Russian Grain Market: October 2-6, 2023 Bearish sentiments prevailed as the market became volatile from a variety of factors. On the one hand, there are ample stocks, high export duties, and low export prices. On the other the global market should be reaching its bottom and soon begin recovering. What makes it more complicated to grain trading margins is the behavior of the Russian currency, which can play into the hand of the exporter during origination but then turn around and sting as export duties are now calculated in RUB and they are charged in RUB. So far, RUB was mostly bearish but forex can make or break a transaction if one is not careful. The Asian region where trading with Kazakhstan resumed and remains bullish. Siberian whe...
What You Need to Know Today: Crude oil prices extended their rally today, supported by several developments, including escalating Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabian oil infrastructure and growing concerns about supply disruptions. The Trump administration is reportedly preparing to remove 50 perc...
Regional News Dry weather across the UK and Europe is becoming increasingly concerning for the 2027 crops as planting intentions are lowered amid dry soil conditions. Delayed sowing or establishment under adverse conditions could leave crops more vulnerable to frost/freeze events and dise...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.