Russian Grain Markets: 3-7 October 2022 Russian winter crop planting is behind schedule at only around 50 percent of the forecast and 1 Mha behind last year at the end of September. The Ministry of Agriculture already forecasts next spring planting to reach 82.2 Mha which is up 200,000 ha. The key reason behind delayed planting is a prolonged rainy season which resulted in the smallest planted winter crop area since 2013. Another reason was delayed soybean and sunflower seeds harvest. In addition, farmers are now thinking twice before putting the wheat in the ground. With high carryover and a record crop, farmers are afraid that margins on wheat will be very low. Seventy percent of Russia’s grain crops are winter crops and predomina...
What You Need to Know Today: Crude oil prices extended their rally today, supported by several developments, including escalating Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabian oil infrastructure and growing concerns about supply disruptions. The Trump administration is reportedly preparing to remove 50 perc...
Regional News Dry weather across the UK and Europe is becoming increasingly concerning for the 2027 crops as planting intentions are lowered amid dry soil conditions. Delayed sowing or establishment under adverse conditions could leave crops more vulnerable to frost/freeze events and dise...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.