World Perspectives
livestock soy-oilseeds wheat

Closing Bell Wrap-Up: Bullish Hogs and Cattle

Trading was muted today with U.S. equity markets and the Federal government closed in remembrance of former President George H. W. Bush. The CME’s agricultural markets remained open, however, for what amounted to dull, low-volume trading.  Despite the slow day, there was growing optimism that China may soon act upon the still-nebulous G-20 “agreement” to buy U.S. ag and energy products, among other goods. Rumors are circulating that China may soon procure both soybeans and corn from the U.S. Despite the markets typical “buy the rumor” reaction to Chinese news, the markets were only slightly interested today.  Corn March corn lost ½ cent after trading a 3 ½ cent range. The market clear...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 19 Corn closed at $3.8075/bushel, up $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  Sep 19 Wheat closed at $4.7075/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Nov 19 Soybeans closed at $8.7975/bushel, up $0.09 from yesterday's close.  Dec 19 Soymeal closed at $300.3/short ton, up $3.4 from...

Bond Yield, China, and Buying Opportunities

The yield curve for Treasury bonds inverted on Wednesday, and that sparked a major stock sell-off as well as rampant speculation about the state of the economy. While it is true that inverted yield curves preceded each of the last seven recessions, the phenomenon is a symptom and not a cause. I...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Expectations of crop tours finding yields below USDA’s latest estimate gave the CBOT a boost to end what has otherwise been a bearish week. Private yield estimates prompted a round of short covering in the corn and soybean markets, while wheat was left largely directionless. Cattle prices...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 19 Corn closed at $3.8075/bushel, up $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  Sep 19 Wheat closed at $4.7075/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Nov 19 Soybeans closed at $8.7975/bushel, up $0.09 from yesterday's close.  Dec 19 Soymeal closed at $300.3/short ton, up $3.4 from...

Bond Yield, China, and Buying Opportunities

The yield curve for Treasury bonds inverted on Wednesday, and that sparked a major stock sell-off as well as rampant speculation about the state of the economy. While it is true that inverted yield curves preceded each of the last seven recessions, the phenomenon is a symptom and not a cause. I...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Expectations of crop tours finding yields below USDA’s latest estimate gave the CBOT a boost to end what has otherwise been a bearish week. Private yield estimates prompted a round of short covering in the corn and soybean markets, while wheat was left largely directionless. Cattle prices...

Economic Conundrum; Trade Adjustment Assistance

Economic Conundrum The West turned unhappy with China’s trade and economic practices before Donald Trump, but it is unclear that his approach to the problem is working. While the trade hit on U.S. agriculture is clear, the American side is generally faring worse from the trade war. China&...

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