World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Battle for Acres

S&P Global is the first private firm to issue an acreage planted forecast following USDA’s prediction for the upcoming campaign, but it will not be the last. The annual exercise is riskier this far out from when planting actually occurs because markets can change and farmers have certain flexibilities. Nonetheless, these early forecasts present some notable analyses: Soybean acres will increase versus 2022, and corn acres decline, but not enough for corn to overtake soybeans. It will be the largest number of acres planted to soybeans since 2018. Acres planted to wheat will be the largest since 2016.  Total acres planted to the big three, wheat, corn and soybeans, will be the largest since 2013.  If yields are opti...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Soymeal, KCBT Wheat Lead Tuesday Rallies; Acreage and Stocks Reports Loom

The CBOT was mostly higher on Tuesday with traders increasingly preparing and positioning for the coming acreage and Grain Stocks reports. The soy complex was the upside leader for the day with turnaround in soymeal and soybeans gaining steam and attracting more technical buying interest. There...

Unhelpful Timing; Tai Strengths and Weaknesses; IPEF’s Weakness

Unhelpful Timing The U.S. agriculture sector unleashed a pro-trade barrage on the Biden Administration this week and USDA bureaucrats wittingly or unwittingly contributed to the onslaught. U.S. agriculture is highly dependent on trade. It was first battered by Donald Trump’s trade war and...

livestock

Meat Trade Changes

The U.S. is a major meat producer and exporters, and global demand has been growing. At the same time, competition has been growing and U.S. market share has been declining, though less for poultry than for beef. Brazil is a low-cost producer and has been a preferred provider for China where mu...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Soymeal, KCBT Wheat Lead Tuesday Rallies; Acreage and Stocks Reports Loom

The CBOT was mostly higher on Tuesday with traders increasingly preparing and positioning for the coming acreage and Grain Stocks reports. The soy complex was the upside leader for the day with turnaround in soymeal and soybeans gaining steam and attracting more technical buying interest. There...

Unhelpful Timing; Tai Strengths and Weaknesses; IPEF’s Weakness

Unhelpful Timing The U.S. agriculture sector unleashed a pro-trade barrage on the Biden Administration this week and USDA bureaucrats wittingly or unwittingly contributed to the onslaught. U.S. agriculture is highly dependent on trade. It was first battered by Donald Trump’s trade war and...

livestock

Meat Trade Changes

The U.S. is a major meat producer and exporters, and global demand has been growing. At the same time, competition has been growing and U.S. market share has been declining, though less for poultry than for beef. Brazil is a low-cost producer and has been a preferred provider for China where mu...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 23 Corn closed at $6.4725/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close.  May 23 Wheat closed at $6.9975/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  May 23 Soybeans closed at $14.6775/bushel, up $0.255 from yesterday's close.  May 23 Soymeal closed at $457.9/short ton, up $11.9 f...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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