World Perspectives
biofuel energy wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The weekly CFTC report featured a few surprises, most notably the 11,000-contract net buying in the Chicago wheat market. Heading into the report, expectations were that it would show funds expanding short positions heading into the February AOF from USDA. Rather, funds were parging back shorts, but have since obviously abandoned that and pushed the market to new contract lows. Similarly surprising was the modest selling in the soybean market, where already-heavily-short funds added just 3,000 contracts to that position. Since Tuesday’s data reporting period, however, that short position has expanded greatly amid the selloff to new lows.  While the soybean and wheat numbers were surprising, the corn and livestock position figure...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Down on the Day but Some Ups for the Week

Most of the major agricultural commodity contracts opened today’s trading session in the red and stayed that way to the close. Only feeder cattle and lean hogs managed small gains on the day. New contract lows were hit for December soyoil, September SRW and September HRW. Volume was overa...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Summary of Futures

Dec 24 Corn closed at $4.1/bushel, down $0.1075 from yesterday's close.  Sep 24 Wheat closed at $5.235/bushel, down $0.1425 from yesterday's close.  Nov 24 Soybeans closed at $10.485/bushel, down $0.31 from yesterday's close.  Dec 24 Soymeal closed at $324.7/short ton, down $4.5...

Friday Shorts

Non-Meat: In a first, a Europe-based company has sought EU approval to market lab-grown meat, in this case fake foie gras. Some member states have already banned such products. While lab-grown meat remains expensive, and plant-based meat substitutes have faced declining popularity, the increase...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Down on the Day but Some Ups for the Week

Most of the major agricultural commodity contracts opened today’s trading session in the red and stayed that way to the close. Only feeder cattle and lean hogs managed small gains on the day. New contract lows were hit for December soyoil, September SRW and September HRW. Volume was overa...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Summary of Futures

Dec 24 Corn closed at $4.1/bushel, down $0.1075 from yesterday's close.  Sep 24 Wheat closed at $5.235/bushel, down $0.1425 from yesterday's close.  Nov 24 Soybeans closed at $10.485/bushel, down $0.31 from yesterday's close.  Dec 24 Soymeal closed at $324.7/short ton, down $4.5...

Friday Shorts

Non-Meat: In a first, a Europe-based company has sought EU approval to market lab-grown meat, in this case fake foie gras. Some member states have already banned such products. While lab-grown meat remains expensive, and plant-based meat substitutes have faced declining popularity, the increase...

softs

Cocoa: Will the Challenges of 2023 Continue into 2024?

Recently, WPI has received requests from a few clients to provide some analysis on the cocoa market.   Clearly, there is a reason for this request as cocoa prices have been exceptionally volatile and futures more than doubled over the nine months from August 2023 through April 2024. I...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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