World Perspectives
livestock

Beef: Where East Meets West

Beef demand in East Asia is on a long-term trend upward. Fulfilling this demand has required increased imports, primarily from Australia, Brazil, and the U.S. It has also resulted in a drawdown in the regions surplus stocks. Complicating the supply situation has been drought in Australia, an atypical BSE case in Brazil, and a U.S. cattle cycle that peaked two years ago and has faced drought in the west. As would be expected in this scenario, U.S. cattle futures prices are at a two-month high and cash prices in East Asia are heading for multi-year highs.  Australia retains the upper hand in the Asian market both due to proximity, and because it confronts lower trade barriers for countries within the CPTPP agreement. It may make little...

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Market Commentary: CBOT Gains to Close Week; Wheat Firms on Bullish News

The CBOT was mostly higher to end a mostly bearish week with wheat leading the way on several mildly bullish developments. Wheat futures saw price-supportive development in the IGC’s lower 2024/25 global ending stocks forecast, dryness in the U.S. Southern Plains, and smaller Russian 2024...

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CFTC COT Report Analysis

Based on futures’ price action late last week and early this week, one would be expecting funds to have been net sellers in the major ag commodities, and that’s exactly what happened. Funds expanded their short soybean position by some 30,000 contracts, making it a new five-year low...

livestock

Cattle on Feed Report: Placements and Marketings Dropped Sharply

USDA released the monthly Cattle on Feed report today. Total inventory, placements and marketings all came in lower than the pre-report estimates, though total inventory was at the same volume or higher than last year for the seventh consecutive month. Placements came in well below the average...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Gains to Close Week; Wheat Firms on Bullish News

The CBOT was mostly higher to end a mostly bearish week with wheat leading the way on several mildly bullish developments. Wheat futures saw price-supportive development in the IGC’s lower 2024/25 global ending stocks forecast, dryness in the U.S. Southern Plains, and smaller Russian 2024...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Based on futures’ price action late last week and early this week, one would be expecting funds to have been net sellers in the major ag commodities, and that’s exactly what happened. Funds expanded their short soybean position by some 30,000 contracts, making it a new five-year low...

livestock

Cattle on Feed Report: Placements and Marketings Dropped Sharply

USDA released the monthly Cattle on Feed report today. Total inventory, placements and marketings all came in lower than the pre-report estimates, though total inventory was at the same volume or higher than last year for the seventh consecutive month. Placements came in well below the average...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 24 Corn closed at $4.335/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Jul 24 Wheat closed at $5.6675/bushel, up $0.1375 from yesterday's close.  May 24 Soybeans closed at $11.505/bushel, up $0.1625 from yesterday's close.  Jul 24 Soymeal closed at $343.2/short ton, up $5.8 fro...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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