S. soybean crushers’ margins will likely be undermined by weak soymeal exports and competition from DDGS in feed rations.

The U.S. Biofuels Industry

Ethanol margins remain exceptional and are expected to continue. Biodiesel margins and the industry’s outlook turned more negative after Congress failed to renew the blenders’ tax credit.

The U.S. Livestock Industry

After a decade of volatile corn prices, export hurdles and a soft U.S. economy, the meat and poultry sector has enjoyed a strong comeback in 2016. Looking forward, additional growth for the sector can be expected.

Farm Inputs

A retreat in thermal coal prices in China will reduce pressure on margins while rising spot gas futures in the U.S. are weighing down nitrogen margins.

Policy Trends

Rightly or wrongly, the market is taking the intrigue of Donald Trump and is looking up.

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Summary of Futures

Please refer to Summary Page...

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From WPI Consulting

Illuminating the value of technical research

On behalf of a commodity producer organization, WPI evaluated the outputs from a project that featured a $5 million investment into technical research over multiple years. WPI’s team captured the results of this extensive effort and synthesized them for presentation to the organization’s governing board; among the findings uncovered and presented for the first time was the development of genomic traits proven, via rigorous testing, to provide crop yield advantages of 50 percent or more to U.S. farmers in times of drought. Capturing measurable results from long-term efforts can be challenging. Educating clients on the dynamics of success measurement when quantifiable results are not readily available requires deep client-consultant collaboration and an ability to consider both near- and long-term client aspirations with market/policy dynamics – attributes that WPI brings to every consulting engagement.

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