World Perspectives
wheat

All the Ingredients - But No Dough

U.S. wheat futures markets continue to trade in a relatively narrow range that is also near the bottom of a longer term-range (see the Chicago wheat chart below). Wheat markets should eventually break out of this bearish pattern for a number of fundamental reasons. USDA has been very slow to reduce 2018 world wheat production even though virtually every private analyst and several foreign government groups are using smaller numbers. It did make a few minor adjustments in yesterday’s reports, but those are still not enough (in our opinion). The table below compares USDA’s 2017/18 numbers for the major wheat-exporting countries with its forecast and that of WPI for 2018/19. WPI’s lower production and export numbers for...

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wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 5-9 November 2018 Milling wheat export prices were stable at an average $228/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices at seaports grew in RUB expression but dropped in USD expression to $196-197/MT CPT-Black Sea port. The average feed barley export and purchase prices rose t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Yesterday commodity markets were dominated by NYMEX crude oil’s precipitous decline, but today that market stabilized and actually closed a little higher to end its 12-day losing streak. This allowed other commodities to return to their own specifics. Unfortunately for the grain and soy f...

Transatlantic Expectations; Crop of the Future; Updated Beef Age; Variable USMCA Hearings

Transatlantic Expectations EU Trade Commissioner Cecilia Malmström is in Washington to meet with her U.S. counterpart, Robert Lighthizer, and discuss efforts to better harmonize regulations. She expressed the view that President Trump would not impose tariffs on European automobiles due to...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 5-9 November 2018 Milling wheat export prices were stable at an average $228/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices at seaports grew in RUB expression but dropped in USD expression to $196-197/MT CPT-Black Sea port. The average feed barley export and purchase prices rose t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Yesterday commodity markets were dominated by NYMEX crude oil’s precipitous decline, but today that market stabilized and actually closed a little higher to end its 12-day losing streak. This allowed other commodities to return to their own specifics. Unfortunately for the grain and soy f...

Transatlantic Expectations; Crop of the Future; Updated Beef Age; Variable USMCA Hearings

Transatlantic Expectations EU Trade Commissioner Cecilia Malmström is in Washington to meet with her U.S. counterpart, Robert Lighthizer, and discuss efforts to better harmonize regulations. She expressed the view that President Trump would not impose tariffs on European automobiles due to...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 18 Corn closed at $3.67/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Dec 18 Wheat closed at $5.03/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $8.835/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Dec 18 Soymeal closed at $305.7/short ton, up $1.8 from y...

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From WPI Consulting

Illuminating the value of technical research

On behalf of a commodity producer organization, WPI evaluated the outputs from a project that featured a $5 million investment into technical research over multiple years. WPI’s team captured the results of this extensive effort and synthesized them for presentation to the organization’s governing board; among the findings uncovered and presented for the first time was the development of genomic traits proven, via rigorous testing, to provide crop yield advantages of 50 percent or more to U.S. farmers in times of drought. Capturing measurable results from long-term efforts can be challenging. Educating clients on the dynamics of success measurement when quantifiable results are not readily available requires deep client-consultant collaboration and an ability to consider both near- and long-term client aspirations with market/policy dynamics – attributes that WPI brings to every consulting engagement.

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