World Perspectives
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Closing Bell Wrap-Up: Lack of Chinese Details Pressures Markets

Sharp selling emerged at the CBOT today in response to weaker overnight prices. Cash prices for soybeans and corn have weakened in response to farmer selling that recent futures gains encouraged. The pressure continued today as Chinese officials were light on details about the recent trade talks, leading traders to execute the second leg of "buy the rumor, sell the fact" strategies.  Wall Street is presently mixed in largely lackluster trading. The S&P 500 is up 6.2 points (0.2%) while the Dow Jones 30 index is up 65 points (0.3%). Equities came under pressure early from U.S. retailers reporting disappointing holiday earnings (including Macy’s and Kohls) as global economic data was moderately disappointing as well. Chinese d...

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Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 10-14 June 2019 Export prices for 2019 wheat (12.5 percent protein content) remained within $196-198/MT FOB Black Sea, and the average purchase price was RUB 10,500/MT CPT-port Black Sea. Meanwhile, the average export price for 2019 feed barley dropped to $170/MT FOB Blac...

USMCA Codification; Mitigating the Mitigation; Expanding the Conflict

USMCA Codification What seemed unlikely just a few weeks ago now looks like a growing possibility – U.S. congressional passage of the USMCA. USTR Robert Lighthizer told members of Congress that he will do whatever it takes to mollify their concerns. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce says it no...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy complex futures were mostly lower overnight with the corn market’s recent support diminishing. Soybeans were choppy with headlines about a potential Trump/Xi meeting being balanced against the overall bearishness of soybean fundamentals. Overall, the market was characterized...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 10-14 June 2019 Export prices for 2019 wheat (12.5 percent protein content) remained within $196-198/MT FOB Black Sea, and the average purchase price was RUB 10,500/MT CPT-port Black Sea. Meanwhile, the average export price for 2019 feed barley dropped to $170/MT FOB Blac...

USMCA Codification; Mitigating the Mitigation; Expanding the Conflict

USMCA Codification What seemed unlikely just a few weeks ago now looks like a growing possibility – U.S. congressional passage of the USMCA. USTR Robert Lighthizer told members of Congress that he will do whatever it takes to mollify their concerns. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce says it no...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy complex futures were mostly lower overnight with the corn market’s recent support diminishing. Soybeans were choppy with headlines about a potential Trump/Xi meeting being balanced against the overall bearishness of soybean fundamentals. Overall, the market was characterized...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 19 Corn closed at $4.41/bushel, down $0.0875 from yesterday's close.  Jul 19 Wheat closed at $5.2225/bushel, down $0.0925 from yesterday's close.  Jul 19 Soybeans closed at $9.0325/bushel, down $0.1025 from yesterday's close.  Jul 19 Soymeal closed at $316.9/short ton, down $...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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